212
closed trades
42%
win rate
+144.91
total pnl ($)
0.477
weight
7d window — n=48 wr=29% pnl=-123.50
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:00:20 (24.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
apm
n: 325
· wr: 42.5%
· total_bps: -2641.3
· mean_bps: -8.13
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -4595.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 16:06 | BNB | Buy | 562.601→564.829 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:34 | UNI | Sell | 2.94046→3.01476 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322851→0.32039 | -4.26 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1495→63.7078 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82126→1.77577 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:51 | APT | Buy | 0.60045→0.585261 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63901→1.5967 | -13.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:02 | TRX | Buy | 0.325801→0.322309 | -5.81 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.04506→1.01864 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:08 | DOT | Buy | 0.844241→0.823022 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596649→0.581663 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.2951→67.9952 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:02 | OP | Sell | 0.103224→0.105889 | -13.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7626→63.3085 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | NEAR | Sell | 1.90612→1.82266 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:53 | UNI | Sell | 2.92757→2.7974 | +21.78 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076173→0.0742543 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | SUI | Buy | 0.699775→0.682228 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:10 | INJ | Buy | 4.28017→4.16937 | -13.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60281→61765 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:09 | SOL | Sell | 67.3109→68.9838 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1595.24→1634.68 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.673822→0.690758 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.30872→4.12103 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | LINK | Sell | 7.63999→7.30293 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | SOL | Sell | 69.8205→66.68 | +22.07 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:45 | XRP | Sell | 1.10832→1.05976 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0797381→0.0762661 | +21.19 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:15 | ADA | Sell | 0.152882→0.146207 | +21.17 | take_profit |
| 06-23 20:15 | FIL | Sell | 0.768288→0.78769 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Sell | 1723.83→1646.86 | +21.80 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.15849→0.154444 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.86537→7.66815 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:14 | SUI | Sell | 0.729238→0.697334 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:08 | NEAR | Buy | 2.06272→2.01019 | -13.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:51 | XMR | Sell | 319.55→327.736 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:36 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13433→2.08074 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | KAS | Buy | 0.0300245→0.029272 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 73.201→71.3736 | -12.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.698084→0.728448 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:07 | BTC | Buy | 64005.2→63907.8 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.6878→74.8288 | +21.40 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1710.03→1752.35 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:37 | AAVE | Sell | 73.9995→75.8709 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23414→2.13503 | +21.71 | take_profit |
| 06-21 10:24 | FIL | Sell | 0.783404→0.803412 | -13.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 10:17 | LTC | Sell | 44.085→45.1889 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 08:09 | ARB | Sell | 0.0833592→0.0835509 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.13588→1.14811 | +4.71 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:05 | ARB | Buy | 0.0843611→0.0822383 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:06 | BNB | Sell | 579.415→586.827 | -6.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:07 | ETH | Sell | 1685.83→1708.47 | -7.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | BTC | Sell | 62627.9→63425.2 | -6.84 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:05 | BNB | Sell | 588.853→579.725 | +6.97 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29277→6.1329 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 20:20 | ADA | Sell | 0.16011→0.164123 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | APT | Sell | 0.648038→0.619755 | +21.17 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:53 | LINK | Buy | 7.9965→7.79475 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1774.02→1696.17 | +21.16 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.75201→6.45161 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-18 05:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.776876→0.742736 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02654→0.981345 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-18 01:10 | ARB | Sell | 0.0851087→0.0872654 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:42 | NEAR | Buy | 2.29387→2.23632 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:39 | ICP | Buy | 2.4132→2.35024 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64840.8→66437.5 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 14:06 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0137866→0.0141806 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 10:58 | XMR | Buy | 349.237→340.494 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882661→0.0860564 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:04 | BTC | Buy | 66572.3→65448.7 | -8.80 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:49 | SUI | Sell | 0.792772→0.812679 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:41 | UNI | Buy | 3.31573→3.45993 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 218.245→223.718 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 18:00 | INJ | Sell | 5.5906→5.7312 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0887052→0.0864891 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82129→6.99204 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 07:58 | ONDO | Sell | 0.369708→0.378964 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 75.0373→73.1754 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.48→1795.12 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.185306→0.180644 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:33 | APT | Buy | 0.713678→0.695678 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:40 | SOL | Buy | 71.3697→74.4888 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1726.57→1803.52 | +21.80 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863296→0.0900995 | +21.26 | take_profit |
| 06-15 11:20 | AVAX | Sell | 6.75471→6.92439 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 05:27 | APT | Sell | 0.670632→0.687615 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 04:08 | BTC | Buy | 64044.2→65733.7 | +12.69 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:06 | ETH | Buy | 1677.07→1723.63 | +13.36 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:50 | BCH | Sell | 203.169→208.326 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.173443→0.169103 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 08:02 | LTC | Buy | 42.9807→43.993 | +11.66 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:08 | BNB | Sell | 602.349→607.722 | -4.94 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:15 | XRP | Sell | 1.12862→1.15687 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 12:02 | SUI | Sell | 0.754201→0.768992 | -10.03 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:47 | AAVE | Sell | 64.1949→65.8063 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 22:25 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0126168→0.0129397 | -13.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 16:08 | BTC | Buy | 62598.1→63718.8 | +8.37 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0848382→0.0885359 | +21.17 | take_profit |
| 06-12 11:12 | BLUR | Buy | 0.0177244→0.0184954 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-12 04:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.165401→0.172607 | +21.18 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
212
closed
42%
win rate
+144.91
total pnl ($)
+13.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
9
closed
11%
win rate
-28.63
total pnl ($)
-75.2 bps
avg bps net
Live WR is 27% of paper WR (11% vs 42%)
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 14 | 43% | -14.3 | -9.79 |
| LINK | 13 | 46% | +57.3 | +37.35 |
| BTC | 13 | 31% | -58.7 | -37.86 |
| SUI | 13 | 38% | +8.2 | +5.68 |
| XRP | 12 | 50% | +26.6 | +16.57 |
| ETH | 12 | 58% | +113.0 | +67.50 |
| ADA | 11 | 45% | +14.4 | +8.12 |
| NEAR | 9 | 44% | +46.3 | +20.64 |
| AVAX | 9 | 33% | -69.2 | -31.08 |
| DOGE | 9 | 56% | +117.8 | +52.87 |
| LTC | 7 | 14% | -159.0 | -55.11 |
| UNI | 7 | 71% | +176.9 | +61.93 |
| APT | 6 | 33% | -31.5 | -9.42 |
| BNB | 6 | 50% | +18.0 | +5.18 |
| ONDO | 5 | 80% | +290.6 | +72.65 |
| DOT | 5 | 40% | +64.8 | +16.19 |
| ARB | 5 | 0% | -216.2 | -53.29 |
| ACE | 4 | 25% | -102.7 | -20.53 |
| ATOM | 4 | 50% | +78.8 | +15.65 |
| ICP | 4 | 75% | +253.9 | +50.78 |
| HYPE | 4 | 50% | +84.5 | +16.90 |
| TRX | 4 | 50% | +29.2 | +5.84 |
| INJ | 4 | 50% | +82.2 | +16.46 |
| OP | 3 | 0% | -270.3 | -40.53 |
| BCH | 3 | 0% | -261.7 | -39.26 |
| KAS | 3 | 33% | -27.6 | -4.14 |
| AAVE | 3 | 0% | -260.3 | -39.05 |
| XMR | 3 | 0% | -261.6 | -39.24 |
| SAGA | 3 | 33% | -36.8 | -5.53 |
| FIL | 3 | 33% | -156.4 | -23.46 |
| RENDER | 2 | 100% | +427.6 | +42.76 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| BLUR | 2 | 100% | +364.6 | +36.46 |
| ETC | 1 | 0% | -289.6 | -14.48 |
| GOAT | 1 | 0% | -14.0 | -0.70 |
| XLM | 1 | 100% | +432.7 | +21.63 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 16:06 | LTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||