121
closed trades
36%
win rate
-567.49
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=12 wr=25% pnl=-227.08
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:45 (24.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 110
· wr: 34.5%
· total_bps: -5789.7
· mean_bps: -52.63
· sharpe: -0.49
· max_dd_bps: -6153.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 21:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.147237→0.144442 | -29.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:08 | ETH | Buy | 1564.56→1576.64 | +10.21 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.02286→1.00215 | -31.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | BTC | Buy | 61329.1→60188.9 | -29.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 03:59 | XRP | Buy | 1.05866→1.07143 | +16.83 | timeout |
| 06-24 16:57 | SOL | Buy | 67.4651→66.1969 | -29.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62291.1→61130.4 | -29.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0780125→0.0765196 | -30.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ETH | Buy | 1678.57→1647.01 | -29.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:46 | BTC | Buy | 65069.3→64436.8 | -15.95 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1735.87→1703.28 | -29.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 64194.2→64262.8 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.162581→0.1607 | -18.45 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62476.1→63216.8 | +16.52 | timeout |
| 06-18 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845851→0.083974 | -12.34 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.174724→0.171301 | -30.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1827.18→1792.92 | -29.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:23 | SOL | Buy | 75.4813→74.0618 | -29.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.24781→1.28718 | +46.02 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:15 | BTC | Buy | 64122.2→65655.7 | +34.51 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:14 | SOL | Buy | 69.3484→71.5523 | +46.34 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863216→0.0890537 | +46.14 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:46 | BTC | Buy | 64345.2→64023.8 | -8.87 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.170133→0.166835 | -30.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 09:17 | ETH | Buy | 1689.57→1672.83 | -16.15 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.15329→1.14591 | -10.73 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:00 | SOL | Buy | 67.9612→68.2438 | +5.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1658.27→1663.33 | +3.26 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.12908→1.13292 | +3.88 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:53 | BTC | Buy | 63029.2→63522.8 | +10.26 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.171023→0.167744 | -30.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.12638→1.16221 | +46.39 | take_profit |
| 06-06 06:21 | ETH | Buy | 1530.45→1579.24 | +46.51 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.10918→1.08808 | -29.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 01:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.176004→0.17266 | -29.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 03:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877039→0.0904774 | +46.09 | take_profit |
| 06-03 03:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7601→72.3739 | -29.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 15:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.095835→0.0940005 | -30.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 22:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.28852→1.28798 | -1.91 | timeout |
| 06-01 06:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.33803→1.31252 | -30.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 05:13 | ETH | Buy | 2007.1→1998.1 | -8.22 | timeout |
| 05-31 22:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.099894→0.100395 | +6.11 | timeout |
| 05-31 01:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101165→0.101045 | -3.25 | timeout |
| 05-30 18:18 | SOL | Buy | 82.4324→82.9955 | +8.81 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.27702→1.28688 | +10.26 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0986397→0.0979855 | -11.23 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.236259→0.231746 | -29.91 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | SOL | Buy | 82.8774→81.3011 | -29.87 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 22:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.23948→0.237451 | -14.17 | timeout |
| 05-27 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 2074.01→2058.89 | -12.35 | timeout |
| 05-27 13:37 | BTC | Buy | 75636.8→75117.2 | -11.60 | timeout |
| 05-27 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101305→0.102024 | +9.15 | timeout |
| 05-27 00:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.24126→0.24074 | -4.27 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:08 | BTC | Buy | 76891.8→76064.2 | -17.58 | timeout |
| 05-26 17:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.35284→1.3272 | -29.60 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 17:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102436→0.100515 | -29.33 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 17:20 | ETH | Buy | 2108.81→2069.46 | -29.26 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 76673.8→76641.2 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 05-26 09:40 | SOL | Buy | 83.9046→84.3843 | +7.28 | timeout |
| 05-26 04:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.35534→1.34446 | -13.34 | timeout |
| 05-25 23:15 | BTC | Buy | 77634.9→77242.1 | -9.01 | timeout |
| 05-25 22:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.246622→0.242709 | -25.30 | timeout |
| 05-25 22:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.103696→0.101744 | -29.70 | stop_loss |
| 05-25 17:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102386→0.103164 | +9.91 | timeout |
| 05-25 16:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.244961→0.246938 | +10.61 | timeout |
| 05-25 13:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.35494→1.35686 | +0.65 | timeout |
| 05-25 05:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.33443→1.35896 | +26.13 | timeout |
| 05-25 05:41 | ETH | Buy | 2071.31→2108.89 | +25.78 | timeout |
| 05-24 22:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101625→0.101885 | +2.53 | timeout |
| 05-24 22:17 | SOL | Buy | 84.5147→85.0482 | +8.03 | timeout |
| 05-24 22:13 | ETH | Buy | 2095.21→2092.69 | -3.22 | timeout |
| 05-24 18:28 | BTC | Buy | 77169.9→76642.2 | -11.66 | timeout |
| 05-24 17:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.36144→1.35076 | -13.18 | timeout |
| 05-24 06:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102796→0.102694 | -2.98 | timeout |
| 05-24 06:31 | BTC | Buy | 76475.8→76704.2 | +3.03 | timeout |
| 05-23 20:57 | ETH | Buy | 2078.31→2144.79 | +46.61 | take_profit |
| 05-23 20:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.24205→0.249748 | +46.32 | take_profit |
| 05-23 20:37 | ETH | Buy | 2042.8→2108.29 | +46.60 | take_profit |
| 05-23 16:23 | BTC | Buy | 74580.7→75402.2 | +15.08 | timeout |
| 05-23 15:51 | SOL | Buy | 81.9953→84.0234 | +35.95 | timeout |
| 05-23 07:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100855→0.0989477 | -29.72 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 07:50 | ETH | Buy | 2060.61→2022.29 | -29.27 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 03:31 | SOL | Buy | 84.4047→84.5893 | +2.02 | timeout |
| 05-23 02:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.33913→1.33857 | -1.99 | timeout |
| 05-23 00:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102886→0.100924 | -30.04 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 19:41 | ETH | Buy | 2095.41→2055.87 | -29.66 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 77239.9→75804.3 | -29.27 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 18:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.249422→0.244676 | -29.82 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 18:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.106617→0.104602 | -29.69 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 16:15 | XRP | Buy | 1.36734→1.35006 | -20.11 | timeout |
| 05-22 15:13 | SOL | Buy | 86.744→86.618 | -3.68 | timeout |
| 05-22 11:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.106107→0.105904 | -4.37 | timeout |
| 05-22 07:59 | SOL | Buy | 87.2391→86.922 | -6.95 | timeout |
| 05-22 01:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.37974→1.36786 | -14.29 | timeout |
| 05-22 01:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.105496→0.105464 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 05-22 01:17 | BTC | Buy | 77808.9→77425.1 | -8.78 | timeout |
| 05-22 00:25 | SOL | Buy | 86.2189→87.1019 | +13.95 | timeout |
| 05-21 18:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.37164→1.37886 | +6.39 | timeout |
| 05-21 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.105336→0.103954 | -21.06 | timeout |
| 05-21 13:39 | ETH | Buy | 2146.01→2105.94 | -29.39 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
121
closed
36%
win rate
-567.49
total pnl ($)
-31.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 23 | 30% | -25.9 | -90.16 |
| BTC | 22 | 36% | -28.7 | -95.50 |
| DOGE | 22 | 32% | -39.7 | -131.87 |
| XRP | 20 | 40% | -15.4 | -45.69 |
| SOL | 18 | 61% | +4.0 | +10.74 |
| ADA | 16 | 19% | -89.6 | -215.01 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||