362
closed trades
41%
win rate
-759.95
total pnl ($)
0.416
weight
7d window — n=57 wr=46% pnl=-130.33
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 02:05:25 (24.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 378
· wr: 41.8%
· total_bps: -9647.7
· mean_bps: -25.52
· sharpe: -0.20
· max_dd_bps: -10883.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147217→0.144412 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076021→0.074564 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.147537→0.148323 | +3.36 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.148717→0.146813 | -10.20 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06407→1.05834 | -4.67 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0740265→0.0753612 | +12.77 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.142356→0.146933 | +23.47 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | SOL | Buy | 67.5431→69.6935 | +23.18 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143516→0.140774 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:18 | ETH | Buy | 1559.96→1576.44 | +7.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:20 | BTC | Buy | 59296→59818 | +5.91 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.02826→1.04254 | +9.81 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0747607→0.073295 | -15.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1630.66→1600.04 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:38 | BTC | Buy | 61900.1→60747.6 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:49 | SOL | Buy | 68.0042→68.4377 | +4.08 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:24 | BTC | Buy | 59517→60888 | +16.60 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05606→1.07503 | +12.85 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.141585→0.146143 | +23.54 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:49 | SOL | Buy | 65.7829→67.8688 | +23.12 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0753218→0.0738846 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.8263→67.5241 | -14.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | SOL | Buy | 68.9513→67.656 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:31 | BTC | Buy | 61862.1→60707.6 | -14.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0788997→0.0773619 | -15.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ETH | Buy | 1687.57→1656.01 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0794569→0.0779415 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150558→0.147689 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 05:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.150368→0.152472 | +9.75 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.150758→0.153942 | +15.09 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.10288→1.10762 | +2.58 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:30 | BTC | Buy | 62004.1→62555.9 | +6.01 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.7613→69.0436 | +2.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63459.2→62278.7 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.12888→1.10737 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 03:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.157679→0.15872 | +4.37 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828627→0.081257 | -15.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.1603→0.15982 | -2.84 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835869→0.0831172 | -4.90 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.15759→1.13555 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.16145→0.158371 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.16008→0.162109 | +8.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:25 | BTC | Buy | 64424.2→64112.8 | -4.34 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.12928→1.13182 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829507→0.0832652 | +2.14 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:00 | BTC | Buy | 63834.2→64072.8 | +2.12 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832928→0.0829563 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16157→0.158501 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14949→1.14471 | -3.85 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.16167→0.162069 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.16167→0.162149 | +1.71 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:50 | BTC | Buy | 64280.2→63905.8 | -5.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.162911→0.15978 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:27 | ETH | Buy | 1740.77→1732.33 | -4.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.16125→0.16162 | +1.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:47 | BTC | Buy | 63847.2→64232.8 | +3.85 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:36 | ETH | Buy | 1716.27→1743.03 | +10.96 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:33 | SOL | Buy | 71.7838→74.0589 | +23.02 | take_profit |
| 06-20 18:45 | BTC | Buy | 63592.2→63797.8 | +1.76 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.162821→0.15972 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:43 | SOL | Buy | 70.8096→71.5293 | +6.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.13848→1.14761 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0664→69.9975 | +9.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | ETH | Buy | 1691.47→1706.33 | +5.91 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:54 | BTC | Buy | 62601.1→63068.8 | +4.91 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63246.8 | +8.16 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.16077→0.162189 | +6.00 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:19 | BTC | Buy | 62964.1→62613.9 | -4.78 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.14709→1.12516 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164081→0.160939 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14189→1.14941 | +4.22 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:46 | ETH | Buy | 1694.67→1709.83 | +5.96 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:46 | BTC | Buy | 62794.1→62858.9 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.165801→0.164409 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | BTC | Buy | 65079.3→63853.9 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 22:01 | ETH | Buy | 1759.98→1735.53 | -11.09 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 64921.2→64252.8 | -8.39 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.2112→1.18811 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:56 | ETH | Buy | 1765.18→1772.52 | +2.41 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859775→0.0872232 | +10.12 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.171413→0.168708 | -12.52 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.584→72.1901 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 04:19 | XRP | Buy | 1.22161→1.2155 | -4.43 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.174414→0.171062 | -15.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 23:49 | ETH | Buy | 1775.98→1792.82 | +6.36 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:37 | SOL | Buy | 75.2543→73.832 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.25011→1.22628 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1828.78→1794.52 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.594→74.4638 | +8.16 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0891333→0.0874344 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 23:19 | BTC | Buy | 66680.3→66138.7 | -6.79 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.188287→0.184681 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:20 | SOL | Buy | 75.9684→74.5405 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904016→0.0886635 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.23981→1.27928 | +23.21 | take_profit |
| 06-15 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.39→75.7166 | +23.10 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
362
closed
41%
win rate
-759.95
total pnl ($)
-28.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 92 | 43% | -30.3 | -207.90 |
| BTC | 57 | 42% | -22.7 | -98.01 |
| XRP | 57 | 37% | -38.1 | -162.79 |
| ETH | 54 | 37% | -47.4 | -193.07 |
| SOL | 54 | 52% | +32.8 | +132.46 |
| DOGE | 48 | 35% | -63.9 | -230.64 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:22 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||