275
closed trades
39%
win rate
-857.74
total pnl ($)
0.464
weight
7d window — n=45 wr=42% pnl=-125.07
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 03:13:57 (23.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 276
· wr: 44.6%
· total_bps: -5507.1
· mean_bps: -19.95
· sharpe: -0.14
· max_dd_bps: -8085.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.148287→0.148163 | -1.23 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.148327→0.147523 | -4.78 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.01945→1.04944 | +21.41 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:39 | ETH | Buy | 1573.46→1534.38 | -19.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.140085→0.146223 | +32.20 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:03 | SOL | Buy | 67.5471→70.4994 | +32.07 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1574.16→1535.28 | -19.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.072102→0.0752422 | +31.90 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:44 | SOL | Buy | 68.1432→66.4518 | -19.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | SOL | Buy | 68.3202→66.6227 | -19.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.08787→1.0601 | -19.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | ETH | Buy | 1646.36→1605.54 | -19.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.145126→0.149263 | +20.60 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.05636→1.08283 | +18.20 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:01 | SOL | Buy | 65.5728→68.4587 | +32.35 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:48 | ETH | Buy | 1591.16→1551.87 | -19.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:58 | BTC | Buy | 61740.1→60219.9 | -19.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:47 | SOL | Buy | 68.9973→67.2862 | -19.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | ETH | Buy | 1676.37→1634.92 | -19.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0777724→0.0758211 | -19.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796059→0.0775918 | -19.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:15 | BTC | Buy | 62536.1→62324.9 | -3.22 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:13 | SOL | Buy | 69.6154→69.1706 | -5.40 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.10118→1.11072 | +5.88 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151118→0.152802 | +7.57 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.8643→68.9237 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:39 | BTC | Buy | 63396.2→62563.9 | -10.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.12428→1.09598 | -19.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820755→0.08 | -19.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:38 | BTC | Buy | 65035.3→63946.8 | -13.22 | timeout |
| 06-22 21:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844741→0.0823582 | -19.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.16158→0.157522 | -19.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.16021→0.15867 | -7.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.12788→1.14081 | +7.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:02 | SOL | Buy | 73.0099→73.7519 | +6.84 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:02 | ETH | Buy | 1737.57→1735.13 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:27 | SOL | Buy | 73.641→72.8191 | -9.16 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0834111 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.163091→0.162009 | -5.68 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:06 | SOL | Buy | 73.37→74.2279 | +7.98 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:31 | BTC | Buy | 63869.2→64150.8 | +2.64 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:45 | ETH | Buy | 1727.97→1735.83 | +2.69 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14159→1.14911 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:25 | BTC | Buy | 63280.2→64217.8 | +10.40 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.14139→1.14621 | +2.39 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:35 | ETH | Buy | 1716.07→1726.93 | +3.98 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:35 | SOL | Buy | 70.0715→71.6692 | +16.38 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829267→0.084118 | +10.10 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.162671→0.162129 | -3.28 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:44 | BTC | Buy | 62491.1→62986.9 | +5.25 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:19 | BTC | Buy | 62945.1→62506.9 | -5.83 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.164001→0.15988 | -19.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:56 | BTC | Buy | 63947.2→62374.7 | -18.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:39 | SOL | Buy | 71.2037→69.4308 | -19.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.165431→0.161249 | -19.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 20:32 | ETH | Buy | 1770.08→1740.73 | -13.12 | timeout |
| 06-17 20:13 | SOL | Buy | 72.8679→71.9102 | -10.64 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ETH | Buy | 1781.18→1737.16 | -19.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0868527→0.0867153 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.22431→1.1936 | -19.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.22121→1.19061 | -19.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877539→0.0872882 | -4.67 | timeout |
| 06-17 06:02 | ETH | Buy | 1805.48→1793.42 | -5.76 | timeout |
| 06-17 04:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.173213→0.173297 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:32 | ETH | Buy | 1783.18→1789.82 | +2.01 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.173939 | -19.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.21579 | -19.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:18 | SOL | Buy | 75.0553→73.1914 | -19.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0895294→0.0872845 | -19.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:36 | SOL | Buy | 73.8801→74.0669 | +1.22 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:02 | BTC | Buy | 65933.3→66189.7 | +2.21 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.28232→1.25026 | -19.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.22281→1.27608 | +32.02 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.181595→0.189643 | +32.54 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1725.07→1800.82 | +32.24 | take_profit |
| 06-15 10:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.17389→1.1857 | +6.89 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863216→0.0889168 | +21.76 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:43 | BTC | Buy | 64356.2→65627.7 | +14.12 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:49 | XRP | Buy | 1.13558→1.185 | +32.04 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.167092→0.174386 | +32.01 | take_profit |
| 06-14 14:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.166095 | -19.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 64570.2→64353.8 | -3.19 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.15419→1.13452 | -13.30 | timeout |
| 06-14 11:58 | SOL | Buy | 68.9003→68.0928 | -9.33 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:14 | ETH | Buy | 1674.87→1673.83 | -1.09 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.14409→1.14651 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:06 | ETH | Buy | 1674.97→1675.93 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:05 | SOL | Buy | 67.4121→68.3158 | +9.53 | timeout |
| 06-13 19:37 | BTC | Buy | 63799.2→64228.8 | +4.38 | timeout |
| 06-13 03:08 | ETH | Buy | 1684.07→1668.03 | -7.88 | timeout |
| 06-13 01:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.13238→1.13652 | +2.22 | timeout |
| 06-13 01:30 | SOL | Buy | 66.623→67.1249 | +5.07 | timeout |
| 06-13 01:30 | BTC | Buy | 63312.2→63623.8 | +2.95 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.172093→0.167794 | -19.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 06:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0871828→0.0849842 | -19.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 05:29 | ETH | Buy | 1652.67→1667.53 | +6.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.166562→0.170907 | +18.78 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.166772→0.168438 | +6.71 | timeout |
| 06-11 20:47 | BTC | Buy | 62896.1→63243.8 | +3.37 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.10558→1.09793 | -5.83 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
275
closed
39%
win rate
-857.74
total pnl ($)
-41.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 54 | 43% | -33.0 | -132.62 |
| ADA | 51 | 37% | -37.6 | -143.39 |
| BTC | 49 | 37% | -34.8 | -128.84 |
| SOL | 43 | 49% | -14.9 | -48.41 |
| ETH | 42 | 33% | -75.6 | -238.96 |
| DOGE | 36 | 33% | -60.9 | -165.53 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:32 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 10:22 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-27 08:47 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||