129
closed trades
41%
win rate
-261.14
total pnl ($)
0.311
weight
7d window — n=21 wr=43% pnl=-82.73
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:46 (18.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 110
· wr: 34.5%
· total_bps: -5789.7
· mean_bps: -52.63
· sharpe: -0.49
· max_dd_bps: -6153.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 00:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834989→0.0829133 | -7.89 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1735.27→1702.78 | -19.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162281→0.159051 | -20.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:08 | SOL | Buy | 74.5342→73.1294 | -19.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 64226.2→64263.8 | -0.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:45 | BTC | Buy | 64004.2→64269.8 | +3.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:21 | SOL | Buy | 72.2428→73.502 | +16.44 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:03 | ETH | Buy | 1734.07→1742.73 | +4.01 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162091→0.158881 | -20.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845961→0.083893 | -9.14 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 63934.2→64390.8 | +6.23 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.166262→0.164759 | -10.00 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.1974→1.17462 | -19.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 22:03 | SOL | Buy | 72.5389→71.1537 | -20.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | ETH | Buy | 1760.08→1766.62 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1827.58→1793.32 | -19.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7701→74.3948 | +7.53 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:10 | BTC | Buy | 66268.3→66535.7 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904096→0.0886735 | -19.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.23401→1.27288 | +30.63 | take_profit |
| 06-15 16:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.284→75.6197 | +30.99 | take_profit |
| 06-15 06:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.17019→1.1834 | +10.44 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:01 | ETH | Buy | 1724.67→1719.33 | -4.03 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:21 | BTC | Buy | 64727.2→65749.7 | +14.88 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 69.0254→71.2163 | +30.81 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863286→0.0890537 | +30.68 | take_profit |
| 06-13 22:15 | SOL | Buy | 68.3513→68.9936 | +8.59 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.169582→0.172827 | +18.13 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0893993→0.0922199 | +30.65 | take_profit |
| 06-12 10:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860595→0.0868803 | +8.55 | timeout |
| 06-12 01:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854884→0.0856606 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.164591→0.165239 | +2.97 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:22 | ETH | Buy | 1632.76→1650.73 | +10.01 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.1598→0.164899 | +30.95 | take_profit |
| 06-09 13:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.168132→0.168728 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 62838.1→62586.9 | -4.86 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.167732→0.171357 | +20.73 | timeout |
| 06-07 13:44 | BTC | Buy | 61851.1→61727.9 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-07 10:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16159→1.13915 | -20.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 05:02 | ETH | Buy | 1534.05→1505.3 | -19.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.10888→1.08728 | -20.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 06:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101025→0.0991046 | -19.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 06:43 | SOL | Buy | 80.7381→79.5301 | -15.81 | timeout |
| 06-01 06:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.33753→1.31202 | -20.00 | stop_loss |
| 05-31 22:15 | BTC | Buy | 73718.7→73946.3 | +2.20 | timeout |
| 05-31 21:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.34304→1.32907 | -11.33 | timeout |
| 05-31 17:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100635→0.0993632 | -13.52 | timeout |
| 05-31 00:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.34754→1.33837 | -7.75 | timeout |
| 05-30 07:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.232128→0.234971 | +11.54 | timeout |
| 05-28 20:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.33543→1.31002 | -19.92 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 11:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.28062→1.28718 | +4.24 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0985546→0.0979855 | -6.63 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.236439→0.231886 | -20.10 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | SOL | Buy | 82.8894→81.3261 | -19.75 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 22:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.23938→0.237291 | -9.70 | timeout |
| 05-27 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 2074.01→2058.89 | -8.24 | timeout |
| 05-27 20:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.33493→1.32727 | -6.74 | timeout |
| 05-27 13:37 | BTC | Buy | 75674.8→75097.2 | -8.50 | timeout |
| 05-27 12:54 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101635→0.102024 | +2.83 | timeout |
| 05-27 00:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.24115→0.24076 | -2.32 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:08 | BTC | Buy | 76927.8→76038.2 | -12.52 | timeout |
| 05-26 17:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.35284→1.3273 | -19.66 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 17:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102466→0.100545 | -19.55 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 17:20 | ETH | Buy | 2107.81→2068.56 | -19.47 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 76620.8→76642.2 | -0.61 | timeout |
| 05-26 09:41 | SOL | Buy | 83.8566→84.3973 | +5.58 | timeout |
| 05-26 04:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.35494→1.34466 | -8.45 | timeout |
| 05-25 23:15 | BTC | Buy | 77647.9→77280.1 | -5.69 | timeout |
| 05-25 22:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.246622→0.242709 | -16.86 | timeout |
| 05-25 22:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.103586→0.101624 | -19.91 | stop_loss |
| 05-25 17:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102746→0.103124 | +2.68 | timeout |
| 05-25 16:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.244961→0.247258 | +8.38 | timeout |
| 05-25 13:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.35474→1.35686 | +0.58 | timeout |
| 05-25 06:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100945→0.102964 | +19.09 | timeout |
| 05-25 05:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.33443→1.35896 | +17.42 | timeout |
| 05-25 05:41 | ETH | Buy | 2071.41→2108.89 | +17.14 | timeout |
| 05-24 22:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101755→0.101905 | +0.60 | timeout |
| 05-24 22:17 | SOL | Buy | 84.5147→85.0992 | +5.96 | timeout |
| 05-24 21:46 | ETH | Buy | 2103.81→2064.66 | -19.54 | stop_loss |
| 05-24 18:28 | BTC | Buy | 77200.9→76640.2 | -8.19 | timeout |
| 05-24 17:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.36144→1.35136 | -8.34 | timeout |
| 05-24 06:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102796→0.102694 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 05-24 06:31 | BTC | Buy | 76480.8→76705.2 | +1.97 | timeout |
| 05-23 21:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.242221→0.249957 | +31.02 | take_profit |
| 05-23 20:57 | ETH | Buy | 2078.51→2144.89 | +31.03 | take_profit |
| 05-23 20:37 | ETH | Buy | 2041→2106.29 | +30.99 | take_profit |
| 05-23 16:26 | BTC | Buy | 74580.7→75383.2 | +9.81 | timeout |
| 05-23 15:52 | SOL | Buy | 82.0173→83.9784 | +23.14 | timeout |
| 05-23 07:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100765→0.0988518 | -19.89 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 07:50 | ETH | Buy | 2062.21→2023.39 | -19.74 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 03:30 | SOL | Buy | 84.8137→84.5763 | -3.64 | timeout |
| 05-23 02:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.34094→1.33857 | -2.67 | timeout |
| 05-22 23:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.103436→0.101484 | -19.76 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 77237.9→75800.3 | -19.54 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 19:30 | ETH | Buy | 2102.11→2062.96 | -19.53 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 18:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.249352→0.244666 | -19.64 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 18:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.106477→0.104482 | -19.63 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 16:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.36764→1.35076 | -13.12 | timeout |
| 05-22 15:12 | SOL | Buy | 86.751→86.683 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 05-22 11:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.106127→0.105944 | -2.72 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
129
closed
41%
win rate
-261.14
total pnl ($)
-20.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE | 25 | 36% | -38.3 | -96.24 |
| BTC | 22 | 41% | -11.9 | -26.64 |
| ETH | 22 | 36% | -38.2 | -84.64 |
| XRP | 21 | 29% | -59.0 | -124.07 |
| SOL | 20 | 60% | +32.1 | +64.11 |
| ADA | 19 | 47% | +3.5 | +6.33 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||