298
closed trades
43%
win rate
-409.93
total pnl ($)
0.623
weight
7d window — n=54 wr=43% pnl=-101.73
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 02:05:25 (22.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 199
· wr: 41.7%
· total_bps: -6803.8
· mean_bps: -34.19
· sharpe: -0.26
· max_dd_bps: -7579.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 15:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.143556→0.148123 | +23.13 | take_profit |
| 06-26 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1573.46→1543.97 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.01905→1.05134 | +23.07 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:56 | SOL | Buy | 66.1009→68.1998 | +23.13 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143396→0.140565 | -15.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.02005→1.03954 | +13.74 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076022→0.074564 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:41 | SOL | Buy | 68.2612→66.9664 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | ETH | Buy | 1635.16→1604.54 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:01 | BTC | Buy | 61351.1→61206.9 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.08837→1.0677 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05626→1.07493 | +12.64 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.141625→0.146093 | +23.06 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:47 | SOL | Buy | 65.5348→67.6129 | +23.12 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Buy | 1633.16→1602.54 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:44 | SOL | Buy | 68.9023→67.603 | -14.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 61759.1→60607.6 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0769452→0.0754614 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.10088→1.09113 | -7.27 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796059→0.0788123 | -8.13 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:16 | BTC | Buy | 62537.1→62754.9 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:13 | SOL | Buy | 69.6144→69.8865 | +2.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 62219.1→62530.9 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.10108→1.10472 | +1.81 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.151288→0.149833 | -7.85 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.8113→69.0716 | +2.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63441.2→62257.7 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.12808→1.10647 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.15938→0.156243 | -15.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:37 | BTC | Buy | 64986.2→64441.8 | -6.97 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.14539→1.13282 | -8.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844251→0.0828129 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16166→0.158591 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.15976→0.16142 | +7.07 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837259→0.0836241 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | SOL | Buy | 73.011→73.8859 | +8.29 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832938→0.0831352 | -2.07 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:17 | ETH | Buy | 1718.37→1730.93 | +4.79 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.14609→1.14481 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 64373.2→64183.8 | -2.87 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.1619→0.16047 | -7.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:07 | SOL | Buy | 73.414→73.8039 | +3.23 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:49 | BTC | Buy | 64243.2→63886.8 | -4.90 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1740.87→1732.43 | -4.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.14119→1.14801 | +3.80 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:04 | ETH | Buy | 1735.07→1742.83 | +2.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.5757→71.7052 | +0.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.14779→1.14651 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08422→0.082619 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13968→1.14591 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:35 | ETH | Buy | 1716.37→1723.03 | +2.16 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829607→0.083872 | +7.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:10 | SOL | Buy | 69.9275→72.1542 | +23.19 | take_profit |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62490.1→63238.8 | +8.36 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4164→68.7657 | -7.76 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164001→0.160879 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.16139→0.163269 | +7.98 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823906→0.0834541 | +8.97 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:40 | BTC | Buy | 62762.1→62886.9 | +0.85 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.8976→69.5618 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 63934.2→64390.8 | +4.68 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.166282→0.164759 | -7.59 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0855034→0.0838801 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:31 | ETH | Buy | 1744.57→1746.03 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.169022→0.165716 | -15.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 64576.2→65347.7 | +8.24 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:56 | ETH | Buy | 1764.68→1772.52 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859585→0.0871852 | +9.97 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.088051→0.0863582 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 07:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.172343→0.171587 | -3.90 | timeout |
| 06-17 07:01 | BTC | Buy | 65800.3→65563.7 | -3.38 | timeout |
| 06-17 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.22→1.2192 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:32 | ETH | Buy | 1784.18→1775.32 | -4.47 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24691→1.22318 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:37 | SOL | Buy | 75.2513→73.832 | -14.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7411→74.4378 | +6.39 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180375→0.176787 | -15.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.27992→1.25556 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.186377→0.184504 | -8.20 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:10 | BTC | Buy | 66264.3→66534.7 | +2.35 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904496→0.0887294 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:12 | ETH | Buy | 1738.97→1794.32 | +23.19 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.1997→1.23759 | +23.01 | take_profit |
| 06-15 00:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0864516→0.0888338 | +19.92 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.17001 | +23.00 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.166362→0.171617 | +22.99 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | SOL | Buy | 67.3801→69.5406 | +23.46 | take_profit |
| 06-14 17:05 | ETH | Buy | 1675.57→1663.63 | -6.06 | timeout |
| 06-14 15:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.14579→1.13202 | -9.59 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0874969→0.0858356 | -14.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 14:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.169752→0.166505 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 64577.2→64524.8 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:58 | SOL | Buy | 68.9093→68.1908 | -8.56 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:41 | ETH | Buy | 1683.37→1676.73 | -3.64 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.14709→1.14451 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882601→0.087874 | -4.03 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.173283→0.171367 | -8.88 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.14369→1.14551 | +0.56 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
298
closed
43%
win rate
-409.93
total pnl ($)
-18.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 56 | 46% | -12.8 | -53.22 |
| ADA | 54 | 39% | -25.0 | -100.90 |
| BTC | 49 | 43% | -26.4 | -97.93 |
| SOL | 48 | 56% | +17.2 | +61.60 |
| DOGE | 48 | 38% | -25.1 | -91.07 |
| ETH | 43 | 37% | -39.6 | -128.41 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 11)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 12:53 | BTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 08:37 | ETH | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-25 14:05 | XRP | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 13:08 | DOGE | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 18:20 | SOL | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 17:07 | ADA | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 17:07 | XRP | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 15:53 | ETH | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 14:06 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 13:45 | BTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 11:27 | SOL | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||