196
closed trades
38%
win rate
-88.41
total pnl ($)
0.576
weight
7d window — n=43 wr=33% pnl=-110.30
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 20:02:27 (22.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
ajs
n: 226
· wr: 47.3%
· total_bps: +3313.2
· mean_bps: +14.66
· sharpe: +0.07
· max_dd_bps: -3407.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.0925→63.6467 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | BNB | Buy | 568.142→553.764 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63521→1.58931 | -14.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | SOL | Buy | 70.4146→68.6683 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:12 | UNI | Sell | 2.85769→2.9297 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:01 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731963→0.0712915 | -13.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.597749→0.582463 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.348→67.9952 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7606→63.3075 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:17 | XMR | Sell | 313.482→299.765 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277861→0.0265556 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ICP | Sell | 2.23624→2.13873 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:47 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0753858→0.0734839 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60277→61761 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:02 | SOL | Sell | 67.0039→68.6846 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1594.34→1633.78 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | BNB | Sell | 573.457→548.427 | +20.86 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:16 | SOL | Sell | 69.1886→66.1619 | +21.20 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Sell | 1658.93→1586.16 | +21.10 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:33 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0790072→0.0755259 | +21.27 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:22 | ARB | Buy | 0.0788697→0.0768923 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:27 | LTC | Sell | 45.0057→42.9237 | +22.77 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ETC | Buy | 7.15619→6.97297 | -13.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | RENDER | Buy | 1.62321→1.58251 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:18 | BTC | Buy | 64644.2→63044.3 | -12.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:07 | AAVE | Buy | 75.3798→73.4769 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:27 | SOL | Buy | 74.0111→72.1731 | -12.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:27 | ETH | Buy | 1767.58→1723.57 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.708647→0.739645 | +21.40 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:06 | BTC | Buy | 63997.2→63904.8 | -1.20 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.6968→74.8388 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1711.53→1753.85 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | XLM | Buy | 0.215844→0.210402 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:04 | ADA | Sell | 0.162539→0.16181 | +1.71 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:06 | ETC | Sell | 7.63769→7.36094 | +17.67 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:17 | LTC | Sell | 44.113→45.2499 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:05 | ARB | Buy | 0.084191→0.0820784 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:16 | ACE | Buy | 0.0849212→0.0827379 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:06 | XRP | Sell | 1.14421→1.13968 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | ETH | Sell | 1687.53→1708.37 | -6.51 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | BTC | Sell | 62626.9→63421.2 | -6.80 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | SOL | Sell | 68.7767→69.9695 | -8.98 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:04 | LTC | Sell | 44.4449→44.02 | +4.26 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | SOL | Sell | 71.8092→68.6633 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:53 | LINK | Buy | 8.0042→7.80214 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1774.02→1696.07 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.73971→6.44561 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-18 05:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.776116→0.742256 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:01 | DOT | Sell | 1.02444→0.979545 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-17 20:03 | LINK | Sell | 8.28023→8.04731 | +13.78 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.794499→0.774529 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64798.8→66402.5 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:43 | UNI | Sell | 3.26418→3.34621 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:56 | XMR | Buy | 353.038→344.152 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:46 | DOT | Sell | 1.00005→1.02547 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0135666 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108147→0.105431 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:09 | LTC | Sell | 45.3607→45.5454 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82509→6.99684 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:24 | XLM | Sell | 0.214046→0.219465 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:18 | SOL | Buy | 75.1213→73.2524 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.25891→1.22728 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1840.78→1795.12 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:22 | LINK | Buy | 8.53923→8.32505 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:18 | UNI | Buy | 2.59825→2.71242 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1728.27→1804.42 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:08 | ETC | Buy | 7.28342→7.605 | +21.63 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1849→1.23679 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-15 03:44 | DOT | Sell | 0.978425→1.00305 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 00:06 | AAVE | Sell | 66.7793→68.3131 | -11.93 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 68.2222→71.2053 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:36 | ONDO | Buy | 0.345826→0.36087 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-14 14:30 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12883→2.07544 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.173203→0.168873 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 18:12 | XLM | Buy | 0.190458→0.185631 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 15:37 | XRP | Sell | 1.13012→1.15847 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 09:34 | FIL | Buy | 0.749817→0.782804 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-13 08:01 | TRX | Buy | 0.312288→0.315211 | +4.23 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:19 | RENDER | Sell | 1.66218→1.70438 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 06:10 | OP | Sell | 0.100285→0.102977 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 16:03 | BTC | Buy | 62604.1→63580.8 | +7.23 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.166532→0.173797 | +21.26 | take_profit |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0850012→0.0887178 | +21.24 | take_profit |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0864774→0.0886775 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 00:04 | LTC | Buy | 42.0455→42.4074 | +4.04 | timeout |
| 06-11 12:25 | OP | Buy | 0.0944036→0.0920409 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 11:30 | ETH | Sell | 1625.94→1666.2 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | LINK | Sell | 7.57221→7.77543 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | SOL | Sell | 63.2675→64.8391 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 00:56 | XMR | Buy | 325.031→339.175 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-10 21:50 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0790198→0.0770192 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.164501→0.16038 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | ARB | Buy | 0.0808802→0.0788109 | -13.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:49 | BTC | Sell | 60963→62465.3 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:40 | INJ | Buy | 5.05376→5.27458 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-10 13:30 | APT | Sell | 0.636641→0.65309 | -13.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 11:54 | KAS | Buy | 0.031838→0.0309718 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 18:18 | DOT | Sell | 0.937975→0.961591 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 16:38 | XRP | Sell | 1.17181→1.12078 | +21.30 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
196
closed
38%
win rate
-88.41
total pnl ($)
-9.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 18 | 44% | +2.8 | +3.55 |
| ETH | 14 | 57% | +98.7 | +69.06 |
| XRP | 10 | 40% | -24.4 | -11.99 |
| BTC | 10 | 20% | -111.5 | -55.58 |
| LINK | 8 | 25% | -98.7 | -39.33 |
| LTC | 7 | 43% | -32.4 | -11.10 |
| ADA | 7 | 43% | +0.9 | -0.16 |
| SUI | 7 | 57% | +133.2 | +46.44 |
| KAS | 6 | 50% | +77.2 | +23.17 |
| UNI | 6 | 33% | -3.3 | -1.00 |
| ARB | 6 | 17% | -146.5 | -43.60 |
| DOGE | 6 | 50% | +83.7 | +24.98 |
| DOT | 6 | 17% | -105.1 | -31.52 |
| INJ | 5 | 40% | +16.1 | +3.80 |
| BNB | 5 | 60% | +187.7 | +46.39 |
| HYPE | 5 | 20% | -122.1 | -30.52 |
| OP | 5 | 0% | -265.0 | -66.29 |
| ETC | 5 | 60% | +71.4 | +17.84 |
| APT | 4 | 25% | -90.9 | -17.94 |
| ATOM | 4 | 25% | -66.3 | -13.24 |
| ACE | 4 | 50% | +88.7 | +17.75 |
| RENDER | 4 | 25% | -88.9 | -17.78 |
| XMR | 4 | 50% | +83.1 | +16.62 |
| XLM | 4 | 0% | -264.4 | -52.88 |
| NEAR | 3 | 67% | +199.6 | +29.78 |
| TRX | 3 | 67% | +44.8 | +6.72 |
| ICP | 3 | 33% | -32.7 | -4.90 |
| BCH | 3 | 33% | -29.5 | -4.42 |
| FIL | 3 | 67% | +74.6 | +11.19 |
| AAVE | 3 | 0% | -253.1 | -37.96 |
| AVAX | 3 | 33% | -32.9 | -5.01 |
| HBAR | 3 | 0% | -264.2 | -39.64 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| BLUR | 2 | 100% | +325.1 | +32.51 |
| SAGA | 2 | 50% | +82.4 | +8.24 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ONDO | 2 | 100% | +425.9 | +42.59 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 16)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 16:21 | DOT | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 16:21 | LINK | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 12:23 | HYPE | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-26 08:23 | BNB | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 04:18 | ATOM | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 20:07 | APT | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 16:20 | HYPE | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:20 | HBAR | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:20 | UNI | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:20 | TRX | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:20 | SOL | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-25 12:14 | KAS | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 20:18 | HBAR | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 20:11 | ETH | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 16:17 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-24 16:12 | BTC | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||