312
closed trades
39%
win rate
-732.10
total pnl ($)
0.699
weight
7d window — n=46 wr=37% pnl=-88.11
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:46 (23.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 410
· wr: 42.7%
· total_bps: -9667.6
· mean_bps: -23.58
· sharpe: -0.20
· max_dd_bps: -11447.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.148317→0.147123 | -6.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06487→1.05864 | -5.02 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:10 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0756069→0.0755651 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:56 | BTC | Buy | 59456→60029 | +6.53 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.143776→0.148303 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:13 | SOL | Buy | 68.9813→71.1683 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-26 11:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0734394→0.0738155 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.139965→0.144404 | +23.13 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1573.66→1543.87 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:17 | BTC | Buy | 58929.9→59972 | +12.57 | timeout |
| 06-25 15:12 | SOL | Buy | 66.925→65.6673 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076103→0.074651 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.147987→0.145161 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.3654→68.0617 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.07627→1.08233 | +3.55 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.145386→0.150112 | +23.82 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.04596→1.07913 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:50 | ETH | Buy | 1569.96→1619.94 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:57 | SOL | Buy | 67.4651→66.1969 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.145346→0.142503 | -15.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | SOL | Buy | 69.2994→67.9898 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:43 | BTC | Buy | 62651.1→61486.2 | -14.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.152898→0.149977 | -14.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 06:14 | SOL | Buy | 69.6604→69.8765 | +1.78 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.150398→0.152362 | +9.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.10328→1.10312 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0789107→0.0789403 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.154899→0.151856 | -15.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:13 | SOL | Buy | 70.3466→68.9552 | -15.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0819435→0.0803427 | -15.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.15938→0.156263 | -15.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.13358→1.13082 | -2.49 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.6549→71.0698 | -17.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084043→0.0824371 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:07 | SOL | Buy | 74.1501→72.7557 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:36 | SOL | Buy | 74.0321→74.6108 | +5.11 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.15968→0.16143 | +7.50 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:19 | ETH | Buy | 1704.27→1735.93 | +13.25 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834459→0.0835171 | -0.01 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 74.3011→72.9046 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 16:05 | ETH | Buy | 1732.27→1729.23 | -2.03 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:35 | BTC | Buy | 64192.2→64158.8 | -1.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1741.67→1732.43 | -4.65 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.162201→0.16035 | -9.20 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14149→1.14711 | +2.95 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:30 | SOL | Buy | 70.9386→72.1632 | +12.20 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833408→0.083924 | +4.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.16198→0.163459 | +6.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.16085→0.16169 | +3.16 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:18 | BTC | Buy | 63065.2→63436.8 | +3.75 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62476.1→63216.8 | +8.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.16076→0.162349 | +6.81 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.162801→0.15968 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:18 | ETH | Buy | 1709.17→1700.33 | -4.56 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.5847→70.2393 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845851→0.083974 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-18 06:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.166652→0.164599 | -9.76 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.187→1.16443 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.169432→0.168948 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-17 17:19 | ETH | Buy | 1771.98→1774.22 | +0.22 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.216→1.1929 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:31 | SOL | Buy | 73.8331→72.4459 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 00:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.173213→0.172457 | -3.82 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:38 | XRP | Buy | 1.2144→1.219 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:04 | BTC | Buy | 66338.3→65871.7 | -5.99 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:16 | ETH | Buy | 1820.28→1785.73 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 09:04 | BTC | Buy | 66296.3→66809.7 | +5.13 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0891083→0.0874104 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.28652→1.26205 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.186717→0.183153 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.427→75.7586 | +23.15 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | SOL | Buy | 71.3107→73.581 | +23.19 | take_profit |
| 06-15 11:19 | XRP | Buy | 1.17929→1.2169 | +23.23 | take_profit |
| 06-15 00:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.178615→0.184334 | +23.34 | take_profit |
| 06-14 23:22 | BTC | Buy | 64050.2→65514.7 | +16.45 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.166862→0.172127 | +22.94 | take_profit |
| 06-14 15:47 | BTC | Buy | 64373.2→64002.8 | -5.00 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:38 | SOL | Buy | 68.2042→66.9205 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 07:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087949→0.0873262 | -6.06 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:19 | XRP | Buy | 1.14589→1.14641 | -0.27 | timeout |
| 06-13 23:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883391→0.087831 | -5.06 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.173153→0.171417 | -8.09 | timeout |
| 06-13 13:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.13228→1.15141 | +11.92 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.170713→0.172847 | +8.70 | timeout |
| 06-13 03:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.13368→1.13242 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.169712→0.169748 | -0.55 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0870418→0.0897995 | +23.07 | take_profit |
| 06-12 13:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.14899→1.12675 | -15.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 10:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.13968→1.14551 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.170533→0.169698 | -4.42 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0850213→0.0864784 | +12.10 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.11798→1.14001 | +14.07 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:58 | ADA | Buy | 0.163161→0.165759 | +11.32 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:47 | BTC | Buy | 61872.1→62884.9 | +11.54 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:36 | BTC | Buy | 61407.1→62284.9 | +10.01 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.10858→1.11882 | +6.23 | timeout |
| 06-10 02:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.166552→0.168578 | +8.37 | timeout |
| 06-10 02:06 | BTC | Buy | 61739.1→62016.9 | +2.75 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:39 | SOL | Buy | 64.7367→63.5067 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 16:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0847322→0.0831186 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
312
closed
39%
win rate
-732.10
total pnl ($)
-31.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 68 | 35% | -31.4 | -159.66 |
| BTC | 54 | 43% | -16.9 | -69.50 |
| XRP | 54 | 37% | -27.9 | -112.83 |
| SOL | 50 | 42% | -38.4 | -143.86 |
| DOGE | 48 | 38% | -49.2 | -177.83 |
| ETH | 38 | 39% | -23.8 | -68.42 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:46 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 11:46 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||