top_trader_ls_contrarian_z15 · strategy

230

closed trades

38%

win rate

-82.92

total pnl ($)

0.945

weight

7d window — n=42 wr=36% pnl=-46.77 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 20:02:01 (24.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: zb

n: 325 · wr: 42.5% · total_bps: -2641.3 · mean_bps: -8.13 · sharpe: -0.04 · max_dd_bps: -4595.2

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 00:08	TRX	Buy	0.3216→0.3218	-0.14	timeout
06-27 16:08	BNB	Buy	562.721→565.249	+1.82	timeout
06-27 15:34	UNI	Sell	2.93837→3.01476	-13.45	stop_loss
06-27 04:06	TRX	Buy	0.322851→0.32047	-4.14	timeout
06-26 13:18	BTC	Buy	60252→58770.7	-12.75	stop_loss
06-26 12:40	NEAR	Buy	1.82366→1.77807	-12.99	stop_loss
06-26 08:02	TRX	Buy	0.325661→0.322289	-5.63	timeout
06-26 06:54	OP	Sell	0.104764→0.10739	-12.95	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	XRP	Buy	1.04336→1.01724	-12.97	stop_loss
06-26 02:09	APT	Buy	0.596249→0.581264	-12.92	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.525→68.1843	-12.89	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.8835→63.4376	-13.01	stop_loss
06-25 13:58	NEAR	Sell	1.90562→1.82266	+21.32	take_profit
06-25 13:48	BLUR	Sell	0.0145664→0.0139305	+21.38	take_profit
06-25 13:44	SUI	Buy	0.698745→0.680819	-13.26	stop_loss
06-25 13:40	ADA	Buy	0.149497→0.145761	-12.96	stop_loss
06-25 11:10	INJ	Buy	4.27407→4.16687	-13.00	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60284→61770	-12.79	stop_loss
06-25 05:07	SUI	Sell	0.674431→0.691418	-13.15	stop_loss
06-25 04:56	ETH	Sell	1592.24→1631.68	-12.82	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	XRP	Sell	1.09363→1.04596	+21.28	take_profit
06-24 16:51	LINK	Sell	7.65689→7.31973	+21.45	take_profit
06-24 16:47	SOL	Sell	69.9295→66.862	+21.51	take_profit
06-24 14:00	DOGE	Sell	0.080116→0.0766272	+21.25	take_profit
06-24 13:22	ARB	Buy	0.0788697→0.0768923	-12.98	stop_loss
06-24 10:15	ADA	Sell	0.153092→0.146397	+21.22	take_profit
06-23 08:17	ETH	Sell	1728.73→1652.67	+21.48	take_profit
06-23 08:15	DOGE	Sell	0.0827863→0.0791798	+21.30	take_profit
06-23 06:21	ADA	Buy	0.15845→0.154444	-12.92	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	LINK	Buy	7.87797→7.67924	-13.10	stop_loss
06-23 06:14	SUI	Sell	0.729238→0.697144	+21.54	take_profit
06-23 00:34	XMR	Sell	318.93→326.995	-13.09	stop_loss
06-22 22:28	SOL	Buy	73.158→71.3176	-12.74	stop_loss
06-22 22:28	ETH	Buy	1762.78→1719.17	-12.81	stop_loss
06-22 16:01	XRP	Sell	1.14851→1.13858	+3.73	timeout
06-22 04:06	BTC	Buy	63999.2→63895.8	-1.32	timeout
06-22 01:26	UNI	Sell	3.00195→3.07751	-13.03	stop_loss
06-22 00:06	BNB	Sell	586.353→585.026	+0.54	timeout
06-21 20:48	NEAR	Sell	2.23424→2.13693	+21.32	take_profit
06-21 10:24	FIL	Sell	0.781844→0.802752	-13.82	stop_loss
06-21 10:17	LTC	Sell	44.085→45.1889	-13.11	stop_loss
06-21 01:14	ACE	Buy	0.0913228→0.0955761	+22.84	take_profit
06-20 22:34	AAVE	Buy	73.4204→76.6348	+21.44	take_profit
06-20 14:07	ARB	Buy	0.084101→0.0819885	-13.02	stop_loss
06-20 04:04	XRP	Sell	1.14141→1.13878	+0.61	timeout
06-20 04:04	SOL	Sell	68.6817→69.9475	-9.53	timeout
06-20 04:04	ETH	Sell	1687.23→1707.37	-6.36	timeout
06-20 04:04	BTC	Sell	62514.9→63408.2	-7.62	timeout
06-19 20:02	BNB	Sell	588.613→580.315	+6.27	timeout
06-18 15:51	LINK	Buy	8.0069→7.80654	-12.90	stop_loss
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1773.02→1695.17	+21.49	take_profit
06-18 15:40	DOT	Sell	0.99777→0.954038	+21.46	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73292→6.43901	+21.31	take_profit
06-18 05:02	SUI	Sell	0.775606→0.741835	+21.34	take_profit
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02624→0.981545	+21.33	take_profit
06-17 19:42	NEAR	Buy	2.29387→2.23652	-13.00	stop_loss
06-17 19:39	ICP	Buy	2.4124→2.35024	-13.33	stop_loss
06-17 16:27	BCH	Sell	212.097→217.423	-13.01	stop_loss
06-17 15:48	FIL	Sell	0.804269→0.824708	-13.16	stop_loss
06-17 10:58	XMR	Buy	349.107→340.385	-12.94	stop_loss
06-17 08:49	DOGE	Buy	0.087957→0.0857556	-13.04	stop_loss
06-17 08:07	BTC	Buy	66537.3→65442.7	-8.61	timeout
06-17 01:49	SUI	Sell	0.794281→0.81417	-12.81	stop_loss
06-17 01:41	UNI	Buy	3.31213→3.45963	+21.82	take_profit
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.786→223.417	-13.38	stop_loss
06-16 18:00	INJ	Sell	5.5985→5.739	-12.99	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	DOGE	Buy	0.0886922→0.0864541	-13.03	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82509→6.99684	-13.04	stop_loss
06-16 08:14	ONDO	Sell	0.370327→0.379665	-13.06	stop_loss
06-16 02:27	SOL	Buy	75.0173→73.1324	-13.01	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1840.98→1795.12	-12.93	stop_loss
06-15 19:19	DOT	Buy	1.04366→1.01704	-13.21	stop_loss
06-15 17:33	APT	Buy	0.713278→0.695378	-13.01	stop_loss
06-15 15:41	SOL	Buy	71.4457→74.5778	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1727.37→1803.32	+21.49	take_profit
06-15 12:42	DOGE	Buy	0.0864036→0.0901615	+21.17	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1849→1.23679	+21.42	take_profit
06-15 04:06	BTC	Buy	64026.2→65785.7	+13.24	timeout
06-14 23:51	SOL	Buy	68.1412→71.1193	+21.20	take_profit
06-14 23:26	SUI	Buy	0.7594→0.792452	+21.24	take_profit
06-14 21:50	ARB	Buy	0.0823606→0.0859785	+21.50	take_profit
06-14 19:11	LTC	Buy	43.3248→44.053	+8.21	timeout
06-14 12:33	ADA	Buy	0.173193→0.168843	-12.77	stop_loss
06-14 08:06	LTC	Buy	42.9967→43.991	+11.52	timeout
06-13 15:32	XRP	Sell	1.13002→1.15837	-12.85	stop_loss
06-13 12:04	SUI	Sell	0.753382→0.769282	-10.78	timeout
06-13 08:01	TRX	Buy	0.312578→0.315221	+3.78	timeout
06-13 06:10	OP	Sell	0.100385→0.102977	-13.49	stop_loss
06-12 16:08	LTC	Sell	42.6793→42.9247	-3.41	timeout
06-12 16:08	BTC	Buy	62598.1→63733.8	+8.56	timeout
06-12 14:20	DOGE	Buy	0.0848222→0.0885219	+21.17	take_profit
06-11 20:21	LTC	Sell	42.4844→42.5476	-0.97	timeout
06-11 17:12	INJ	Buy	5.1974→5.0672	-13.06	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	SUI	Sell	0.731717→0.750362	-13.14	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	FIL	Sell	0.735346→0.754766	-13.65	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	LINK	Sell	7.57221→7.76242	-13.02	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.3125→64.8872	-12.85	stop_loss
06-10 20:50	APT	Sell	0.653337→0.624656	+21.26	take_profit
06-10 19:45	LINK	Sell	7.93732→7.63421	+18.01	timeout
06-10 16:47	ADA	Buy	0.164811→0.160609	-13.20	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

230

closed

38%

win rate

-82.92

total pnl ($)

-7.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	17	35%	-43.6	-36.36
BTC	16	44%	-3.4	-2.21
SUI	14	43%	+36.1	+25.53
LTC	14	14%	-108.0	-74.87
XRP	13	46%	-1.4	-0.57
ADA	12	25%	-60.2	-36.19
DOGE	12	58%	+118.8	+71.42
LINK	12	25%	-92.2	-56.09
ETH	11	55%	+64.2	+35.28
AVAX	9	44%	+37.0	+15.90
NEAR	8	62%	+170.8	+68.19
UNI	8	50%	+82.8	+33.10
INJ	7	29%	-63.0	-22.17
TRX	7	43%	-7.7	-2.68
APT	6	50%	+84.4	+24.90
BNB	6	67%	-54.3	-16.53
ARB	6	17%	-146.7	-43.66
FIL	6	17%	-213.4	-64.01
DOT	5	40%	+63.6	+15.90
OP	4	0%	-263.1	-52.69
ONDO	4	50%	+85.0	+17.01
ACE	3	33%	-42.8	-6.41
BCH	3	33%	-33.0	-4.95
ICP	3	67%	+196.2	+29.44
HYPE	3	33%	-28.8	-4.32
XMR	3	0%	-260.8	-39.12
ETC	2	0%	-278.9	-27.89
ATOM	2	50%	+71.9	+7.36
RENDER	2	50%	+83.5	+8.35
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
BLUR	2	50%	+78.9	+7.89
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
AAVE	2	50%	+84.9	+8.49
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
KAS	1	100%	+435.7	+21.78
SAGA	1	100%	+429.1	+21.45

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…