25
closed trades
48%
win rate
+101.77
total pnl ($)
1.106
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 17:18:39 (18.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
acl
n: 34
· wr: 52.9%
· total_bps: +707.4
· mean_bps: +20.81
· sharpe: +0.21
· max_dd_bps: -794.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 25 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 02:01 | ETH | Sell | 1830.62→1750.38 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-04 01:51 | BTC | Sell | 65188.7→62326.1 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-04 00:38 | BTC | Sell | 66018.7→63120.2 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-03 21:43 | ETH | Sell | 1793.32→1837.7 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:43 | BTC | Sell | 66377.7→65904.3 | +3.15 | timeout |
| 06-03 10:07 | ETH | Sell | 1841.62→1887.33 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 06:00 | BTC | Sell | 67464.6→67336.4 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:07 | BTC | Sell | 69907.5→67257.4 | +18.51 | timeout |
| 06-02 15:31 | ETH | Sell | 1977→1889.79 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-02 15:31 | ETH | Sell | 1986.3→1899.19 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-02 15:30 | BTC | Sell | 70357.5→67268.4 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 05-31 11:43 | ETH | Sell | 2019.6→2021.9 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 05-31 11:43 | BTC | Sell | 73771.3→73908.7 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 05-31 07:24 | BTC | Sell | 73982.3→73867.7 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 05-31 07:24 | ETH | Sell | 2025.1→2024.8 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 05-29 18:34 | ETH | Sell | 2014.1→2025.4 | -3.20 | timeout |
| 05-29 18:34 | BTC | Sell | 73678.3→73806.7 | -1.30 | timeout |
| 05-29 09:15 | BTC | Sell | 73680.3→73784.7 | -1.12 | timeout |
| 05-29 09:14 | ETH | Sell | 2019.7→2012.8 | +1.33 | timeout |
| 05-02 08:18 | ETH | Sell | 2302.47→2300.13 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 05-02 08:18 | BTC | Sell | 78231.1→78209.9 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 05-02 00:17 | ETH | Sell | 2291.57→2292.43 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 05-02 00:17 | BTC | Sell | 77545.1→78139.9 | -4.41 | timeout |
| 05-01 09:37 | ETH | Sell | 2258.77→2282.73 | -5.76 | timeout |
| 05-01 09:37 | BTC | Sell | 76392.2→77280.9 | -6.24 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
25
closed
48%
win rate
+101.77
total pnl ($)
+81.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 13 | 54% | +111.1 | +72.37 |
| ETH | 12 | 42% | +48.6 | +29.40 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 08:18 | ETH | Sell | +0.09 | The ETH market was consolidating near flat on the hourly timeframe (−0.17%) with modest positive 24h momentum (+0.70%) as the broader crypto complex held steady, while BTC's outperformance (+1.13% in 24h) suggested mild risk-on sentiment that favored the la… |
| 05-02 08:18 | BTC | Sell | -0.31 | At close, BTC was trading flat to slightly negative on the 1-hour timeframe ($78,257, -0.08% 1h) after a week of modest gains, with elevated funding rates (0.36 bps) and $4.1B in open interest signaling persistent long positioning. The trade's fade thesis f… |
| 05-02 00:17 | ETH | Sell | -0.68 | ETH drifted sideways with slight positive momentum (up 1.48% over 24h, +0.14% in the final hour) while the broader market showed mild strength, offering no catalytic move to trigger the short's profit target. The builder activity surge signal (10.5x above t… |
| 05-02 00:17 | BTC | Sell | -4.41 | The Bitcoin market was trading near $78,208 with mild upward momentum (2.30% over 24h, 0.98% over 7d) and slightly negative funding rates (-0.016%), indicating modest long-biased sentiment without extreme leverage. The short thesis failed because the builde… |
| 05-01 09:37 | ETH | Sell | -5.76 | ETH was essentially flat on the 1-hour timeframe (down 0.13%) with modest positive 24h momentum (+0.72%) when your position timed out, indicating a lack of directional conviction in the market to drive a mean-reversion bounce. Your short thesis—betting that… |
| 05-01 09:37 | BTC | Sell | -6.24 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Builder Surge Fade (CLOSED) **Market Context:** Bitcoin was essentially flat to slightly down on the 1-hour (-0.14%) and overnight (1.40% 24h), with modest positive positioning (0.003972% funding rate), when the trade timed out after … |