301
closed trades
40%
win rate
-1099.40
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=54 wr=31% pnl=-337.58
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 02:05:25 (23.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 196
· wr: 42.3%
· total_bps: -5940.9
· mean_bps: -30.31
· sharpe: -0.23
· max_dd_bps: -6661.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 11:56 | SOL | Buy | 72.3218→71.7742 | -8.42 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.147927→0.147123 | -6.39 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.148617→0.147883 | -5.87 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:44 | BTC | Buy | 59148→59621 | +7.04 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:39 | SOL | Buy | 69.8555→72.0942 | +31.13 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.146437→0.143642 | -19.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.142706→0.139945 | -20.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:33 | BTC | Buy | 59847→59720 | -3.05 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.02236→1.03944 | +15.92 | timeout |
| 06-25 15:15 | ETH | Buy | 1572.06→1542.67 | -19.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:15 | SOL | Buy | 66.797→65.5284 | -19.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0756949→0.0742553 | -19.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:27 | ETH | Buy | 1646.46→1633.34 | -8.82 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1282→68.4237 | +3.41 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149307→0.14641 | -20.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.08837→1.0677 | -19.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 60023→60871 | +13.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:59 | XRP | Buy | 1.05706→1.07143 | +12.75 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.141445→0.145904 | +30.72 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:47 | ETH | Buy | 1588.96→1559.06 | -19.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0748877→0.0734649 | -19.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:16 | SOL | Buy | 67.3851→66.112 | -19.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 61686.1→60538.7 | -19.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.09207→1.0713 | -19.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.10108→1.09113 | -9.88 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1663.07→1665.73 | +0.69 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150618→0.147739 | -19.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795639→0.0788343 | -10.05 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 62534.1→62778.9 | +2.98 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.7333→69.8535 | +15.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.10488→1.10472 | -1.04 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151118→0.150042 | -7.96 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:23 | ETH | Buy | 1652.57→1662.43 | +5.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:24 | BTC | Buy | 62595.1→62614.9 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:17 | SOL | Buy | 69.7425→68.4295 | -19.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.12948→1.10787 | -19.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.15864→0.157681 | -6.91 | timeout |
| 06-23 05:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.3979→71.0368 | -19.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.14629→1.13322 | -12.22 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.16126→0.158171 | -19.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16017→0.1601 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | SOL | Buy | 73.016→73.8929 | +11.08 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13518→1.13632 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:26 | ETH | Buy | 1730.17→1713.83 | -10.29 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16172→0.158641 | -19.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 18:38 | BTC | Buy | 64311.2→64147.8 | -3.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:25 | SOL | Buy | 73.474→74.5008 | +12.98 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.162901→0.15978 | -19.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:27 | ETH | Buy | 1740.67→1732.33 | -5.69 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:31 | BTC | Buy | 63868.2→64288.8 | +5.69 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:05 | ETH | Buy | 1735.17→1742.23 | +3.08 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14179→1.14731 | +3.84 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -20.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0842231→0.08262 | -19.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 09:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.13748→1.14681 | +7.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0664→69.9975 | +12.52 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62476.1→63216.8 | +11.01 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162131→0.159041 | -19.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4224→68.7797 | -10.23 | timeout |
| 06-19 01:27 | ETH | Buy | 1673.57→1711.73 | +21.84 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:34 | BTC | Buy | 63210.2→62875.9 | -6.14 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828987→0.0834441 | +5.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.17129→1.14904 | -19.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.5797→70.2343 | -19.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 63952.2→64354.8 | +5.39 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.166872→0.163697 | -19.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854964→0.0838491 | -20.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | ETH | Buy | 1774.78→1741.55 | -19.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | ETH | Buy | 1760.38→1766.72 | +2.66 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | BTC | Buy | 65893.3→64643.4 | -19.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:36 | BTC | Buy | 64922.2→65908.7 | +14.24 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859255→0.0871972 | +13.82 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.3428→74.6368 | +30.77 | take_profit |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.2144→1.19131 | -19.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:22 | BTC | Buy | 65488.3→64914.8 | -9.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.573→72.1901 | -19.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -19.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.22328 | -19.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7551→74.3998 | +7.81 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.180015→0.176498 | -20.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.27942→1.25466 | -20.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.186047→0.184564 | -8.85 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:10 | BTC | Buy | 66195.3→66541.7 | +4.29 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0903626→0.0886335 | -19.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:14 | SOL | Buy | 73.521→75.8576 | +30.89 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1736.37→1791.62 | +30.91 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1989→1.23669 | +30.62 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.17001 | +30.67 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:42 | BTC | Buy | 64326.2→65180.7 | +12.36 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.166442→0.171747 | +30.94 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | SOL | Buy | 67.4291→69.5666 | +30.91 | take_profit |
| 06-14 17:05 | ETH | Buy | 1675.67→1663.83 | -8.02 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.172523→0.170097 | -14.78 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 64577.2→64528.8 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.15419→1.14401 | -9.52 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:47 | SOL | Buy | 68.8903→68.1568 | -11.53 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:46 | ETH | Buy | 1679.77→1682.13 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882601→0.087874 | -5.37 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.175374→0.171951 | -20.32 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
301
closed
40%
win rate
-1099.40
total pnl ($)
-36.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 64 | 31% | -69.2 | -441.74 |
| XRP | 56 | 45% | -18.6 | -103.51 |
| BTC | 55 | 49% | -11.5 | -64.49 |
| SOL | 49 | 49% | -1.4 | -7.33 |
| DOGE | 39 | 23% | -72.9 | -285.23 |
| ETH | 38 | 37% | -51.7 | -197.11 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||