312
closed trades
37%
win rate
-892.37
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=52 wr=33% pnl=-266.17
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:58:06 (23.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 314
· wr: 43.6%
· total_bps: -4685.8
· mean_bps: -14.92
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -6073.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.07297→1.05251 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.6689→71.2956 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 15:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.147747→0.148693 | +4.05 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:50 | XRP | Buy | 1.06097→1.05854 | -2.36 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.146337→0.143552 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:43 | BTC | Buy | 58455.9→60321 | +23.25 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 67.0101→69.1426 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1574.76→1545.27 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0738325→0.0724157 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0766372→0.075884 | -8.01 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 61300.1→61155.9 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.08027→1.07283 | -5.83 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149307→0.14641 | -15.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 60027→60871 | +9.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.05636→1.07493 | +12.56 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:47 | ETH | Buy | 1589.16→1559.36 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.7693→67.4561 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:31 | BTC | Buy | 61862.1→60700.6 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779685→0.0764826 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | ETH | Buy | 1677.47→1646.01 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | SOL | Buy | 69.7515→68.4325 | -14.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | BTC | Buy | 63064.2→61890.9 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150428→0.147509 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 62545.1→62775.9 | +2.07 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:14 | SOL | Buy | 69.6604→69.8765 | +1.78 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 61976.1→62541.9 | +6.18 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151198→0.149953 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:22 | ETH | Buy | 1652.07→1662.23 | +3.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.8113→69.0716 | +2.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63383.2→62195.8 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.12948→1.10797 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.15949→0.156253 | -15.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 03:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.15864→0.15962 | +4.04 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826897→0.0811091 | -14.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.7159→71.3476 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.14629→1.13322 | -9.16 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:32 | BTC | Buy | 64213.2→64639.8 | +4.31 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835649→0.0833092 | -2.98 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16031→0.162619 | +10.06 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.12788→1.13752 | +5.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15968→0.156523 | -15.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.16147→0.15942 | -10.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 74.2841→72.8856 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.14609→1.14481 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 64373.2→64183.8 | -2.87 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:30 | BTC | Buy | 64361.2→64311.8 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.162891→0.15978 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1741.27→1732.43 | -4.48 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:31 | BTC | Buy | 63870.2→64290.8 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:04 | ETH | Buy | 1736.77→1742.63 | +1.79 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14169→1.14711 | +2.82 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13978→1.14601 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63215.8 | +7.79 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | ETH | Buy | 1696.87→1695.43 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826887→0.0826143 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162061→0.158941 | -15.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.8976→69.5618 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.167132→0.163877 | -15.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.169022→0.165676 | -15.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.1906→1.1894 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.2168→74.5088 | +23.11 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0869627→0.0862404 | -6.97 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.214→1.19091 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.565→72.1821 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 04:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.22181→1.2155 | -4.56 | timeout |
| 06-17 03:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.172953→0.172667 | -1.83 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:40 | SOL | Buy | 72.9129→73.7699 | +8.13 | timeout |
| 06-16 15:09 | BTC | Buy | 66438.3→65815.7 | -7.74 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | ETH | Buy | 1805.78→1771.84 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.176974→0.176926 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.677→74.4648 | +7.30 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.179825→0.176388 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.27742→1.25306 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:11 | BTC | Buy | 66243.3→66534.7 | +2.59 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.184906→0.185953 | +3.61 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.23171→1.27088 | +23.19 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:06 | ETH | Buy | 1725.07→1779.92 | +23.16 | take_profit |
| 06-15 11:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.184→1.22129 | +22.94 | take_profit |
| 06-15 06:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.17589→1.1819 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.182876→0.179375 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 23:21 | BTC | Buy | 64020.2→65505.7 | +16.72 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.17001 | +22.97 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.167482→0.172837 | +23.26 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | SOL | Buy | 67.4291→69.5666 | +23.16 | take_profit |
| 06-14 15:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.14549→1.13272 | -8.98 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.4513→67.6359 | -9.54 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.172483→0.170127 | -10.79 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 64577.2→64528.8 | -1.26 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14599→1.14471 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:07 | BTC | Buy | 64015.2→64433.8 | +4.23 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882501→0.087874 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.14409→1.14601 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:05 | SOL | Buy | 67.4121→67.9438 | +5.27 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 63799.2→64292.8 | +5.12 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:33 | SOL | Buy | 66.92→67.3069 | +3.67 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.169822→0.173107 | +13.82 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1661.27→1664.13 | +0.64 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:00 | BTC | Buy | 63249.2→63468.8 | +1.91 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
312
closed
37%
win rate
-892.37
total pnl ($)
-38.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 61 | 48% | -8.7 | -40.90 |
| ADA | 61 | 33% | -57.6 | -263.33 |
| XRP | 60 | 33% | -37.6 | -168.78 |
| SOL | 48 | 46% | -12.9 | -46.51 |
| ETH | 42 | 33% | -59.8 | -189.10 |
| DOGE | 40 | 28% | -61.1 | -183.76 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||