top_trader_ls_fast_horizon_contrarian · strategy

235

closed trades

40%

win rate

-269.48

total pnl ($)

0.263

weight

7d window — n=49 wr=39% pnl=-161.20 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 18:00:21 (23.8d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: apm

n: 296 · wr: 39.5% · total_bps: -7217.4 · mean_bps: -24.38 · sharpe: -0.11 · max_dd_bps: -8041.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 12:16	BLUR	Sell	0.0147763→0.0151554	-13.28	stop_loss
06-27 11:16	DOT	Buy	0.861055→0.83906	-13.22	stop_loss
06-27 01:13	XLM	Buy	0.179385→0.174869	-13.04	stop_loss
06-26 16:03	TRX	Buy	0.322901→0.3196	-5.56	timeout
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.1974→63.7588	-13.00	stop_loss
06-26 12:40	BNB	Buy	568.372→554.154	-12.99	stop_loss
06-26 12:40	NEAR	Buy	1.82356→1.77777	-13.04	stop_loss
06-26 10:40	ATOM	Buy	1.63801→1.5967	-13.10	stop_loss
06-26 09:51	SOL	Buy	70.6196→68.8642	-12.89	stop_loss
06-26 07:04	UNI	Sell	2.85229→2.92379	-12.98	stop_loss
06-26 03:02	HBAR	Buy	0.0731073→0.0711996	-13.50	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	INJ	Buy	4.30838→4.18456	-14.79	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.596649→0.581364	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.3191→67.9802	-12.96	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.7995→63.3475	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 13:59	KAS	Sell	0.0277861→0.0265556	+21.69	take_profit
06-25 13:48	ICP	Sell	2.23624→2.13873	+21.35	take_profit
06-25 13:42	APT	Buy	0.630158→0.614239	-13.08	stop_loss
06-25 10:47	HBAR	Buy	0.0754018→0.0735118	-12.98	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60292→61779	-12.80	stop_loss
06-25 05:02	SOL	Sell	67.1299→68.8017	-12.94	stop_loss
06-25 04:52	ETH	Sell	1591.14→1630.58	-12.83	stop_loss
06-24 22:01	SUI	Sell	0.673931→0.690858	-13.06	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	INJ	Sell	4.31462→4.12673	+21.31	take_profit
06-24 16:51	OP	Sell	0.101845→0.0971543	+22.52	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BCH	Sell	193.862→185.176	+21.95	take_profit
06-24 13:42	AAVE	Buy	76.099→74.1663	-13.15	stop_loss
06-24 12:05	SOL	Sell	69.1616→69.8255	-5.24	timeout
06-24 08:04	LINK	Sell	7.63999→7.6099	+1.53	timeout
06-24 08:04	ETH	Sell	1677.83→1673.07	+1.06	timeout
06-24 08:04	BTC	Sell	62796.9→62661.1	+0.71	timeout
06-24 04:02	BNB	Sell	591.212→577.884	+10.96	timeout
06-23 10:59	SUI	Sell	0.685169→0.702336	-12.99	stop_loss
06-23 06:20	BNB	Buy	595.219→580.295	-12.87	stop_loss
06-23 06:08	BTC	Buy	64693.2→63077.3	-12.96	stop_loss
06-23 04:03	LINK	Buy	7.86036→7.89962	+1.98	timeout
06-23 04:02	OP	Buy	0.100325→0.101055	+3.05	timeout
06-23 00:05	AAVE	Buy	74.2756→75.1402	+5.37	timeout
06-22 11:49	APT	Sell	0.663234→0.68051	-13.46	stop_loss
06-22 08:06	UNI	Buy	3.00775→3.01115	+0.11	timeout
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1710.03→1752.35	-12.82	stop_loss
06-22 00:09	HBAR	Sell	0.0804829→0.0781795	+13.86	timeout
06-21 20:48	NEAR	Sell	2.23454→2.13723	+21.30	take_profit
06-21 20:09	INJ	Buy	4.99925→4.95386	-4.88	timeout
06-21 16:10	BTC	Buy	64009.2→64157.8	+0.71	timeout
06-21 08:06	ADA	Sell	0.162489→0.16137	+2.59	timeout
06-21 04:06	RENDER	Sell	1.74876→1.70403	+12.34	timeout
06-21 00:05	ETC	Sell	7.61989→7.44486	+11.04	timeout
06-20 20:06	HBAR	Sell	0.0802309→0.080205	-0.29	timeout
06-20 15:25	SAGA	Sell	0.0132167→0.0135502	-13.07	stop_loss
06-20 04:05	XRP	Buy	1.13498→1.13882	+1.30	timeout
06-19 16:06	XRP	Sell	1.14421→1.13588	+3.20	timeout
06-19 16:06	ETH	Sell	1687.53→1706.67	-6.12	timeout
06-19 16:06	BTC	Sell	62626.9→63166.2	-4.77	timeout
06-19 16:06	SOL	Sell	68.7767→69.3654	-4.80	timeout
06-19 03:15	AVAX	Buy	6.35939→6.19595	-13.25	stop_loss
06-18 20:01	ARB	Sell	0.0819895→0.084103	-13.33	stop_loss
06-18 15:53	SOL	Sell	71.8092→68.6633	+21.44	take_profit
06-18 15:53	LINK	Buy	8.0042→7.80214	-13.01	stop_loss
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1774.02→1696.07	+21.51	take_profit
06-18 15:37	ADA	Buy	0.165601→0.161409	-13.09	stop_loss
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73971→6.44561	+21.31	take_profit
06-18 04:11	BNB	Buy	606.942→591.496	-13.17	stop_loss
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02624→0.981485	+21.36	take_profit
06-17 19:38	SUI	Buy	0.794499→0.774529	-13.16	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64798.8→66402.5	-12.83	stop_loss
06-17 12:43	UNI	Sell	3.26418→3.34621	-13.01	stop_loss
06-17 09:56	XMR	Buy	353.038→344.152	-13.04	stop_loss
06-17 08:03	LINK	Sell	8.28023→8.28147	-0.37	timeout
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	1.00115→1.02637	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.706→223.227	-13.13	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129932→0.0135666	+21.61	take_profit
06-16 14:33	HYPE	Buy	75.0888→73.2091	-12.97	stop_loss
06-16 14:31	OP	Buy	0.108147→0.105431	-12.97	stop_loss
06-16 09:26	NEAR	Sell	2.45159→2.51378	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82509→6.99684	-13.04	stop_loss
06-16 08:25	INJ	Sell	5.76296→5.91123	-13.31	stop_loss
06-16 02:18	SOL	Buy	75.1213→73.2524	-12.88	stop_loss
06-16 01:56	XRP	Buy	1.25891→1.22728	-13.03	stop_loss
06-16 00:42	XLM	Sell	0.215806→0.221246	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 00:02	LTC	Sell	45.3956→45.7584	-4.33	timeout
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1840.78→1795.12	-12.87	stop_loss
06-15 22:22	LINK	Buy	8.53923→8.32505	-13.03	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1728.27→1804.42	+21.55	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28342→7.605	+21.63	take_profit
06-15 12:43	UNI	Buy	2.59085→2.70402	+21.39	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1848→1.23679	+21.47	take_profit
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.516	-13.16	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	ADA	Sell	0.169468→0.1738	-13.18	stop_loss
06-14 21:36	ONDO	Buy	0.345826→0.36087	+21.30	take_profit
06-14 20:10	AAVE	Sell	66.3964→65.4394	+6.76	timeout
06-14 18:22	AVAX	Sell	6.70382→6.4102	+21.28	take_profit
06-14 16:08	SOL	Buy	68.2222→67.4819	-5.75	timeout
06-14 12:06	AAVE	Sell	66.7793→65.9905	+5.46	timeout
06-14 08:10	ADA	Buy	0.173443→0.171087	-6.97	timeout
06-14 04:08	LTC	Buy	43.2788→44.3489	+11.91	timeout
06-13 18:12	XLM	Buy	0.190458→0.185631	-13.12	stop_loss
06-13 15:37	XRP	Sell	1.13012→1.15847	-12.85	stop_loss
06-13 06:10	OP	Sell	0.100275→0.102977	-14.05	stop_loss
06-13 04:09	AVAX	Sell	6.64244→6.57404	+4.63	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

235

closed

40%

win rate

-269.48

total pnl ($)

-23.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	13	31%	-77.9	-50.17
ETH	13	54%	+41.3	+27.24
XRP	12	50%	-5.0	-2.34
BTC	12	42%	-55.6	-33.11
LINK	11	45%	-60.3	-32.90
SUI	10	30%	-85.5	-42.75
BNB	10	30%	-53.3	-26.09
BCH	9	33%	-30.9	-13.90
ADA	9	44%	+29.2	+13.05
INJ	8	25%	-73.3	-29.33
AAVE	7	57%	-61.2	-21.42
UNI	7	43%	-20.5	-7.18
HYPE	7	29%	-63.6	-22.26
OP	7	57%	+81.1	+28.08
DOT	7	29%	-88.9	-31.13
AVAX	7	43%	-14.4	-5.32
APT	6	0%	-241.3	-72.14
TRX	6	50%	-36.0	-10.80
NEAR	5	60%	+152.0	+37.92
ONDO	5	60%	+152.6	+38.16
SAGA	5	40%	+13.1	+3.28
LTC	5	40%	-52.3	-13.03
ATOM	5	40%	-56.6	-14.13
HBAR	5	20%	-103.8	-25.94
XLM	5	20%	-125.6	-31.40
ICP	4	25%	-92.9	-18.58
FIL	4	25%	-180.2	-36.04
ARB	4	25%	-49.8	-9.76
KAS	4	75%	+261.8	+52.36
ETC	4	75%	+244.4	+48.87
RENDER	3	67%	+138.0	+20.70
XMR	3	67%	+197.5	+29.63
BLUR	3	67%	+109.7	+16.46
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ACE	2	0%	-268.9	-26.89
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
DOGE	2	50%	-43.2	-4.42

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…