tvl_contraction_alt_capitulation_long

not live
32
closed trades
50%
win rate
-63.39
total pnl ($)
1.390
weight
7d window — n=8 wr=75% pnl=+30.37  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 21:42:13 (20.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: x3485394_10175
n: 14  ·  wr: 50.0%  ·  total_bps: -908.6  ·  mean_bps: -64.90  ·  sharpe: -0.33  ·  max_dd_bps: -1186.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 32 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-22 05:50ETHBuy1732.97→1737.33+0.78timeout
06-20 18:42ETHBuy1700.57→1726.83+7.25timeout
06-20 06:34ETHBuy1700.17→1725.83+7.02timeout
06-19 17:48ETHBuy1681.27→1703.83+6.23timeout
06-18 17:23ETHBuy1745.47→1674.19-20.81stop_loss
06-18 10:52ETHBuy1772.28→1747.33-7.61timeout
06-17 05:52ETHBuy1763.58→1794.12+8.12timeout
06-15 11:26ETHBuy1661.57→1760.92+29.41take_profit
06-15 06:51ETHBuy1676.27→1721.13+12.89timeout
06-13 08:53ETHBuy1672.27→1674.23-0.01timeout
06-11 20:23ETHBuy1630.96→1676.83+13.54timeout
06-11 08:19ETHBuy1635.76→1656.83+5.88timeout
06-10 18:34ETHBuy1649.96→1631.04-6.09timeout
06-10 02:38ETHBuy1654.47→1655.63-0.16timeout
06-09 05:36ETHBuy1650.16→1693.53+12.74timeout
06-07 22:14ETHBuy1589.66→1685.93+29.96take_profit
06-07 14:00ETHBuy1556.36→1616.24+18.94timeout
06-06 04:33ETHBuy1583.36→1518.89-20.78stop_loss
06-05 16:11ETHBuy1616.06→1550.17-20.82stop_loss
06-05 06:03ETHBuy1738.27→1667.2-20.88stop_loss
06-05 05:37ETHBuy1787.88→1714.97-20.79stop_loss
06-05 03:01ETHBuy1795.98→1722.87-20.66stop_loss
06-04 02:01ETHBuy1825.18→1750.85-20.85stop_loss
06-03 20:45ETHBuy1863.59→1787.13-20.94stop_loss
06-02 15:30ETHBuy1981.8→1900.86-20.87stop_loss
06-02 15:30ETHBuy1982.7→1901.76-20.86stop_loss
05-31 23:53ETHBuy2021.6→2006.1-4.34timeout
05-31 09:51ETHBuy2015.9→2026.3+2.05timeout
05-30 23:49ETHBuy2011.4→2021.2+2.00timeout
05-30 06:46ETHBuy2014.3→2018.2+0.41timeout
05-29 19:25ETHBuy2022.1→2008.9-3.71timeout
05-29 06:37ETHBuy1973.6→2013.4+9.57timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
32
closed
50%
win rate
-63.39
total pnl ($)
-39.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
ETH3250%-39.4-63.39

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems