188
closed trades
35%
win rate
-240.54
total pnl ($)
0.747
weight
7d window — n=42 wr=33% pnl=-79.11
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 17:20:40 (23.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_top_trader_72h_variations
n: 201
· wr: 35.3%
· total_bps: +392.4
· mean_bps: +1.95
· sharpe: +0.01
· max_dd_bps: -3117.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1515→63.7078 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | BNB | Buy | 568.112→553.764 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82046→1.77287 | -13.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63851→1.5967 | -13.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | SOL | Buy | 70.4756→68.7283 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:12 | UNI | Sell | 2.85769→2.9297 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:01 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731723→0.0712915 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.31278→4.20444 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596649→0.581464 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.337→67.9842 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.6706→63.2144 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277851→0.0265566 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:51 | ICP | Sell | 2.22954→2.13203 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:47 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0754018→0.0734839 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60282→61766 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | SUI | Sell | 0.674471→0.691518 | -13.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:02 | SOL | Sell | 67.2009→68.8747 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1594.24→1633.78 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.143896→0.140245 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:16 | SOL | Sell | 69.1876→66.1499 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:47 | BTC | Sell | 62793.9→60034 | +21.26 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:38 | BNB | Sell | 590.872→565.151 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0797371→0.0762661 | +21.19 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:22 | ARB | Buy | 0.0789097→0.0768923 | -13.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:27 | LTC | Sell | 45.0277→43.0558 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Sell | 1722.93→1647.16 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.85846→7.65216 | -13.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | FIL | Sell | 0.8001→0.762851 | +22.83 | take_profit |
| 06-23 00:34 | XMR | Sell | 318.64→326.705 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | ETH | Buy | 1763.78→1720.17 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:07 | UNI | Buy | 3.00795→3.02464 | +2.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.709697→0.740655 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:09 | BTC | Buy | 63998.2→63919.8 | -1.13 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:08 | SUI | Sell | 0.708793→0.701815 | +4.70 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.7648→74.9298 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-21 20:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.162559→0.16181 | +1.90 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:05 | HBAR | Sell | 0.080146→0.0803391 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:25 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0132167→0.0135502 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:32 | ACE | Buy | 0.0847212→0.0819385 | -16.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:07 | DOT | Buy | 0.968352→0.96138 | -4.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:06 | BNB | Sell | 579.365→586.767 | -6.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | BTC | Sell | 62625.9→63412.2 | -6.75 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:03 | LTC | Sell | 44.4469→44.02 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:02 | BNB | Sell | 588.613→580.315 | +6.27 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | SOL | Sell | 71.9042→68.7603 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1773.62→1695.87 | +21.23 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.73422→6.43531 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:11 | BNB | Buy | 605.571→590.357 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02664→0.981545 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:29 | SUI | Buy | 0.796869→0.776557 | -13.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64830.8→66427.5 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:11 | UNI | Sell | 3.23049→3.31248 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:57 | XMR | Buy | 352.188→343.342 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:46 | DOT | Sell | 1.00115→1.02637 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:48 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129732→0.0135466 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108147→0.105431 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0887052→0.0864891 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:04 | LTC | Sell | 45.3497→45.5144 | -2.36 | timeout |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82079→6.99204 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:13 | XLM | Sell | 0.212977→0.218364 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 75.0123→73.1364 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.25971→1.22808 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.48→1795.12 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1727.57→1803.42 | +21.47 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:43 | UNI | Buy | 2.59115→2.70402 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.1831→1.23469 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:22 | LTC | Sell | 44.3999→45.5111 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 00:06 | AAVE | Sell | 66.7793→68.3131 | -11.93 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 68.2682→71.2523 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:39 | ONDO | Buy | 0.345986→0.36111 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-14 14:31 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12653→2.07234 | -13.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.173263→0.168933 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 03:43 | XLM | Buy | 0.190007→0.185201 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 12:57 | XRP | Sell | 1.12762→1.15587 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 12:11 | ATOM | Sell | 2.011→1.9868 | +5.79 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:01 | TRX | Buy | 0.312338→0.315211 | +4.15 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:19 | RENDER | Sell | 1.66218→1.70478 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 06:10 | OP | Sell | 0.100285→0.102977 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 16:07 | BTC | Buy | 62568.1→63748.8 | +8.92 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:06 | LTC | Sell | 42.6883→42.9017 | -3.12 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0848232→0.0885219 | +21.15 | take_profit |
| 06-12 00:06 | LTC | Buy | 42.1115→42.4334 | +3.48 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:19 | NEAR | Buy | 2.0123→1.96193 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | SUI | Sell | 0.734216→0.752804 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | FIL | Sell | 0.737226→0.758739 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | LINK | Sell | 7.57031→7.78684 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:42 | SOL | Sell | 63.4925→65.0713 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:50 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0790198→0.0770192 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.164341→0.16023 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | ARB | Buy | 0.0808202→0.0787809 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:07 | ETC | Sell | 6.95516→7.03076 | -5.88 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:49 | BTC | Sell | 60967→62468.3 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:30 | APT | Sell | 0.636741→0.65309 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 11:54 | KAS | Buy | 0.031838→0.0309718 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 18:18 | DOT | Sell | 0.936846→0.961591 | -13.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 16:39 | XRP | Sell | 1.17091→1.11958 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-09 14:04 | KAS | Sell | 0.0325899→0.0310888 | +22.58 | take_profit |
| 06-09 13:23 | BTC | Buy | 63832.2→62262.7 | -12.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 12:05 | FIL | Buy | 0.770122→0.772217 | +0.91 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
188
closed
35%
win rate
-240.54
total pnl ($)
-25.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 14 | 43% | +27.4 | +19.64 |
| SUI | 11 | 36% | -41.4 | -22.76 |
| BTC | 10 | 30% | -39.1 | -19.74 |
| BNB | 9 | 44% | +40.5 | +18.06 |
| XRP | 9 | 44% | +31.3 | +14.36 |
| LTC | 8 | 38% | -37.5 | -15.22 |
| ETH | 8 | 62% | +172.2 | +68.53 |
| UNI | 7 | 43% | +4.1 | +1.45 |
| ADA | 6 | 33% | -70.3 | -21.28 |
| DOGE | 6 | 50% | +83.9 | +25.17 |
| DOT | 6 | 17% | -76.3 | -22.89 |
| RENDER | 5 | 40% | +16.4 | +4.09 |
| HYPE | 5 | 20% | -122.4 | -30.60 |
| ARB | 5 | 20% | -123.9 | -30.73 |
| LINK | 5 | 0% | -269.3 | -67.45 |
| KAS | 5 | 60% | +152.2 | +38.05 |
| XMR | 4 | 50% | +85.8 | +17.17 |
| BCH | 4 | 25% | -88.7 | -17.73 |
| ATOM | 4 | 50% | +0.3 | +0.26 |
| ACE | 4 | 50% | +78.9 | +15.77 |
| APT | 4 | 25% | -175.8 | -35.32 |
| OP | 4 | 25% | -91.8 | -18.45 |
| FIL | 4 | 50% | -28.6 | -5.71 |
| AVAX | 4 | 25% | -86.8 | -17.43 |
| NEAR | 4 | 0% | -263.5 | -53.00 |
| HBAR | 4 | 0% | -206.2 | -41.23 |
| INJ | 3 | 0% | -267.2 | -39.99 |
| AAVE | 3 | 0% | -252.3 | -37.85 |
| ICP | 3 | 33% | -31.4 | -4.71 |
| SAGA | 3 | 33% | -29.9 | -4.49 |
| ONDO | 3 | 100% | +428.7 | +64.30 |
| XLM | 3 | 0% | -264.0 | -39.61 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ETC | 2 | 0% | -195.1 | -19.51 |
| TRX | 2 | 100% | +201.2 | +20.12 |
| BLUR | 1 | 100% | +447.1 | +22.36 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 18)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 20:19 | XLM | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 20:19 | BLUR | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-26 16:22 | DOT | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 16:22 | LINK | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 08:23 | BNB | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 04:13 | ATOM | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 04:13 | NEAR | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 00:13 | INJ | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 16:21 | HYPE | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:21 | HBAR | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:21 | UNI | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:21 | TRX | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-25 16:21 | SOL | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-24 20:23 | HBAR | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 20:23 | SOL | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-24 16:23 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 16:23 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 16:16 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||