231
closed trades
41%
win rate
-488.30
total pnl ($)
0.865
weight
7d window — n=31 wr=42% pnl=-59.43
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:46 (22.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 207
· wr: 35.3%
· total_bps: -7824.1
· mean_bps: -37.80
· sharpe: -0.34
· max_dd_bps: -8418.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 23:18 | BTC | Buy | 58912.9→60003 | +13.18 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0725871→0.0748753 | +22.96 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.04346→1.02243 | -15.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.148763 | +5.70 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05616→1.07493 | +12.71 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.141755→0.146243 | +23.14 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.59→65.3035 | -15.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:47 | ETH | Buy | 1648.26→1617.43 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62289.1→61129.4 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779195→0.0764386 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150618→0.147739 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 62168.1→62530.9 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151198→0.149953 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:23 | ETH | Buy | 1653.87→1662.43 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.7493→69.0426 | +2.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820355→0.0804756 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844541→0.0828478 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.16021→0.162659 | +10.73 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837259→0.0836241 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:11 | BTC | Buy | 63575.2→64214.8 | +6.86 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833218→0.0829123 | -4.36 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.16147→0.15942 | -10.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:11 | ETH | Buy | 1727.07→1705.73 | -9.94 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 64226.2→64267.8 | -0.16 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.1619→0.16047 | -7.30 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084111→0.0834991 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.15997 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 06:41 | BTC | Buy | 63313.2→63676.8 | +3.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822105→0.0829882 | +6.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | ETH | Buy | 1684.77→1705.93 | +8.74 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63245.8 | +8.15 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.16023→0.16164 | +5.97 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.13988→1.14671 | +3.77 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 63781.2→62590.6 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16649→1.15981 | -4.94 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:06 | ETH | Buy | 1764.88→1769.22 | +1.15 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171213→0.168708 | -11.68 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.22328 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:57 | XRP | Buy | 1.28592→1.26125 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:18 | BTC | Buy | 66256.3→66487.7 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904096→0.0886735 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.413→75.7626 | +23.34 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:42 | ETH | Buy | 1774.78→1831.52 | +23.30 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.2059→1.24389 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:20 | BTC | Buy | 64757.2→65694.7 | +10.17 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.15399→1.1904 | +22.97 | take_profit |
| 06-14 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 69.0624→71.2523 | +23.08 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863296→0.0890537 | +23.00 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.166482→0.171747 | +22.99 | take_profit |
| 06-14 14:39 | SOL | Buy | 68.1822→66.8835 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 07:54 | BTC | Buy | 64380.2→64395.8 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:48 | SOL | Buy | 68.9203→68.1238 | -9.33 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14599→1.14471 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087914→0.0875421 | -3.86 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:11 | XRP | Buy | 1.14309→1.14491 | +0.56 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 67.3941→68.0878 | +6.98 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.170373→0.170157 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.14439→1.13212 | -8.64 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:13 | BTC | Buy | 63726.2→63876.8 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0894994→0.0923239 | +22.99 | take_profit |
| 06-12 11:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.171203→0.171157 | -0.95 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:19 | SOL | Buy | 65.3398→66.942 | +17.64 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.167422→0.164197 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.16179→1.13964 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0861725→0.0845286 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 13:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.168382→0.168718 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 62801.1→62557.9 | -3.55 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:46 | ETH | Buy | 1693.37→1661.7 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.16769→1.15491 | -8.71 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.171123→0.167874 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 18:50 | SOL | Buy | 64.5537→64.9493 | +4.24 | timeout |
| 06-07 18:49 | BTC | Buy | 62353.1→62181.9 | -2.71 | timeout |
| 06-07 16:31 | ETH | Buy | 1617.56→1627.84 | +4.16 | timeout |
| 06-07 10:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.16389→1.14164 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 18:30 | BTC | Buy | 60287→60569 | +2.86 | timeout |
| 06-06 05:02 | ETH | Buy | 1532.65→1504 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.10978→1.08868 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823136→0.0807434 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:02 | ETH | Buy | 1599.76→1569.66 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:53 | ETH | Buy | 1660.27→1629.02 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 21:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.184136→0.180634 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 14:01 | BTC | Buy | 62274.1→64262.8 | +23.29 | take_profit |
| 06-04 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.193648→0.189957 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 08:15 | ETH | Buy | 1797.58→1763.94 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 05:06 | SOL | Buy | 71.4667→70.1224 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 03:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.15779→1.1943 | +22.98 | take_profit |
| 06-04 00:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.20114→0.197292 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.206652→0.202688 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 19:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.22881→1.2054 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:21 | ETH | Buy | 1856.19→1821.41 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:21 | SOL | Buy | 74.0001→72.6018 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 19:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.23141→1.20799 | -14.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 15:26 | ETH | Buy | 1943.59→1907.26 | -14.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | SOL | Buy | 78.4418→76.9659 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.223216→0.218696 | -15.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 09:25 | BTC | Buy | 70667.5→69353.8 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 07:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.227007→0.222613 | -15.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 02:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.29182→1.26725 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 14:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.231168→0.22669 | -15.24 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
231
closed
41%
win rate
-488.30
total pnl ($)
-28.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 45 | 36% | -39.5 | -133.23 |
| BTC | 42 | 52% | +4.2 | +12.55 |
| XRP | 39 | 36% | -40.1 | -117.66 |
| ETH | 36 | 36% | -41.9 | -113.59 |
| DOGE | 36 | 39% | -26.2 | -71.43 |
| SOL | 33 | 45% | -26.3 | -64.94 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 6)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 17:07 | SOL | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 17:07 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 17:07 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 13:23 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 13:23 | DOGE | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 08:45 | ADA | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||