221
closed trades
40%
win rate
+32.75
total pnl ($)
0.926
weight
7d window — n=43 wr=33% pnl=-49.46
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 20:02:01 (24.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
zb
n: 226
· wr: 47.3%
· total_bps: +3313.2
· mean_bps: +14.66
· sharpe: +0.07
· max_dd_bps: -3407.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:16 | SUI | Sell | 0.709763→0.67857 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-27 17:04 | DOT | Buy | 0.858054→0.836103 | -13.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 12:16 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0147763→0.0151554 | -13.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322851→0.32039 | -4.26 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:13 | XLM | Buy | 0.179385→0.174869 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1105→63.6767 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82196→1.77627 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:29 | SOL | Buy | 70.2705→68.5254 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63601→1.595 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:07 | UNI | Sell | 2.85529→2.92799 | -13.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:02 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731073→0.0711996 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596549→0.581364 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:26 | SOL | Sell | 66.2511→67.9061 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7576→63.3075 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:17 | XMR | Sell | 315.031→301.175 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277861→0.0265566 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ICP | Sell | 2.23624→2.13873 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:42 | APT | Buy | 0.629857→0.614039 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:58 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0752208→0.073292 | -13.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:02 | SOL | Sell | 67.0079→68.6846 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1595.04→1634.48 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.31832→4.13033 | +21.29 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Sell | 1658.93→1585.86 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | LINK | Sell | 7.65878→7.32443 | +21.17 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:46 | BTC | Sell | 62858.9→60096 | +21.29 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Sell | 0.079861→0.0763821 | +21.12 | take_profit |
| 06-24 03:14 | HYPE | Sell | 63.6101→60.7222 | +22.25 | take_profit |
| 06-23 10:59 | SUI | Sell | 0.685669→0.702887 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | OP | Buy | 0.100365→0.0978066 | -13.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.15851→0.154544 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.87017→7.67284 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:17 | AAVE | Buy | 74.5786→72.6954 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | BTC | Buy | 64700.2→63077.3 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.709397→0.740475 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:08 | BTC | Buy | 63993.2→63907.8 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1712.33→1754.75 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:37 | APT | Sell | 0.651837→0.668201 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | INJ | Buy | 4.99355→4.86635 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | XLM | Buy | 0.215584→0.210052 | -13.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23414→2.13503 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-21 12:05 | ETC | Sell | 7.63359→7.36094 | +17.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | RENDER | Sell | 1.74876→1.66922 | +22.29 | take_profit |
| 06-21 08:01 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0802049→0.0803881 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:05 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0132467→0.0135902 | -13.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:32 | ACE | Buy | 0.0846212→0.0819385 | -16.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:05 | BNB | Sell | 580.745→587.727 | -6.24 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:04 | LTC | Sell | 44.4359→43.973 | +4.67 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:04 | BNB | Sell | 588.703→579.925 | +6.68 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:33 | DOT | Buy | 0.970192→0.94593 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 12:12 | BTC | Sell | 64587.8→62618.1 | +14.66 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | SOL | Sell | 71.8042→68.6643 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1774.52→1696.67 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:01 | DOT | Sell | 1.02284→0.978325 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-18 03:25 | KAS | Buy | 0.031918→0.0310997 | -13.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 20:06 | LINK | Sell | 8.28513→8.04871 | +13.92 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.794859→0.774529 | -13.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64830.8→66427.5 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:43 | UNI | Sell | 3.26378→3.34621 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:57 | XMR | Buy | 352.188→343.342 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:46 | DOT | Sell | 0.99975→1.02547 | -13.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0135666 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-16 16:04 | TRX | Sell | 0.32088→0.317209 | +5.27 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0886642→0.0864491 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82129→6.99204 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 05:49 | XLM | Sell | 0.211757→0.217163 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 74.9902→73.1244 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.26092→1.22938 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1840.98→1795.12 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1727.47→1803.22 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:08 | ETC | Buy | 7.28082→7.5997 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1845→1.23629 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:53 | LTC | Sell | 44.4179→45.5341 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 00:06 | AAVE | Sell | 66.7793→68.3131 | -11.93 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 68.2232→71.2053 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | ONDO | Buy | 0.346357→0.36143 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-14 14:30 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12823→2.07484 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.173263→0.168933 | -12.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 03:43 | XLM | Buy | 0.190108→0.185341 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 14:15 | XRP | Sell | 1.12862→1.15687 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 09:33 | FIL | Buy | 0.749457→0.782084 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-13 08:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.312238→0.315221 | +4.33 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:18 | RENDER | Sell | 1.66178→1.70338 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 06:10 | OP | Sell | 0.100285→0.102977 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 16:03 | BTC | Buy | 62603.1→63596.8 | +7.37 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.166362→0.173657 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0864114→0.0885784 | -12.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 09:21 | OP | Buy | 0.0943936→0.0987353 | +22.44 | take_profit |
| 06-12 00:04 | LTC | Buy | 42.0455→42.4074 | +3.98 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0802→0.0837291 | +21.47 | take_profit |
| 06-11 11:30 | ETH | Sell | 1626.04→1666.3 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | SUI | Sell | 0.732637→0.752384 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | LINK | Sell | 7.57271→7.76692 | -13.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | SOL | Sell | 63.3745→64.9512 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:50 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0790198→0.0770192 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.164681→0.16054 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | ARB | Buy | 0.0808902→0.0788109 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:06 | ETC | Sell | 6.95906→7.02916 | -5.49 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:46 | BTC | Sell | 60998.9→62502.4 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:30 | APT | Sell | 0.636641→0.65309 | -13.39 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
221
closed
40%
win rate
+32.75
total pnl ($)
+2.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
12
closed
0%
win rate
-67.44
total pnl ($)
-213.6 bps
avg bps net
Live WR is 0% of paper WR (0% vs 40%)
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 13 | 38% | -50.0 | -31.69 |
| ETH | 12 | 58% | +118.2 | +70.80 |
| SUI | 11 | 55% | +112.7 | +61.82 |
| LINK | 11 | 36% | -15.8 | -8.71 |
| BTC | 10 | 40% | +0.2 | -0.26 |
| NEAR | 9 | 44% | +48.0 | +21.37 |
| ADA | 9 | 44% | +20.1 | +10.64 |
| APT | 9 | 44% | +47.8 | +21.61 |
| XRP | 9 | 44% | +45.9 | +21.02 |
| DOT | 8 | 12% | -145.3 | -58.13 |
| LTC | 7 | 29% | -103.6 | -36.21 |
| BNB | 7 | 57% | +76.4 | +26.86 |
| INJ | 6 | 33% | -31.3 | -9.66 |
| DOGE | 6 | 33% | -99.7 | -29.81 |
| ONDO | 6 | 50% | +80.7 | +24.22 |
| KAS | 6 | 50% | +84.5 | +25.36 |
| TRX | 5 | 60% | +31.3 | +7.82 |
| RENDER | 5 | 60% | +156.0 | +39.01 |
| ACE | 5 | 40% | +1.2 | +0.31 |
| UNI | 5 | 40% | -67.2 | -16.79 |
| ARB | 5 | 60% | +152.4 | +38.33 |
| OP | 5 | 20% | -123.5 | -31.26 |
| XLM | 5 | 0% | -265.2 | -66.30 |
| AVAX | 4 | 25% | -89.9 | -18.23 |
| BLUR | 4 | 50% | +88.5 | +17.69 |
| SAGA | 4 | 50% | -25.2 | -5.04 |
| ETC | 4 | 50% | +101.6 | +20.31 |
| HYPE | 4 | 25% | -84.6 | -16.92 |
| HBAR | 4 | 0% | -207.3 | -41.47 |
| ATOM | 3 | 33% | -36.0 | -5.27 |
| BCH | 3 | 33% | -30.2 | -4.54 |
| ICP | 3 | 33% | -39.0 | -5.86 |
| FIL | 3 | 100% | +302.5 | +45.37 |
| AAVE | 3 | 0% | -253.2 | -37.98 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| XMR | 2 | 50% | +85.3 | +8.53 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||