307
closed trades
38%
win rate
-848.47
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=47 wr=36% pnl=-204.58
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:58:06 (24.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 262
· wr: 40.1%
· total_bps: -3841.5
· mean_bps: -14.66
· sharpe: -0.11
· max_dd_bps: -4648.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 14:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143446→0.144464 | +4.70 | timeout |
| 06-28 13:15 | XRP | Buy | 1.04596→1.04884 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.04626→1.04134 | -4.09 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0745726→0.0736916 | -9.54 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:06 | ETH | Buy | 1583.46→1568.54 | -7.70 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:06 | SOL | Buy | 71.4547→70.4384 | -11.27 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:16 | ETH | Buy | 1597.16→1566.96 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.07618→0.0747239 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.07267→1.05211 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.6549→71.2866 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.148497→0.148083 | -2.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.01945→1.05204 | +23.31 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.140085→0.144504 | +23.00 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | SOL | Buy | 67.5471→69.6895 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0757569→0.0743142 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.07277→1.05221 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:26 | ETH | Buy | 1646.36→1632.94 | -6.76 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1432→68.4377 | +2.54 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149297→0.1464 | -15.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 08:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.148107→0.149153 | +4.70 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.05636→1.07493 | +12.56 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:46 | ETH | Buy | 1591.16→1561.36 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.7193→67.4222 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0777724→0.0762917 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | ETH | Buy | 1676.37→1644.61 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.10198→1.08099 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796059→0.0788123 | -8.13 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 62536.1→62753.9 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.10118→1.10472 | +1.74 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 61953.1→62532.9 | +6.35 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151118→0.150042 | -5.97 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.8643→69.0536 | +1.50 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63396.2→62210.8 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.12428→1.11072 | -9.65 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820755→0.0805126 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 03:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.15834→0.15901 | +2.60 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:38 | BTC | Buy | 65035.3→64469.8 | -7.21 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844251→0.0828129 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 11:03 | SOL | Buy | 73.541→73.7039 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831368→0.0836951 | +4.36 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.12788→1.13752 | +5.70 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833378→0.0828783 | -4.80 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1737.57→1704.98 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 74.3121→72.9076 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.14619→1.14501 | -1.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:27 | SOL | Buy | 73.641→74.5928 | +8.94 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:35 | BTC | Buy | 64192.2→64164.8 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834669→0.0831322 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163091→0.15995 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 23:21 | SOL | Buy | 72.2198→73.503 | +12.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.14579→1.15191 | +3.27 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:45 | ETH | Buy | 1727.97→1741.53 | +5.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:25 | BTC | Buy | 63280.2→63948.8 | +7.26 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08422→0.08262 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.14139→1.14771 | +3.52 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:35 | ETH | Buy | 1716.07→1722.43 | +2.03 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829267→0.083867 | +7.84 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:11 | SOL | Buy | 70.0715→72.3052 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-19 21:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.162671→0.16071 | -9.59 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62491.1→63237.8 | +8.33 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.16064→0.1591 | -7.75 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:19 | BTC | Buy | 62945.1→62614.9 | -4.54 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.2037→69.8656 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 63947.2→64365.8 | +4.24 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6829→71.5323 | -12.57 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:42 | BTC | Buy | 65314.3→64085.7 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:20 | ETH | Buy | 1781.18→1747.85 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:36 | BTC | Buy | 64955.2→65880.7 | +9.96 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859555→0.0871852 | +9.98 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:32 | ETH | Buy | 1770.08→1776.92 | +2.19 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 65748.3→64525.5 | -14.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.218→1.1948 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087984→0.0863032 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 07:54 | SOL | Buy | 74.3241→72.9226 | -14.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 02:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877539→0.0876431 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 02:02 | ETH | Buy | 1805.48→1795.62 | -4.83 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:32 | ETH | Buy | 1783.18→1775.72 | -3.88 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:14 | SOL | Buy | 75.0553→73.6421 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.22328 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.179885→0.176428 | -15.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.187937→0.184362 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904326→0.0887034 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:02 | BTC | Buy | 65933.3→66778.7 | +8.90 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.345→75.6816 | +23.23 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:24 | ETH | Buy | 1764.98→1821.42 | +23.30 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.208→1.24629 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:36 | ADA | Buy | 0.181595→0.187323 | +22.96 | take_profit |
| 06-15 06:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.17129→1.1855 | +8.46 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:15 | BTC | Buy | 64101.2→65656.7 | +17.51 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.182896→0.179415 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863216→0.0890537 | +23.07 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:49 | XRP | Buy | 1.13558→1.17191 | +23.36 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:43 | BTC | Buy | 64356.2→65224.7 | +9.43 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:06 | ETH | Buy | 1675.17→1663.73 | -5.84 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:41 | SOL | Buy | 68.1452→66.8615 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 10:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.172523→0.170097 | -11.09 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.15419→1.14511 | -6.43 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:14 | BTC | Buy | 64230.2→64308.8 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:14 | ETH | Buy | 1674.87→1676.33 | -0.04 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
307
closed
38%
win rate
-848.47
total pnl ($)
-36.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 57 | 40% | -32.5 | -138.06 |
| DOGE | 54 | 30% | -56.5 | -229.61 |
| BTC | 53 | 47% | -6.6 | -26.94 |
| ADA | 49 | 33% | -43.9 | -160.47 |
| SOL | 48 | 46% | -24.8 | -89.18 |
| ETH | 46 | 33% | -59.0 | -204.20 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 11)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 14:21 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 08:40 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 08:38 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 06:13 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 06:13 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 05:18 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 05:18 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:46 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||