11
closed trades
36%
win rate
-15.33
total pnl ($)
1.218
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=50% pnl=+12.12
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 00:26:13 (36.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
iz
n: 14
· wr: 35.7%
· total_bps: -629.6
· mean_bps: -44.97
· sharpe: -0.30
· max_dd_bps: -997.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 11 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 12:22 | BTC | Sell | 65433.7→64091.2 | +12.82 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:46 | BTC | Buy | 66443.3→66424.7 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 05-18 21:00 | BTC | Sell | 76859.2→76880.8 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 05-18 08:46 | BTC | Sell | 78021.1→76948.8 | +8.47 | timeout |
| 05-17 20:46 | BTC | Sell | 77877.1→78253.9 | -3.74 | timeout |
| 05-17 07:59 | BTC | Sell | 77963.1→78140.9 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 05-16 02:02 | BTC | Sell | 80642→79104 | +11.78 | timeout |
| 05-12 13:30 | BTC | Sell | 81835.9→81724.1 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 05-12 01:30 | BTC | Sell | 80729→81724.1 | -8.57 | timeout |
| 05-06 10:21 | BTC | Sell | 80215→82186.2 | -16.46 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 14:50 | BTC | Sell | 78317.1→80241.1 | -16.56 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
11
closed
36%
win rate
-15.33
total pnl ($)
-22.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 11 | 36% | -22.1 | -15.33 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 10:21 | BTC | Sell | -16.46 | The market was in a broad downtrend with BTC declining across all timeframes and negative funding rates. The short thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered by a temporary intraday bounce against the prevailing bearish momentum. |
| 05-04 14:50 | BTC | Sell | -16.56 | The market was in a neutral regime with low funding rates and elevated open interest, suggesting a lack of strong directional conviction. The trade failed because the price moved against the short position and hit the stop loss before any corrective reversa… |