top_trader_ls_fade_24h · strategy

185

closed trades

43%

win rate

+31.75

total pnl ($)

1.349

weight

7d window — n=44 wr=41% pnl=+27.13 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 21:45:00 (32.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: aqj

n: 65 · wr: 46.2% · total_bps: -545.3 · mean_bps: -8.39 · sharpe: -0.05 · max_dd_bps: -2077.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1710.33→1752.65	-12.81	stop_loss
06-22 00:09	HBAR	Sell	0.0804829→0.0781795	+13.86	timeout
06-21 20:06	INJ	Buy	4.99175→4.95906	-3.61	timeout
06-21 16:07	BTC	Buy	63997.2→64164.8	+0.88	timeout
06-21 04:45	ACE	Buy	0.0905226→0.0944764	+21.39	take_profit
06-21 04:05	XLM	Buy	0.212323→0.214426	+4.50	timeout
06-21 04:05	RENDER	Sell	1.74466→1.70273	+11.57	timeout
06-21 00:05	ETC	Sell	7.6174→7.44556	+10.83	timeout
06-20 20:05	HBAR	Sell	0.080146→0.080205	-0.82	timeout
06-20 12:16	ACE	Buy	0.0849212→0.0827379	-13.30	stop_loss
06-20 11:31	SAGA	Sell	0.0131967→0.0135301	-13.08	stop_loss
06-19 20:06	BNB	Sell	579.415→579.675	-0.89	timeout
06-19 16:05	BTC	Sell	62522.9→63133.2	-5.40	timeout
06-19 13:45	OP	Buy	0.100875→0.105294	+21.45	take_profit
06-19 12:47	DOT	Buy	0.969222→0.944311	-13.30	stop_loss
06-19 08:09	BNB	Sell	590.992→573.613	+14.39	timeout
06-19 08:08	LTC	Sell	44.5319→43.4399	+11.41	timeout
06-18 15:53	SOL	Sell	71.8012→68.6563	+21.57	take_profit
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1772.92→1694.97	+21.33	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73712→6.43901	+21.58	take_profit
06-18 04:11	BNB	Buy	605.571→590.357	-13.01	stop_loss
06-18 04:01	DOT	Sell	1.02394→0.979325	+21.34	take_profit
06-17 19:29	SUI	Buy	0.796869→0.776857	-13.15	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64844.8→66441.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-17 12:11	UNI	Sell	3.23049→3.31248	-13.14	stop_loss
06-17 09:57	XMR	Buy	352.348→343.502	-13.00	stop_loss
06-17 08:05	LINK	Sell	8.28443→8.28227	-0.17	timeout
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	0.99975→1.02547	-13.31	stop_loss
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.706→223.227	-13.13	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129832→0.0135666	+22.02	take_profit
06-16 14:33	HYPE	Buy	75.1178→73.235	-12.98	stop_loss
06-16 14:31	OP	Buy	0.108147→0.105431	-12.97	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82279→6.99354	-12.96	stop_loss
06-16 08:27	INJ	Sell	5.80305→5.94976	-13.09	stop_loss
06-16 08:16	XLM	Sell	0.213347→0.218764	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 02:27	SOL	Buy	75.0373→73.1754	-12.84	stop_loss
06-16 01:54	XRP	Buy	1.26011→1.22848	-13.02	stop_loss
06-16 00:03	LTC	Sell	45.3497→45.7044	-4.35	timeout
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1842.48→1796.92	-12.84	stop_loss
06-15 22:22	LINK	Buy	8.54414→8.32385	-13.38	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1727.87→1803.62	+21.43	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28082→7.5997	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 12:44	UNI	Buy	2.59185→2.70472	+21.33	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1835→1.23499	+21.28	take_profit
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.506	-13.13	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	ADA	Sell	0.169468→0.1738	-13.18	stop_loss
06-14 21:39	ONDO	Buy	0.345986→0.36111	+21.41	take_profit
06-14 20:10	DOT	Sell	0.978425→0.950838	+13.65	timeout
06-14 16:08	SOL	Buy	68.2302→67.4819	-5.81	timeout
06-14 14:20	NEAR	Buy	2.12933→2.07604	-13.10	stop_loss
06-14 12:06	AAVE	Sell	66.7793→65.9905	+5.46	timeout
06-14 08:10	ADA	Buy	0.173373→0.171087	-6.90	timeout
06-13 18:12	XLM	Buy	0.190458→0.185631	-13.12	stop_loss
06-13 12:57	XRP	Sell	1.12672→1.15507	-12.90	stop_loss
06-13 09:33	FIL	Buy	0.749457→0.782084	+21.32	take_profit
06-13 06:10	OP	Sell	0.100275→0.102977	-14.05	stop_loss
06-13 04:09	AVAX	Sell	6.64394→6.57254	+4.86	timeout
06-13 04:08	LINK	Sell	7.88653→7.87197	+0.52	timeout
06-12 20:02	ETC	Sell	7.27238→7.14038	+8.63	timeout
06-12 14:20	DOGE	Sell	0.0864534→0.0886244	-12.95	stop_loss
06-12 09:33	APT	Sell	0.64024→0.656792	-13.39	stop_loss
06-12 06:33	APT	Buy	0.651663→0.634924	-13.32	stop_loss
06-12 04:06	DOGE	Buy	0.0848212→0.0864374	+8.93	timeout
06-12 04:05	BTC	Buy	62596.1→63468.8	+6.44	timeout
06-12 04:05	LTC	Sell	42.6983→42.6447	+0.14	timeout
06-11 17:19	NEAR	Buy	2.0123→1.96203	-12.99	stop_loss
06-11 12:05	LTC	Buy	42.0645→42.5594	+5.30	timeout
06-11 03:55	SUI	Sell	0.734276→0.752804	-13.02	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	FIL	Sell	0.737226→0.757178	-13.98	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.3325→64.9212	-12.98	stop_loss
06-11 01:16	XMR	Buy	326.532→340.875	+21.51	take_profit
06-10 17:29	ADA	Buy	0.164561→0.16044	-12.98	stop_loss
06-10 16:46	ARB	Buy	0.0808302→0.0788109	-12.94	stop_loss
06-10 15:46	BTC	Sell	61003.9→62510.4	-12.74	stop_loss
06-10 13:40	INJ	Buy	5.04686→5.27098	+21.77	take_profit
06-10 13:30	APT	Sell	0.636941→0.65319	-13.22	stop_loss
06-10 11:54	KAS	Buy	0.031838→0.0309718	-14.05	stop_loss
06-10 04:14	AAVE	Sell	61.9765→61.9165	+0.03	timeout
06-10 04:06	ETC	Sell	6.95906→7.02786	-5.39	timeout
06-09 18:18	DOT	Sell	0.938005→0.962051	-13.27	stop_loss
06-09 16:39	XRP	Sell	1.17121→1.11958	+21.57	take_profit
06-09 13:30	KAS	Sell	0.0327358→0.0312378	+22.43	take_profit
06-09 13:23	BTC	Buy	63816.2→62246.7	-12.73	stop_loss
06-09 04:35	APT	Sell	0.644239→0.660495	-13.07	stop_loss
06-09 00:37	INJ	Sell	5.74376→5.48137	+22.42	take_profit
06-09 00:31	ONDO	Sell	0.373317→0.357059	+21.32	take_profit
06-09 00:05	FIL	Buy	0.770122→0.773337	+1.64	timeout
06-08 18:06	BNB	Sell	594.801→609.737	-12.94	stop_loss
06-08 15:12	SUI	Sell	0.752852→0.771919	-13.04	stop_loss
06-08 15:01	ATOM	Sell	1.72797→1.77223	-13.26	stop_loss
06-08 14:55	XRP	Sell	1.14441→1.17338	-13.10	stop_loss
06-08 08:04	BLUR	Buy	0.0171333→0.0174086	+7.59	timeout
06-08 05:15	ARB	Buy	0.0829707→0.0808893	-13.01	stop_loss
06-08 00:36	KAS	Sell	0.0305754→0.0313765	-13.55	stop_loss
06-08 00:17	HYPE	Sell	58.7703→60.2432	-12.98	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	UNI	Sell	2.52037→2.58444	-13.16	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	SUI	Sell	0.748893→0.767715	-13.00	stop_loss
06-07 08:02	ETH	Buy	1571.26→1614.24	+13.36	timeout
06-07 08:02	SOL	Buy	62.5784→64.8713	+18.45	timeout
06-07 08:02	DOT	Buy	0.942316→0.967518	+12.92	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

185

closed

43%

win rate

+31.75

total pnl ($)

+3.2 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	10	50%	-3.4	-0.73
XRP	9	33%	-28.3	-12.03
ETH	8	75%	+146.2	+58.50
LINK	8	38%	-54.2	-21.42
BNB	8	38%	+8.5	+3.52
SUI	8	38%	-29.8	-11.85
BTC	8	38%	-76.6	-30.55
DOT	8	38%	-45.0	-18.00
INJ	6	33%	+3.4	+0.96
LTC	6	50%	-43.2	-13.43
ACE	6	33%	-44.1	-13.23
APT	5	0%	-238.9	-59.63
SAGA	5	60%	+101.3	+25.32
HYPE	5	40%	+33.3	+8.33
UNI	5	40%	+54.4	+13.60
ADA	5	40%	+37.7	+9.56
FIL	5	40%	-69.3	-17.33
ETC	5	60%	+88.6	+22.15
NEAR	4	50%	+89.0	+17.60
ONDO	4	75%	+255.2	+51.04
XMR	4	50%	+84.3	+16.87
RENDER	4	75%	+207.2	+41.43
ARB	4	25%	-88.5	-17.69
BCH	4	25%	-89.1	-17.83
OP	4	50%	+79.3	+15.77
KAS	4	50%	+83.6	+16.72
AVAX	4	50%	+0.4	-0.09
XLM	4	25%	-175.9	-35.18
ICP	3	33%	-32.0	-4.80
BLUR	3	100%	+236.9	+35.53
ATOM	3	33%	-39.8	-5.90
HBAR	3	33%	-12.4	-1.86
DOGE	3	33%	-112.5	-16.71
AAVE	3	67%	-49.7	-7.46
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
TRX	2	50%	+40.5	+4.05
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
GOAT	1	0%	-14.0	-0.70

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 00:30	AAVE	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	ETH	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…