349
closed trades
38%
win rate
-988.36
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=58 wr=31% pnl=-262.90
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:58:06 (24.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 332
· wr: 42.8%
· total_bps: -6084.6
· mean_bps: -18.33
· sharpe: -0.15
· max_dd_bps: -6860.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 21:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06157→1.05504 | -5.18 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.6959→71.3256 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.147537→0.148323 | +3.42 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:56 | SOL | Buy | 72.3218→71.7742 | -6.32 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.147927→0.147123 | -4.79 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.148617→0.147883 | -4.40 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.04196→1.04234 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:44 | BTC | Buy | 59148→59621 | +5.28 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:39 | SOL | Buy | 69.8555→72.0942 | +23.34 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.146437→0.143642 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.142706→0.139945 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:33 | BTC | Buy | 59847→59720 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.02236→1.03944 | +11.94 | timeout |
| 06-25 15:15 | ETH | Buy | 1572.06→1542.67 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:15 | SOL | Buy | 66.797→65.5284 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0756949→0.0742553 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:27 | ETH | Buy | 1646.46→1633.34 | -6.61 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1282→68.4237 | +2.56 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149307→0.14641 | -15.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.08837→1.0677 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 60023→60871 | +9.93 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:59 | XRP | Buy | 1.05706→1.07143 | +9.56 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.141445→0.145904 | +23.04 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:47 | ETH | Buy | 1588.96→1559.06 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0748877→0.0734649 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:16 | SOL | Buy | 67.3851→66.112 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 61686.1→60538.7 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.09207→1.0713 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.10108→1.09113 | -7.41 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1663.07→1665.73 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150618→0.147739 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795639→0.0788343 | -7.53 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 62534.1→62778.9 | +2.24 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.7333→69.8535 | +11.72 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.10488→1.10472 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151118→0.150042 | -5.97 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:23 | ETH | Buy | 1652.57→1662.43 | +3.79 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:24 | BTC | Buy | 62595.1→62614.9 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:17 | SOL | Buy | 69.7425→68.4295 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.12948→1.10787 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.15864→0.157681 | -5.18 | timeout |
| 06-23 05:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.3979→71.0368 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.14629→1.13322 | -9.17 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843571→0.0827379 | -15.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.16126→0.158171 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.16011→0.162119 | +8.67 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837259→0.0836241 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | SOL | Buy | 73.016→73.8929 | +8.31 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13518→1.13632 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16172→0.158641 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:04 | ETH | Buy | 1733.17→1735.03 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:38 | BTC | Buy | 64311.2→64147.8 | -2.56 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:39 | SOL | Buy | 73.6891→73.139 | -6.34 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.162901→0.15978 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:27 | ETH | Buy | 1740.67→1732.33 | -4.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:31 | BTC | Buy | 63868.2→64288.8 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:05 | ETH | Buy | 1735.17→1742.23 | +2.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14179→1.14731 | +2.88 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.14859→1.14871 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0842231→0.08262 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 10:07 | ETH | Buy | 1707.97→1728.23 | +8.16 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.13748→1.14681 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0664→69.9975 | +9.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.13278→1.13302 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.15938→0.16158 | +9.77 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62476.1→63216.8 | +8.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162131→0.159041 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4224→68.7797 | -7.67 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:45 | ETH | Buy | 1699.37→1710.13 | +4.02 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:34 | BTC | Buy | 63210.2→62875.9 | -4.60 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828987→0.0834441 | +4.22 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.17129→1.14904 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.5797→70.2343 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 63952.2→64354.8 | +4.04 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.166872→0.163697 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854964→0.0838491 | -15.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | ETH | Buy | 1774.78→1741.55 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | ETH | Buy | 1760.38→1766.72 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | BTC | Buy | 65893.3→64643.4 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:36 | BTC | Buy | 64922.2→65908.7 | +10.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859255→0.0871972 | +10.36 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.3428→74.6368 | +23.08 | take_profit |
| 06-17 09:22 | BTC | Buy | 65488.3→64914.8 | -7.26 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.573→72.1901 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.2198→1.2192 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 06-16 19:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.175474→0.172141 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.22328 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7551→74.3998 | +5.86 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.180015→0.176498 | -15.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0900335→0.0887658 | -11.17 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.27942→1.25466 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.186047→0.184564 | -6.64 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:10 | BTC | Buy | 66195.3→66541.7 | +3.22 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:14 | SOL | Buy | 73.521→75.8576 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1736.37→1791.62 | +23.18 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1989→1.23669 | +22.96 | take_profit |
| 06-15 01:58 | ADA | Buy | 0.183406→0.179905 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
349
closed
38%
win rate
-988.36
total pnl ($)
-37.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 74 | 31% | -59.8 | -330.76 |
| XRP | 63 | 40% | -12.0 | -56.16 |
| BTC | 61 | 48% | -10.5 | -49.09 |
| SOL | 54 | 46% | -16.5 | -67.33 |
| ETH | 51 | 37% | -64.4 | -247.14 |
| DOGE | 46 | 24% | -68.8 | -237.90 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 01:15 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:08 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:10 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||