333
closed trades
39%
win rate
-768.24
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=51 wr=33% pnl=-205.54
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 02:05:25 (24.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 326
· wr: 41.4%
· total_bps: -7528.7
· mean_bps: -23.09
· sharpe: -0.19
· max_dd_bps: -8602.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.04636→1.04124 | -4.26 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:06 | ETH | Buy | 1583.56→1569.74 | -7.18 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:06 | SOL | Buy | 71.4367→70.4594 | -10.89 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147217→0.144412 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076021→0.074564 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.147147→0.146463 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.148717→0.146813 | -10.20 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06407→1.05834 | -4.67 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0740265→0.0753612 | +12.77 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.142356→0.146933 | +23.47 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | SOL | Buy | 67.5431→69.6935 | +23.18 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143516→0.140774 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1574.56→1545.07 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:20 | BTC | Buy | 59296→59818 | +5.91 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.04266→1.02273 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0747607→0.073295 | -15.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1630.66→1600.04 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:38 | BTC | Buy | 61900.1→60747.6 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:49 | SOL | Buy | 68.0042→68.4377 | +4.08 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.141585→0.146143 | +23.54 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:49 | SOL | Buy | 65.7829→67.8688 | +23.12 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0753218→0.0738846 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | SOL | Buy | 68.9513→67.656 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:31 | BTC | Buy | 61862.1→60707.6 | -14.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.09217→1.0714 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0788997→0.0773619 | -15.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ETH | Buy | 1687.57→1656.01 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150558→0.147689 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 01:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.150758→0.153942 | +15.09 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.10288→1.10762 | +2.58 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.7613→69.0436 | +2.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63459.2→62278.7 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.12888→1.10737 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828627→0.081257 | -15.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835869→0.0831172 | -4.90 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.15759→1.13555 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.16145→0.158371 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.16008→0.162109 | +8.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836809→0.0835771 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.12928→1.13182 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:00 | BTC | Buy | 63834.2→64072.8 | +2.12 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.157159→0.162109 | +22.93 | take_profit |
| 06-22 00:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832928→0.0829563 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14949→1.14471 | -3.85 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.16167→0.162069 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:11 | SOL | Buy | 73.9141→74.2709 | +2.87 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:39 | SOL | Buy | 73.7301→73.12 | -6.95 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:50 | BTC | Buy | 64280.2→63905.8 | -5.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.162911→0.15978 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:27 | ETH | Buy | 1740.77→1732.33 | -4.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.16197→0.163209 | +5.07 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:36 | ETH | Buy | 1716.27→1743.03 | +10.96 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:33 | SOL | Buy | 71.7838→74.0589 | +23.02 | take_profit |
| 06-20 18:45 | BTC | Buy | 63592.2→63797.8 | +1.76 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:43 | SOL | Buy | 70.8096→71.5293 | +6.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.13848→1.14761 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0664→69.9975 | +9.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825036→0.0830582 | +4.33 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | ETH | Buy | 1691.47→1706.33 | +5.91 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63246.8 | +8.16 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.15957→0.16158 | +8.81 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:19 | BTC | Buy | 62964.1→62613.9 | -4.78 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164081→0.160939 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14189→1.14941 | +4.22 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:46 | ETH | Buy | 1694.67→1709.83 | +5.96 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:46 | BTC | Buy | 62794.1→62858.9 | +0.02 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.165801→0.164409 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 64921.2→64252.8 | -8.39 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.169322→0.166095 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.2112→1.18811 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:56 | ETH | Buy | 1765.18→1772.52 | +2.41 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859775→0.0872232 | +10.12 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.171413→0.168708 | -12.52 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.584→72.1901 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 04:19 | XRP | Buy | 1.22161→1.2155 | -4.43 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:37 | SOL | Buy | 75.2543→73.832 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.25011→1.22628 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1828.78→1794.52 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.594→74.4638 | +8.16 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0896484→0.087944 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:18 | SOL | Buy | 75.6643→74.2417 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.188287→0.184681 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0896934→0.0887998 | -8.03 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1746.07→1801.82 | +23.26 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:08 | SOL | Buy | 70.9386→73.187 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.180865→0.186573 | +22.99 | take_profit |
| 06-15 07:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.182196→0.180315 | -8.40 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.17129→1.1855 | +8.46 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:09 | ETH | Buy | 1714.57→1721.03 | +2.13 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:15 | BTC | Buy | 64372.2→65672.7 | +14.47 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863106→0.0890537 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.17001 | +23.00 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | SOL | Buy | 67.4291→69.5696 | +23.21 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:12 | BTC | Buy | 64477.2→63795.8 | -8.63 | timeout |
| 06-14 15:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.14549→1.13272 | -8.94 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.167025 | -15.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 64337.2→64285.8 | -1.28 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
333
closed
39%
win rate
-768.24
total pnl ($)
-30.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 68 | 37% | -34.7 | -175.49 |
| XRP | 58 | 34% | -40.5 | -175.88 |
| BTC | 53 | 43% | -15.9 | -64.19 |
| ETH | 52 | 37% | -49.2 | -192.52 |
| SOL | 51 | 53% | +11.2 | +42.68 |
| DOGE | 51 | 29% | -53.0 | -202.84 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:27 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||