887
closed trades
32%
win rate
-643.39
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=306 wr=28% pnl=-279.52
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-21 03:18:48 (37.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
arc
n: 0
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: +0.0
· mean_bps: +0.00
· sharpe: +0.00
· max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:17 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60288.3→60358.3 | +0.13 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:43 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60229.9→60291.9 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:12 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60385.1→60230.7 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60437.4→60173.8 | -2.63 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:09 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60403.5→60355.1 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:39 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60394.2→60396.7 | -0.43 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:03 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60429.7→60363.3 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:29 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60429.6→60328.5 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:56 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60563.6→60415 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60364.6→60410.5 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:47 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60441.8→60447.7 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60115.4→60274 | +0.87 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60208.5→60383.2 | +1.00 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:07 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60211.4→60140 | -1.04 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:33 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60381.1→60136.9 | -2.47 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:58 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60309→60176.6 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:24 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60328.4→60402.2 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:49 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60260.3→60301 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:17 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60127.4→60173.5 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:41 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59956.2→60255.8 | +2.05 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:07 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59963.8→59945.7 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:35 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59901.7→59936.5 | -0.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:01 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60107.4→59987 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:27 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60007→60009.8 | -0.43 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:53 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59978→60015.6 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:20 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59959.1→59946.7 | -0.56 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:46 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59969.8→59872 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59707.2→59842.8 | +0.68 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:39 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59686.9→59862.1 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:07 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59764.7→59670.4 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:36 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59965→59587.6 | -3.60 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:04 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59678.8→59821.9 | +0.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:31 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59766.5→59908.7 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:57 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59955.7→59542.2 | -3.90 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:24 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60123.5→59968.3 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60119.6→59957.8 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60269→60174.5 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60426.4→60183.8 | -2.46 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:00 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59603.1→60484.8 | +6.94 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:36 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59764.9→60164.5 | +2.89 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:55 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59965.9→59361.8 | -5.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:55 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 58937.2→59798 | +6.85 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:19 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59208→58610.8 | -5.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:59 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59401→59135.3 | -2.69 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59674.5→59077.8 | -5.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:28 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59456.7→59644.6 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:56 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59388.9→59329.3 | -0.95 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:24 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59734→59423.9 | -3.05 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:54 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59751.9→59333.3 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:52 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60138.5→59535.7 | -5.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60217.1→60035.1 | -1.96 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:06 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60320.1→60054.3 | -2.65 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:33 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60679→60153.1 | -4.78 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:59 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60301.1→60505.9 | +1.25 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:24 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60006.3→60519 | +3.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:50 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59856.5→60278.1 | +3.07 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:17 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59940.3→59724.6 | -2.25 | timeout |
| 06-26 05:44 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59950.8→59844 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 06-26 05:11 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60020→59896.4 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-26 04:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59464.6→59920 | +3.38 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:47 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 58852.6→59712.6 | +6.86 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:02 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 58851.1→58259.9 | -5.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59267.6→58673.7 | -5.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59372.4→58774.5 | -5.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:00 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59655→59390.2 | -2.67 | timeout |
| 06-26 01:26 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59738.7→59368.8 | -3.55 | timeout |
| 06-26 00:54 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59814.1→59596.4 | -2.27 | timeout |
| 06-26 00:24 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 60135.8→59770.5 | -3.49 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:50 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59750.6→59818.5 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:18 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59997.3→59988.6 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:45 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59935.5→59813.3 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59571.9→59850.2 | +1.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:43 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59481.2→59840.7 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59571.1→59515.3 | -0.92 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:41 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59338.8→59395.8 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:11 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59331.6→59572.8 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:38 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59420.4→59272.2 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:05 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59555.2→59324.3 | -2.39 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:34 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59504.9→59447.2 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:04 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59201.1→59591.2 | +2.85 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:31 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59477.4→59525.5 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:00 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59567.1→59255 | -3.07 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:29 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59238.7→59699.3 | +3.44 | timeout |
| 06-25 15:15 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59478→58881.9 | -5.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 59395.5→60265.6 | +6.87 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:59 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 58601.3→58015.1 | -5.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:39 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61303.1→60689.6 | -5.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:38 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61340.4→60718.2 | -5.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:11 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61218.7→61234.6 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:38 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61310.4→61336.7 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:04 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61192.4→61199.6 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:30 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61570.5→61221.4 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:55 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61683.7→61260.7 | -3.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:21 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61666.7→61554.2 | -1.36 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:48 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61749.3→61707.3 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61742.8→61716.8 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:46 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61858.7→61708.6 | -1.66 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61844.9→61726.2 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:45 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61740.7→61832.6 | +0.30 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:14 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 61735.1→61753.7 | -0.30 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
887
closed
32%
win rate
-643.39
total pnl ($)
-14.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | 887 | 32% | -14.5 | -643.39 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 9)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:32 | BTCUSDT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 12:58 | BTCUSDT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 12:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 11:46 | BTCUSDT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 11:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 10:45 | BTCUSDT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 10:23 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-27 09:56 | BTCUSDT | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-27 08:44 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||