372
closed trades
36%
win rate
-1165.50
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=66 wr=30% pnl=-320.70
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 02:05:25 (24.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 342
· wr: 44.4%
· total_bps: -8667.0
· mean_bps: -25.34
· sharpe: -0.21
· max_dd_bps: -9788.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 05:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0746136→0.0736886 | -9.98 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:21 | SOL | Buy | 71.4637→70.5544 | -10.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.147317→0.144472 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 21:09 | LTC | Buy | 42.7887→42.4284 | -7.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:37 | LINK | Buy | 7.44546→7.30332 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.6689→71.2956 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.147577→0.148673 | +4.82 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.2476→42.6673 | +6.86 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.40405→7.36296 | -4.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.148287→0.146853 | -7.97 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.148327→0.147883 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:00 | LTC | Buy | 41.3463→41.7945 | +7.42 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:33 | SOL | Buy | 73.667→72.277 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 20:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49232→6.36832 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:07 | LINK | Buy | 7.07077→7.29368 | +22.94 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.140085→0.144504 | +23.00 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | SOL | Buy | 67.5471→69.6895 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-25 15:15 | LTC | Buy | 40.8032→39.97 | -15.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0750177→0.0735888 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | LINK | Buy | 7.32833→7.18811 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.148187→0.145291 | -15.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36849→6.24581 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:41 | SOL | Buy | 68.3202→67.0324 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1432→68.4377 | +2.54 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:28 | LTC | Buy | 41.7054→40.8573 | -15.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149297→0.1464 | -15.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:22 | AVAX | Buy | 6.57354→6.44746 | -15.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 08:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.148107→0.149153 | +4.70 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.44576→7.50162 | +4.95 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4129→6.61745 | +23.26 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:47 | SOL | Buy | 65.5728→67.6529 | +23.13 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | LTC | Buy | 40.8852→39.99 | -17.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | SOL | Buy | 68.9973→67.677 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0777724→0.0762917 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | LINK | Buy | 7.63391→7.48778 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.44911→6.4108 | -5.16 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796059→0.0788123 | -8.13 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:32 | LTC | Buy | 42.0295→42.0585 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:13 | SOL | Buy | 69.6154→69.8795 | +2.30 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26507→6.42389 | +18.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151118→0.150042 | -5.97 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:22 | LINK | Buy | 7.6036→7.56481 | -4.43 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.8643→69.0536 | +1.50 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:55 | LTC | Buy | 43.3388→42.5121 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16514→6.04756 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:15 | LTC | Buy | 44.4591→43.6043 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26707→6.14769 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:18 | LINK | Buy | 7.90177→7.75158 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820755→0.0805126 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:49 | LTC | Buy | 44.6242→44.3039 | -6.06 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32428→6.20354 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:55 | LTC | Buy | 45.5474→44.6755 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:55 | LINK | Buy | 8.05191→7.89787 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844741→0.0828678 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.16158→0.158461 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.16021→0.162069 | +7.97 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:09 | LINK | Buy | 7.92808→8.09847 | +15.44 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:39 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25286→6.24954 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | SOL | Buy | 73.0099→73.8859 | +8.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833728→0.0828103 | -5.73 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:41 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32528→6.20374 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 18:25 | LTC | Buy | 45.3413→45.1267 | -4.21 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:27 | SOL | Buy | 73.641→74.5928 | +8.94 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26247→6.31482 | +5.65 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:06 | SOL | Buy | 73.37→73.7869 | +3.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24856→6.21974 | -4.21 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:13 | LINK | Buy | 7.97209→7.92272 | -5.34 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834669→0.0831322 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.16121→0.16167 | +1.45 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:21 | SOL | Buy | 72.2198→73.503 | +12.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:41 | LINK | Buy | 7.95949→7.87983 | -8.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:02 | LTC | Buy | 44.104→44.2159 | +1.21 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08422→0.08262 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 07:26 | AVAX | Buy | 5.92628→6.12787 | +24.86 | take_profit |
| 06-20 06:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829267→0.083867 | +7.84 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:11 | SOL | Buy | 70.0715→72.3052 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-19 23:14 | LTC | Buy | 44.173→43.7871 | -7.27 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.162671→0.16071 | -9.59 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.0181→5.89757 | -15.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 12:32 | LTC | Buy | 43.4439→43.4511 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164001→0.160879 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31338→6.19015 | -15.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | LINK | Buy | 8.0033→7.85091 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.2037→69.8656 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.165431→0.162238 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:17 | LTC | Buy | 44.5251→43.6702 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 07:52 | LTC | Buy | 44.8862→44.5379 | -6.43 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:00 | LINK | Buy | 8.36029→8.19875 | -15.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 14:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0868527→0.0862614 | -5.78 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:30 | SOL | Buy | 72.9119→71.5375 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:37 | AVAX | Buy | 6.94624→6.81279 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:51 | LTC | Buy | 45.8855→45.5926 | -5.48 | timeout |
| 06-17 02:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877539→0.0876431 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 00:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.173213→0.172457 | -3.90 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:48 | LTC | Buy | 45.2373→45.8005 | +8.62 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:32 | AVAX | Buy | 6.83651→6.70647 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
372
closed
36%
win rate
-1165.50
total pnl ($)
-41.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTC | 76 | 34% | -34.4 | -196.43 |
| ADA | 73 | 34% | -52.3 | -285.56 |
| LINK | 59 | 36% | -34.8 | -154.88 |
| SOL | 57 | 53% | -8.1 | -35.12 |
| AVAX | 56 | 34% | -48.4 | -203.56 |
| DOGE | 51 | 24% | -75.7 | -289.96 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 6)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:44 | AVAX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 06:27 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 04:46 | LINK | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 04:08 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:46 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:25 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||