211
closed trades
39%
win rate
+13.89
total pnl ($)
0.893
weight
7d window — n=45 wr=36% pnl=-55.45
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-21 03:46:14 (38.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
arb
n: 111
· wr: 38.7%
· total_bps: -2190.3
· mean_bps: -19.73
· sharpe: -0.10
· max_dd_bps: -4023.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:12 | TRX | Buy | 0.32145→0.32184 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:05 | BNB | Buy | 562.761→564.969 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:34 | UNI | Sell | 2.93837→3.01276 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:03 | TRX | Buy | 0.322901→0.32039 | -4.34 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.0925→63.6467 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82025→1.77307 | -13.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63761→1.5967 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:02 | TRX | Buy | 0.325661→0.322309 | -5.60 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.04476→1.01864 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:08 | DOT | Buy | 0.843771→0.822593 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596749→0.581364 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.2971→67.9962 | -13.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:02 | OP | Sell | 0.103224→0.105889 | -13.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7955→63.3455 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | NEAR | Sell | 1.90572→1.82266 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:47 | XRP | Sell | 1.09213→1.04456 | +21.19 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.07619→0.0742543 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | SUI | Buy | 0.700105→0.682618 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:11 | INJ | Buy | 4.26837→4.15768 | -13.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60269→61753.9 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:56 | ETH | Sell | 1593.24→1632.68 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.673931→0.690858 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | LINK | Sell | 7.64409→7.30993 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | SOL | Sell | 69.8205→66.677 | +22.07 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:38 | XRP | Sell | 1.11042→1.06207 | +21.26 | take_profit |
| 06-24 14:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.080101→0.0766131 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:15 | ADA | Sell | 0.152862→0.146207 | +21.12 | take_profit |
| 06-23 20:15 | FIL | Sell | 0.768288→0.78769 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | ETH | Sell | 1721.93→1646.26 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.87017→7.67324 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:14 | SUI | Sell | 0.728118→0.696254 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:08 | NEAR | Buy | 2.06031→2.00849 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | ARB | Sell | 0.0848088→0.0810903 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-23 00:54 | XMR | Sell | 320.13→328.216 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:29 | DOT | Buy | 0.950238→0.926475 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 73.21→71.3946 | -12.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | ETH | Buy | 1763.88→1720.27 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:01 | XRP | Sell | 1.14841→1.13768 | +4.15 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:35 | SUI | Buy | 0.700785→0.731477 | +21.40 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:10 | BTC | Buy | 64003.2→63908.8 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.7228→74.8578 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:23 | UNI | Sell | 2.99605→3.0711 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:48 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23474→2.13723 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-21 10:17 | LTC | Sell | 44.085→45.1889 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 08:06 | ARB | Sell | 0.0832592→0.0835209 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:14 | ACE | Buy | 0.0913228→0.0955761 | +22.84 | take_profit |
| 06-20 22:34 | AAVE | Buy | 73.4184→76.6348 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-20 14:07 | ARB | Buy | 0.084061→0.0819585 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:05 | NEAR | Buy | 2.16824→2.11351 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:05 | BNB | Sell | 580.745→587.727 | -6.24 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:20 | ADA | Sell | 0.16094→0.162631 | -5.64 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:06 | BNB | Sell | 589.003→579.645 | +7.16 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:11 | FIL | Buy | 0.80166→0.781613 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 12:33 | DOT | Buy | 0.970192→0.94593 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 12:06 | LTC | Sell | 44.9308→43.5479 | +14.79 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1774.52→1696.77 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:44 | FIL | Sell | 0.797651→0.76198 | +21.91 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.74001→6.43711 | +21.70 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:01 | DOT | Sell | 1.02284→0.978325 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:42 | NEAR | Buy | 2.29387→2.23632 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:39 | ICP | Buy | 2.4113→2.35024 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 15:50 | FIL | Sell | 0.805619→0.825959 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:34 | INJ | Sell | 5.615→5.36784 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087942→0.0857427 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:07 | BTC | Buy | 66556.3→65447.7 | -8.80 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:49 | SUI | Sell | 0.793462→0.81342 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:46 | UNI | Buy | 3.32053→3.46513 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0886642→0.0864491 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82129→6.99204 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:13 | ONDO | Sell | 0.369868→0.379184 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 74.9902→73.1244 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.48→1795.92 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.184996→0.180335 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:33 | APT | Buy | 0.713678→0.695678 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:41 | SOL | Buy | 71.5307→74.6558 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1727.47→1803.42 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863496→0.0901275 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-15 10:54 | LINK | Buy | 7.95659→8.31122 | +21.64 | take_profit |
| 06-15 04:08 | BTC | Buy | 64044.2→65733.7 | +12.70 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:17 | NEAR | Sell | 2.08728→2.1396 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 20:05 | SUI | Buy | 0.762201→0.748673 | -9.31 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:06 | BNB | Sell | 600.33→608.042 | -7.10 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.173263→0.168933 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 20:09 | BNB | Sell | 602.339→607.952 | -5.14 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:32 | XRP | Sell | 1.13002→1.15837 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 08:01 | TRX | Buy | 0.312338→0.315211 | +4.15 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:48 | DOT | Sell | 0.962849→0.9879 | -13.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 00:13 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0126868→0.0130198 | -13.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 16:04 | BTC | Buy | 62621.1→63700.8 | +8.11 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0850012→0.0887158 | +21.20 | take_profit |
| 06-12 11:12 | BLUR | Buy | 0.0177214→0.0184954 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-12 04:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.165891→0.173117 | +21.18 | take_profit |
| 06-11 18:00 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0122569→0.0125994 | -14.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 11:30 | ETH | Sell | 1625.54→1665.8 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 10:55 | BTC | Sell | 61674.9→63201.7 | -12.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 04:05 | ETH | Sell | 1631.04→1652.47 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:55 | LINK | Sell | 7.57051→7.78784 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | SOL | Sell | 63.2915→64.8641 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:50 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0790208→0.0770192 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
211
closed
39%
win rate
+13.89
total pnl ($)
+1.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 13 | 46% | +18.1 | +12.50 |
| XRP | 12 | 50% | +42.3 | +25.41 |
| BTC | 12 | 42% | -12.5 | -7.15 |
| ETH | 11 | 45% | +36.1 | +19.98 |
| SUI | 11 | 36% | -3.0 | -1.60 |
| NEAR | 10 | 40% | +14.0 | +7.07 |
| ADA | 10 | 40% | +29.5 | +14.71 |
| DOGE | 10 | 50% | +100.4 | +50.42 |
| LINK | 9 | 44% | +42.1 | +18.57 |
| LTC | 8 | 12% | -171.4 | -68.90 |
| BNB | 7 | 43% | -3.1 | -1.61 |
| TRX | 7 | 57% | -3.1 | -1.09 |
| DOT | 7 | 14% | -128.3 | -44.89 |
| AVAX | 6 | 33% | -74.8 | -22.96 |
| ARB | 6 | 17% | -109.8 | -32.61 |
| FIL | 6 | 33% | -91.2 | -27.35 |
| UNI | 6 | 33% | -31.2 | -9.37 |
| ACE | 5 | 60% | +158.8 | +39.70 |
| ATOM | 5 | 20% | -103.1 | -25.93 |
| OP | 4 | 0% | -265.0 | -52.85 |
| INJ | 4 | 50% | +82.6 | +16.64 |
| ONDO | 4 | 75% | +261.6 | +52.32 |
| ICP | 4 | 75% | +256.1 | +51.22 |
| HYPE | 4 | 50% | +86.0 | +17.20 |
| APT | 3 | 33% | -32.3 | -4.84 |
| BLUR | 3 | 67% | +154.6 | +23.20 |
| SAGA | 3 | 33% | -33.5 | -5.02 |
| ETC | 2 | 0% | -279.7 | -27.97 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| RENDER | 2 | 50% | +83.5 | +8.35 |
| BCH | 2 | 50% | +83.6 | +8.36 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| KAS | 2 | 50% | +88.4 | +8.84 |
| XLM | 2 | 50% | +84.1 | +8.41 |
| AAVE | 2 | 50% | +85.1 | +8.51 |
| XMR | 2 | 0% | -260.5 | -26.05 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| HBAR | 1 | 0% | -262.3 | -13.11 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||