339
closed trades
37%
win rate
-997.52
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=54 wr=33% pnl=-226.74
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 02:05:25 (24.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 163
· wr: 36.2%
· total_bps: -7403.4
· mean_bps: -45.42
· sharpe: -0.35
· max_dd_bps: -8157.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:25 | ETH | Buy | 1605.66→1575.65 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.7309→71.3566 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 17:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0753398→0.075788 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:19 | SOL | Buy | 72.0828→72.6741 | +5.42 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.147497→0.148643 | +5.08 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:50 | XRP | Buy | 1.06097→1.05854 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:36 | SOL | Buy | 73.435→72.0541 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1573.16→1543.67 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.142426→0.146933 | +23.04 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 66.938→69.0676 | +23.16 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143516→0.140774 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:32 | SOL | Buy | 65.9709→67.0909 | +12.06 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.02116→1.03954 | +12.91 | timeout |
| 06-25 15:01 | BTC | Buy | 60310→59188.4 | -14.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0749297→0.0735038 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.147487→0.144631 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1627.86→1597.44 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:39 | BTC | Buy | 61800.1→60650.6 | -14.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:49 | SOL | Buy | 68.0042→68.4327 | +4.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.148763 | +5.70 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:08 | BTC | Buy | 59654→60772 | +13.39 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05616→1.07493 | +12.71 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.141755→0.146243 | +23.14 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.8153→67.5161 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:41 | ETH | Buy | 1661.37→1630.22 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62289.1→61129.4 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779195→0.0764386 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150618→0.147739 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 21:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.10148→1.10472 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151198→0.149953 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:23 | ETH | Buy | 1653.87→1662.43 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.7493→69.0426 | +2.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.11428→1.10722 | -5.37 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:20 | BTC | Buy | 63498.2→62316.7 | -14.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.12318→1.11082 | -8.86 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820355→0.0804756 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.16035→0.157292 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.14509→1.12316 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844541→0.0828478 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:40 | ETH | Buy | 1767.98→1734.86 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.16021→0.162659 | +10.73 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837259→0.0836241 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.12798→1.13722 | +5.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832738→0.0829233 | -3.82 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:11 | ETH | Buy | 1727.07→1705.73 | -9.94 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 74.3001→72.9036 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.14609→1.14481 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 64374.2→64183.8 | -2.88 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.16042→0.16133 | +3.56 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:39 | SOL | Buy | 73.6891→73.133 | -6.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:22 | BTC | Buy | 64431.2→64273.8 | -2.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:24 | SOL | Buy | 73.491→73.189 | -3.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163051→0.15995 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:30 | ETH | Buy | 1732.97→1736.33 | +0.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162241→0.163229 | +3.85 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.5917→71.7012 | +0.40 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084111→0.0834991 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.15997 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 09:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.13838→1.14681 | +4.89 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:41 | BTC | Buy | 63313.2→63676.8 | +3.63 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0784→69.9975 | +9.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822105→0.0829882 | +6.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | ETH | Buy | 1684.77→1705.93 | +8.74 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63245.8 | +8.15 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | ETH | Buy | 1696.77→1694.73 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826887→0.0826143 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164001→0.160879 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.13988→1.14671 | +3.77 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 63781.2→62590.6 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.165761→0.162608 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16649→1.15981 | -4.94 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.165651→0.164369 | -6.31 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6979→71.5533 | -12.51 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.2047→1.18161 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0858024→0.0869103 | +8.93 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 64648.2→65359.7 | +7.55 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:10 | ETH | Buy | 1771.28→1767.72 | -2.23 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 65732.3→64496.5 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.2111→1.18801 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171213→0.168708 | -11.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 06:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.2202→1.2185 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 06-17 00:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.173273→0.172427 | -4.30 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.2152→1.2196 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:39 | SOL | Buy | 72.7789→73.7439 | +9.26 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:05 | BTC | Buy | 66348.3→65884.7 | -5.92 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:22 | ETH | Buy | 1811.78→1777.43 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.22328 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 06:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087968→0.0875631 | -4.09 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 74.4992→73.0935 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.180755→0.177317 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:57 | XRP | Buy | 1.28592→1.26125 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:18 | BTC | Buy | 66256.3→66487.7 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904096→0.0886735 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.413→75.7626 | +23.34 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:42 | ETH | Buy | 1774.78→1831.52 | +23.30 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.2059→1.24389 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:32 | ETH | Buy | 1702.47→1719.53 | +6.82 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0864756→0.0888098 | +19.51 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
339
closed
37%
win rate
-997.52
total pnl ($)
-39.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 63 | 41% | -28.3 | -133.35 |
| ADA | 62 | 35% | -51.1 | -236.97 |
| BTC | 58 | 34% | -29.1 | -127.49 |
| SOL | 55 | 42% | -36.9 | -153.06 |
| ETH | 51 | 35% | -48.3 | -185.12 |
| DOGE | 50 | 30% | -42.8 | -161.52 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:09 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:08 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||