top_trader_ls_contrarian_n30 · strategy

199

closed trades

38%

win rate

-103.01

total pnl ($)

0.903

weight

7d window — n=44 wr=34% pnl=-53.14 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 21:45:00 (38.1d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: aqj

n: 64 · wr: 34.4% · total_bps: -1814.0 · mean_bps: -28.34 · sharpe: -0.15 · max_dd_bps: -3588.1

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 22:16	SUI	Sell	0.709243→0.67836	+21.14	take_profit
06-27 17:04	DOT	Buy	0.858054→0.836103	-13.24	stop_loss
06-27 04:04	TRX	Buy	0.322761→0.32038	-4.14	timeout
06-27 01:03	XLM	Buy	0.179595→0.175089	-13.00	stop_loss
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.1515→63.7088	-12.98	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	BNB	Buy	568.112→553.764	-13.11	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	NEAR	Buy	1.82046→1.77367	-13.34	stop_loss
06-26 10:40	ATOM	Buy	1.63841→1.5967	-13.22	stop_loss
06-26 09:52	SOL	Buy	70.5456→68.7923	-12.89	stop_loss
06-26 07:12	UNI	Sell	2.85769→2.9297	-13.05	stop_loss
06-26 03:01	HBAR	Buy	0.0731723→0.0712915	-13.30	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	INJ	Buy	4.31278→4.20444	-12.98	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.596649→0.581364	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.337→67.9842	-12.86	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.6706→63.2144	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 13:59	KAS	Sell	0.0277851→0.0265566	+21.66	take_profit
06-25 13:51	ICP	Sell	2.22954→2.13203	+21.42	take_profit
06-25 13:42	APT	Buy	0.630158→0.614239	-13.08	stop_loss
06-25 10:47	HBAR	Buy	0.0754018→0.0734839	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60271→61762	-12.83	stop_loss
06-25 05:02	SOL	Sell	67.2009→68.8757	-12.95	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1594.24→1633.78	-12.84	stop_loss
06-24 22:01	SUI	Sell	0.673881→0.690758	-13.02	stop_loss
06-24 16:57	ETH	Sell	1658.13→1585.46	+21.30	take_profit
06-24 16:51	LINK	Sell	7.63999→7.30293	+21.61	take_profit
06-24 16:47	BTC	Sell	62800.9→60042	+21.25	take_profit
06-24 15:33	BNB	Sell	591.212→565.371	+21.34	take_profit
06-24 15:31	DOGE	Sell	0.079785→0.0762891	+21.33	take_profit
06-23 08:17	ETH	Sell	1723.53→1646.86	+21.72	take_profit
06-23 06:21	ADA	Buy	0.15829→0.154284	-12.96	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	FIL	Sell	0.8001→0.762851	+22.83	take_profit
06-23 06:21	LINK	Buy	7.87027→7.67324	-13.04	stop_loss
06-23 00:51	XMR	Sell	319.39→327.435	-13.04	stop_loss
06-22 22:28	ETH	Buy	1763.78→1720.17	-12.80	stop_loss
06-22 20:06	UNI	Buy	3.00775→3.02804	+2.92	timeout
06-22 12:00	SUI	Buy	0.709697→0.740655	+21.34	take_profit
06-22 04:09	BTC	Buy	63998.2→63919.8	-1.13	timeout
06-22 01:26	SOL	Buy	71.6958→74.8288	+21.34	take_profit
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1709.43→1752.05	-12.91	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	XLM	Buy	0.216124→0.210682	-13.04	stop_loss
06-21 16:58	SAGA	Buy	0.0173143→0.0168773	-13.07	stop_loss
06-21 16:05	RENDER	Sell	1.74466→1.69412	+14.03	timeout
06-21 12:05	ETC	Sell	7.63359→7.36094	+17.41	timeout
06-21 08:05	HBAR	Sell	0.080146→0.0803391	-1.65	timeout
06-20 15:25	SAGA	Sell	0.0132167→0.0135502	-13.07	stop_loss
06-20 12:32	ACE	Buy	0.0847212→0.0819385	-16.87	stop_loss
06-20 08:05	BNB	Sell	580.045→587.147	-6.35	timeout
06-19 20:04	LTC	Sell	44.4359→43.973	+4.68	timeout
06-19 20:04	BNB	Sell	588.703→579.925	+6.67	timeout
06-19 12:37	DOT	Buy	0.969382→0.945021	-13.02	stop_loss
06-19 12:13	BTC	Sell	64604.8→62620.1	+14.77	timeout
06-18 15:56	SOL	Sell	71.7122→68.5753	+21.55	take_profit
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1773.42→1695.67	+21.39	take_profit
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02654→0.981485	+21.50	take_profit
06-18 03:25	KAS	Buy	0.031918→0.0310997	-13.27	stop_loss
06-17 20:06	LINK	Sell	8.28513→8.04871	+13.92	timeout
06-17 19:29	SUI	Buy	0.796499→0.776557	-13.05	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64830.8→66427.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-17 12:09	UNI	Sell	3.1965→3.27746	-13.11	stop_loss
06-17 10:03	XMR	Buy	351.928→343.133	-12.95	stop_loss
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	1.00115→1.02637	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	218.245→223.718	-12.99	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129932→0.0135666	+21.61	take_profit
06-16 14:23	DOGE	Buy	0.0887452→0.0864951	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 12:04	LTC	Sell	45.3307→45.5144	-2.57	timeout
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.81949→6.99084	-13.03	stop_loss
06-16 05:22	XLM	Sell	0.209977→0.215251	-13.01	stop_loss
06-16 02:18	SOL	Buy	75.1193→73.2524	-12.88	stop_loss
06-16 01:55	XRP	Buy	1.25961→1.22808	-13.01	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1840.68→1795.12	-12.84	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1728.07→1804.32	+21.57	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28082→7.5997	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1836→1.23529	+21.39	take_profit
06-15 03:44	DOT	Sell	0.978425→1.00305	-13.03	stop_loss
06-14 23:52	SOL	Buy	68.2722→71.2663	+21.55	take_profit
06-14 23:31	AAVE	Sell	66.7003→68.3883	-13.10	stop_loss
06-14 21:36	ONDO	Buy	0.345686→0.36089	+21.54	take_profit
06-14 21:25	ADA	Sell	0.167098→0.171368	-13.19	stop_loss
06-14 14:20	NEAR	Buy	2.12943→2.07604	-13.13	stop_loss
06-14 12:30	ADA	Buy	0.173373→0.169043	-12.73	stop_loss
06-13 18:12	XLM	Buy	0.190388→0.185631	-12.94	stop_loss
06-13 12:56	XRP	Sell	1.12622→1.15457	-12.90	stop_loss
06-13 12:11	ATOM	Sell	2.011→1.9868	+5.79	timeout
06-13 09:34	FIL	Buy	0.750668→0.783654	+21.52	take_profit
06-13 07:19	RENDER	Sell	1.66378→1.70548	-12.98	stop_loss
06-13 06:10	OP	Sell	0.100385→0.103037	-13.79	stop_loss
06-12 16:04	BTC	Buy	62622.1→63693.8	+7.98	timeout
06-12 16:03	LTC	Sell	42.7423→42.7787	-0.79	timeout
06-12 14:20	DOGE	Buy	0.0850012→0.0887258	+21.28	take_profit
06-12 09:20	OP	Buy	0.0943336→0.0984454	+21.30	take_profit
06-12 00:05	LTC	Buy	42.0645→42.4144	+3.74	timeout
06-11 11:30	ETH	Sell	1625.94→1666.3	-12.81	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	LINK	Sell	7.57221→7.78684	-14.64	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.3155→64.8872	-12.85	stop_loss
06-11 01:16	XMR	Buy	326.532→340.915	+21.57	take_profit
06-10 21:50	HBAR	Buy	0.0790198→0.0770192	-13.11	stop_loss
06-10 17:29	ADA	Buy	0.164561→0.16045	-12.95	stop_loss
06-10 16:46	ARB	Buy	0.0808302→0.0788109	-12.94	stop_loss
06-10 13:49	BTC	Sell	60965→62468.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-10 13:40	INJ	Buy	5.04686→5.26898	+21.57	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

199

closed

38%

win rate

-103.01

total pnl ($)

-10.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	14	50%	+25.4	+18.50
ETH	13	62%	+115.8	+75.29
BTC	10	40%	+2.0	+0.68
XRP	9	33%	-30.2	-13.10
LINK	8	38%	-24.5	-9.82
SUI	8	50%	+82.4	+32.59
DOT	8	12%	-145.1	-58.05
DOGE	7	57%	+93.2	+32.84
BNB	7	43%	+37.2	+12.89
ATOM	6	33%	-73.6	-21.87
APT	6	33%	-88.6	-26.54
LTC	6	33%	-69.6	-20.90
ADA	6	17%	-121.1	-36.41
UNI	6	33%	-65.8	-19.74
KAS	6	50%	+85.3	+25.60
FIL	5	60%	+84.8	+21.21
SAGA	5	40%	+13.8	+3.44
HYPE	5	20%	-121.6	-30.39
XMR	5	40%	+15.9	+3.97
XLM	5	0%	-261.6	-65.40
NEAR	4	50%	+82.6	+16.32
INJ	4	25%	-91.9	-18.66
RENDER	4	50%	+46.7	+9.34
ARB	4	25%	-88.5	-17.43
ETC	4	75%	+157.6	+31.52
HBAR	4	0%	-206.2	-41.23
AAVE	3	0%	-260.7	-39.10
ONDO	3	67%	+199.1	+29.86
TRX	3	33%	-4.3	-0.65
ICP	3	33%	-34.7	-5.20
BCH	3	33%	-30.8	-4.63
OP	3	67%	+196.5	+29.30
ACE	3	33%	-58.9	-8.84
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
AVAX	2	0%	-263.9	-26.41
BLUR	1	100%	+444.5	+22.23

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 00:11	AVAX	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…