top_trader_shorter_horizon_divergence · strategy

163

closed trades

37%

win rate

-77.88

total pnl ($)

1.165

weight

7d window — n=9 wr=33% pnl=-14.32 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 19:12:02 (38.7d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: apz

n: 544 · wr: 40.3% · total_bps: -3335.5 · mean_bps: -6.13 · sharpe: -0.13 · max_dd_bps: -4136.0

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-25 21:39	SOL	Sell	66.368→66.99	-5.14	timeout
06-25 20:37	SOL	Sell	66.0161→66.59	-4.80	timeout
06-25 19:34	SOL	Sell	66.0621→66.1659	-1.24	timeout
06-25 18:33	SOL	Sell	66.956→66.2379	+4.91	timeout
06-25 17:25	SOL	Sell	65.8821→66.9245	-8.36	stop_loss
06-25 17:03	ETH	Sell	1570.34→1558.06	+3.46	timeout
06-25 02:08	SOL	Sell	67.4759→67.7962	-2.83	timeout
06-25 01:03	BTC	Sell	61029.9→60764	+1.73	timeout
06-25 00:03	BTC	Sell	60841→61036.1	-2.05	timeout
06-16 21:03	BTC	Sell	65612.7→65828.3	-2.09	timeout
06-16 18:09	BTC	Sell	65750.7→66086.3	-3.00	timeout
06-16 17:06	BTC	Sell	65843.7→65726.3	+0.45	timeout
06-14 13:06	ETH	Sell	1673.43→1667.57	+1.30	timeout
06-13 02:14	SOL	Sell	67.0899→67.2721	-1.81	timeout
06-13 01:07	ETH	Sell	1666.83→1667.77	-0.72	timeout
06-11 04:49	ETH	Sell	1646.54→1657.67	-3.82	timeout
06-11 03:37	ETH	Sell	1633.34→1644.86	-3.97	timeout
06-11 02:25	ETH	Sell	1639.84→1635.66	+0.83	timeout
06-11 01:14	ETH	Sell	1625.14→1638.56	-4.58	timeout
06-11 00:13	ETH	Sell	1611.24→1624.76	-4.65	timeout
06-10 23:09	ETH	Sell	1609.94→1614.56	-1.89	timeout
06-10 22:07	ETH	Sell	1622.94→1609.26	+3.76	timeout
06-10 21:04	SOL	Sell	63.4605→63.1855	+1.71	timeout
06-10 08:50	BTC	Sell	61673.9→61214.1	+3.27	timeout
06-09 20:11	BTC	Sell	61783.9→62023.1	-2.39	timeout
06-09 19:07	BTC	Sell	61731.9→61839.1	-1.31	timeout
06-09 18:06	BTC	Sell	61525.9→61740.1	-2.19	timeout
06-09 17:06	BTC	Sell	60968→61568.1	-5.37	timeout
06-08 07:15	BTC	Sell	62885.9→63007.2	-1.41	timeout
06-08 06:11	BTC	Sell	62617.9→62939.1	-3.02	timeout
06-08 05:07	BTC	Sell	62895.9→62549.1	+2.31	timeout
06-05 16:58	ETH	Sell	1586.74→1612.17	-8.46	stop_loss
06-05 16:18	ETH	Sell	1575.14→1599.96	-8.33	stop_loss
06-05 06:02	BTC	Sell	63480.8→62249.1	+9.25	timeout
06-05 04:59	BTC	Sell	62608.9→63587	-8.26	stop_loss
06-03 01:05	ETH	Sell	1858.91→1866.09	-2.38	timeout
06-02 17:08	ETH	Sell	1919.11→1921.49	-1.07	timeout
06-02 13:10	SOL	Sell	78.7992→78.9998	-1.73	timeout
06-01 19:27	SOL	Sell	80.8779→80.8901	-0.53	timeout
06-01 09:40	ETH	Sell	1979.1→1988.1	-2.72	timeout
06-01 09:09	ETH	Sell	1976.9→1985.9	-2.72	timeout
06-01 09:08	SOL	Sell	80.7429→81.1342	-2.87	timeout
06-01 01:03	ETH	Sell	2012.2→2013.5	-0.77	timeout
06-01 00:30	SOL	Sell	82.2887→82.9494	-4.47	timeout
06-01 00:30	ETH	Sell	2006.1→2017.4	-3.26	timeout
05-31 23:30	SOL	Sell	82.4186→82.4484	-0.63	timeout
05-31 23:30	ETH	Sell	2009.5→2009	-0.32	timeout
05-31 18:20	ETH	Sell	1999.7→2001.7	-0.94	timeout
05-31 17:49	SOL	Sell	81.4278→81.8603	-3.11	timeout
05-31 17:48	ETH	Sell	1998.5→2006.3	-2.40	timeout
05-31 17:10	SOL	Sell	81.8777→81.4662	+2.06	timeout
05-31 17:10	ETH	Sell	2008.8→1998	+2.24	timeout
05-31 10:14	SOL	Sell	82.7016→82.7284	-0.61	timeout
05-31 09:41	SOL	Sell	82.6496→83.0275	-2.73	timeout
05-31 09:08	SOL	Sell	82.7126→82.7104	-0.43	timeout
05-28 12:47	ETH	Sell	1987.8→1990.9	-1.23	timeout
05-28 12:19	BTC	Sell	73395.3→73326.7	+0.02	timeout
05-28 12:04	ETH	Sell	1990.3→1987	+0.38	timeout
05-28 11:43	SOL	Sell	80.9679→80.7331	+0.99	timeout
05-28 11:38	BTC	Sell	73445.3→73372.7	+0.05	timeout
05-28 11:21	ETH	Sell	1990.8→1988.7	+0.08	timeout
05-28 10:53	BTC	Sell	73504.3→73361.7	+0.52	timeout
05-28 10:37	ETH	Sell	1989.5→1993.6	-1.48	timeout
05-28 10:18	BTC	Sell	73298.3→73474.7	-1.65	timeout
05-28 10:17	SOL	Sell	80.9569→81.1812	-1.84	timeout
05-28 10:02	ETH	Sell	1988.1→1993.3	-1.76	timeout
05-28 09:35	BTC	Sell	73226.3→73420.7	-1.78	timeout
05-28 09:20	ETH	Sell	1990.1→1989.1	-0.20	timeout
05-28 09:05	SOL	Sell	81.0528→81.0182	-0.25	timeout
05-28 09:04	BTC	Sell	73326.3→73347.7	-0.60	timeout
05-28 08:49	ETH	Sell	1993.4→1989.1	+0.63	timeout
05-28 08:19	ETH	Sell	1987.6→1989.9	-1.04	timeout
05-28 07:45	ETH	Sell	1980.3→1993	-3.66	timeout
05-28 07:13	ETH	Sell	1977.4→1985.1	-2.40	timeout
05-28 06:41	ETH	Sell	1978.4→1972.4	+1.06	timeout
05-28 06:11	ETH	Sell	1978.3→1978.2	-0.43	timeout
05-28 05:39	ETH	Sell	1980→1978.8	-0.15	timeout
05-28 05:09	ETH	Sell	1982.9→1979.7	+0.35	timeout
05-28 04:38	ETH	Sell	1985.6→1979.8	+1.00	timeout
05-28 04:36	SOL	Sell	81.0448→80.7571	+1.32	timeout
05-28 04:02	SOL	Sell	82.0657→80.282	+10.41	take_profit
05-28 03:36	BTC	Sell	74173.3→73442.7	+4.48	timeout
05-28 03:18	ETH	Sell	2015.7→1971.7	+10.46	take_profit
05-28 03:18	ETH	Sell	2019.5→1973.9	+10.84	take_profit
05-28 03:07	SOL	Sell	82.2397→82.1293	+0.22	timeout
05-28 03:07	ETH	Sell	2019→2018.3	-0.28	timeout
05-28 03:05	BTC	Sell	74228.3→74312.7	-1.02	timeout
05-28 02:35	ETH	Sell	2017.1→2015.5	-0.06	timeout
05-28 02:34	BTC	Sell	74299.3→74186.7	+0.31	timeout
05-28 02:06	SOL	Sell	82.5576→82.1663	+1.92	timeout
05-28 02:05	ETH	Sell	2025.4→2016.5	+1.74	timeout
05-28 02:04	BTC	Sell	74523.3→74225.7	+1.55	timeout
05-28 01:34	SOL	Sell	82.5786→82.2003	+1.84	timeout
05-28 01:34	ETH	Sell	2024.9→2019.2	+0.95	timeout
05-28 01:04	SOL	Sell	82.4786→82.6384	-1.42	timeout
05-28 01:04	BTC	Sell	74511.3→74530.7	-0.58	timeout
05-28 01:04	ETH	Sell	2024.3→2028.3	-1.44	timeout
05-27 22:15	BTC	Sell	75125.2→74259.7	+5.31	timeout
05-27 21:45	BTC	Sell	75225.2→74527.7	+4.19	timeout
05-27 21:14	BTC	Sell	75275.2→75123.8	+0.56	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

163

closed

37%

win rate

-77.88

total pnl ($)

-9.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ETH	59	36%	-9.6	-28.51
BTC	56	38%	-5.1	-14.40
SOL	48	40%	-14.5	-34.97

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…