2
closed trades
50%
win rate
+9.47
total pnl ($)
1.250
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 00:28:44 (42.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
k
n: 0
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: +0.0
· mean_bps: +0.00
· sharpe: +0.00
· max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 2 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.284399→0.27817 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | 0.271882→0.272208 | -1.03 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
2
closed
50%
win rate
+9.47
total pnl ($)
+94.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 2 | 50% | +94.5 | +9.47 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | ADA was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with mild upward drift across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked directional momentum, and the trade was closed by timeout before any significant move materialized. |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | ADA traded in a narrow, low-volatility range with mild positive drift across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked directional momentum, and the position was closed by timeout before any significant move materialized. |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | ADA was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with mild positive momentum across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked the directional conviction needed to trigger a decline, and the position was closed by timeout without reachin… |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | The market was in a mild uptrend with low volatility across crypto assets, as ADA moved slightly higher alongside BTC and ETH. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching a profitable exit, as the gradual upward drift prev… |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | The market was in a mild uptrend with ADA gaining 1.17% over 24 hours and BTC rising 1.60%, showing broad positive momentum. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the expected reversal materialized, as the persistent bullish bi… |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | ADA traded in a narrow, low-volatility range with mild positive momentum across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked directional conviction, and the trade expired via timeout without reaching a profitable exit. |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | ADA traded in a narrow range with mild upward bias, showing low volatility and no clear directional momentum. The short thesis failed because the market lacked the selling pressure needed to trigger a decline, and the trade was closed by timeout without rea… |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | The market was in a mild uptrend with ADA gaining 0.50% in the hour and 1.24% over 24 hours, while funding remained slightly positive. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the expected bearish move materialized, as the market … |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | ADA was in a mild uptrend across all timeframes with neutral funding and stable OI. The sell thesis failed because the market lacked bearish momentum, and the trade expired via timeout without reaching a profitable exit. |
| 05-09 21:47 | ADA | Sell | -1.03 | The market was in a bullish trend with elevated funding and open interest, indicating strong long-side conviction. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before a reversal materialized, as persistent buying pressure kept prices elevated. |