whale_to_exchange_short_v2

not live
95
closed trades
42%
win rate
-78.82
total pnl ($)
1.222
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?


Cumulative P&L (last 95 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-25 16:02ETHSell2114.99→2126.21-3.07timeout
05-25 09:56ETHSell2095.29→2116.81-5.55timeout
05-24 23:44ETHSell2067.59→2106.16-9.77stop_loss
05-24 21:35ETHSell2095.19→2077.91+3.69timeout
05-24 14:55ETHSell2119.19→2097.41+4.71timeout
05-24 08:54ETHSell2122.79→2119.91+0.26timeout
05-23 20:38ETHSell2075.89→2114.57-9.76stop_loss
05-23 18:12ETHSell2039.3→2077.35-9.75stop_loss
05-23 13:23ETHSell2056.99→2043.2+2.90timeout
05-23 06:28ETHSell2065.09→2062.51+0.18timeout
05-22 20:56ETHSell2118.49→2072.81+10.35timeout
05-22 14:51ETHSell2122.69→2117.41+0.82timeout
05-22 08:45ETHSell2135.99→2124.01+2.37timeout
05-22 02:44ETHSell2137.39→2136.61-0.25timeout
05-21 17:26ETHSell2108.89→2148.29-9.77stop_loss
05-21 13:33ETHSell2128.19→2110.81+3.64timeout
05-21 04:56ETHSell2126.99→2144.51-4.54timeout
05-20 22:31ETHSell2126.59→2127.31-0.61timeout
05-20 15:55ETHSell2128.79→2137.51-2.48timeout
05-20 09:14ETHSell2106.79→2128.71-5.64timeout
05-20 03:13ETHSell2118.69→2107.21+2.26timeout
05-19 20:02ETHSell2113.09→2113.91-0.61timeout
05-19 14:01ETHSell2139.39→2114.41+5.39timeout
05-19 08:01ETHSell2123.89→2139.81-4.22timeout
05-19 02:00ETHSell2127.19→2123.71+0.38timeout
05-18 20:00ETHSell2128.69→2124.31+0.62timeout
05-18 12:39ETHSell2114.99→2154.39-9.77stop_loss
05-16 02:05ETHSell2219.58→2228.92-2.54timeout
05-15 20:05ETHSell2211.48→2221.12-2.62timeout
05-15 13:45ETHSell2264.87→2223.52+8.68timeout
05-12 04:43ETHSell2339.37→2339.83-0.58timeout
05-11 22:40ETHSell2333.67→2340.03-1.80timeout
05-11 09:03ETHSell2341.47→2331.23+1.76timeout
05-11 02:10ETHSell2367.96→2354.64+2.40timeout
05-10 17:52ETHSell2323.07→2366.32-9.73stop_loss
05-10 12:29ETHSell2326.27→2323.83+0.10timeout
05-10 06:00ETHSell2326.27→2326.93-0.57timeout
05-09 23:49ETHSell2328.87→2327.23-0.09timeout
05-09 17:28ETHSell2313.87→2330.33-3.99timeout
05-09 10:38ETHSell2314.47→2312.63-0.05timeout
05-09 04:36ETHSell2313.97→2316.23-0.91timeout
05-08 22:36ETHSell2288.37→2314.43-6.11timeout
05-08 16:27ETHSell2283.27→2291.23-2.17timeout
05-08 10:08ETHSell2280.17→2284.73-1.46timeout
05-08 03:16ETHSell2284.87→2278.23+1.01timeout
05-07 20:55ETHSell2299.47→2288.93+1.86timeout
05-07 14:26ETHSell2335.27→2310.23+4.92timeout
05-07 07:36ETHSell2328.57→2344.53-3.87timeout
05-07 01:35ETHSell2341.67→2329.03+2.19timeout
05-06 19:17ETHSell2391.06→2344.03+9.37timeout
05-06 09:38ETHSell2362.16→2406.14-9.62stop_loss
05-04 17:01ETHSell2339.67→2353.34-3.38timeout
05-04 10:21ETHSell2390.56→2314.23+15.50take_profit
05-04 02:40ETHSell2335.77→2379.33-9.75stop_loss
05-03 21:52ETHSell2324.97→2319.13+0.79timeout
05-03 15:22ETHSell2307.97→2328.03-4.79timeout
05-03 06:31ETHSell2315.27→2300.23+2.80timeout
05-02 23:31ETHSell2307.07→2321.93-3.67timeout
05-02 15:21ETHSell2304.87→2305.23-0.54timeout
05-02 08:41ETHSell2297.67→2303.73-1.76timeout
05-02 00:10ETHSell2308.37→2293.93+2.66timeout
05-01 17:59ETHSell2284.97→2311.33-6.22timeout
05-01 10:06ETHSell2282.07→2280.93-0.21timeout
05-01 03:57ETHSell2254.57→2281.83-6.49timeout
04-30 09:45ETHSell2252.7→2261.63-2.43timeout
04-30 03:24ETHSell2247.4→2244.6+0.17timeout
04-29 21:24ETHSell2284.8→2247.4+7.73timeout
04-29 15:21ETHSell2327.7→2285+8.72timeout
04-29 04:36ETHSell2287.4→2328.6-9.46stop_loss
04-29 02:28ETHSell2296.5→2289.5+1.07timeout
04-28 19:47ETHSell2277.5→2299.1-5.19timeout
04-28 13:44ETHSell2281.1→2277.5+0.34timeout
04-28 07:44ETHSell2297.6→2281.1+3.14timeout
04-28 01:02ETHSell2288.4→2306-4.30timeout
04-27 18:41ETHSell2313.3→2288+5.02timeout
04-27 12:20ETHSell2324.6→2318.3+0.91timeout
04-27 01:00ETHSell2365.4→2393.8-6.45stop_loss
04-27 00:18ETHSell2362.9→2365.9-1.08timeout
04-26 17:06ETHSell2332.1→2343.5-2.89timeout
04-26 11:06ETHSell2316.5→2332.1-3.82timeout
04-26 04:35ETHSell2319→2309.5+1.60timeout
04-25 22:03ETHSell2307.4→2314.8-2.05timeout
04-25 10:31ETHSell2316.4→2320.1-1.25timeout
04-25 04:10ETHSell2312.7→2317.9-1.57timeout
04-24 22:09ETHSell2317.1→2312.7+0.50timeout
04-24 15:19ETHSell2306.2→2306.6-0.54timeout
04-24 09:08ETHSell2316.9→2305.7+1.97timeout
04-24 02:47ETHSell2327.4→2328-0.58timeout
04-23 20:05ETHSell2322.3→2322.5-0.39timeout
04-23 10:05ETHSell2353.2→2306.1+9.66take_profit
04-23 05:39ETHSell2375.6→2341.2+6.89timeout
04-22 23:27ETHSell2391.4→2382.2+1.57timeout
04-22 13:46ETHSell2388.9→2417.6-6.36stop_loss
04-22 05:30ETHSell2372.7→2401.2-6.36stop_loss
04-22 02:17ETHSell2313.8→2341.6-6.36stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
95
closed
42%
win rate
-78.82
total pnl ($)
-16.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
ETH9542%-16.8-78.82

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-10 12:29ETHSell+0.10The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH showing slight weakness against BTC and negative funding, while a large exchange inflow signaled potential selling pressure. The thesis failed because the timeout close_reason indicates the anticipated selling pre…
05-10 06:00ETHSell-0.57The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH down 0.41% on the hour and negative funding, while a large onchain inflow to Binance signaled potential selling pressure. The thesis failed because the selling pressure did not materialize within the timeout perio…
05-09 23:49ETHSell-0.09ETH was trading in a narrow range with a slight hourly uptick but weak weekly performance, while a large inflow to Binance signaled potential selling pressure. The thesis failed because the anticipated selling pressure did not materialize within the trade's…
05-09 17:28ETHSell-3.99ETH was declining across all timeframes with a large onchain inflow to Binance signaling selling pressure. The thesis failed because the expected sell-off did not materialize within the timeout window, likely due to the broader market absorbing the inflow w…
05-09 10:38ETHSell-0.05ETH was declining across multiple timeframes with a bearish bias, and a large onchain inflow to Binance signaled imminent selling pressure. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the anticipated selling pressure materialized into a p…
05-09 04:36ETHSell-0.91The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH losing 1.34% over 24 hours, and the onchain alert signaled fresh selling pressure. The thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the anticipated selling materialized, leaving a small loss from fund…
05-08 22:36ETHSell-6.11The market was in a short-term uptrend (1h +0.58%) but within a broader weekly downtrend, with a large ETH inflow to Binance signaling potential selling pressure. The thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the selling pressure materialize…
05-08 16:27ETHSell-2.17The market was in a broad downtrend with ETH falling 2.18% in 24 hours, and the onchain inflow of 799 ETH to Binance signaled imminent selling pressure. The thesis failed because the trade timed out before the selling pressure materialized into a sufficient…
05-08 10:08ETHSell-1.46The market was absorbing a large ETH inflow to Binance without immediate selling pressure, keeping prices stable. The thesis failed because the anticipated sell-off did not materialize within the timeout period, leading to a small loss from funding costs.
05-08 03:16ETHSell+1.01The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH down 0.90% over 24 hours and negative weekly performance, while a large onchain inflow to Binance signaled potential selling pressure. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the anticipated…