100
closed trades
39%
win rate
-83.96
total pnl ($)
1.423
weight
7d window — n=24 wr=42% pnl=+26.96
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 17:20:40 (24.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_top_trader_72h_variations
n: 86
· wr: 43.0%
· total_bps: +644.4
· mean_bps: +7.49
· sharpe: +0.04
· max_dd_bps: -2310.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:06 | BNB | Buy | 559.42→556.951 | -2.65 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:16 | SUI | Sell | 0.709143→0.67818 | +21.20 | take_profit |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596649→0.581364 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.07177→1.04492 | -12.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | APT | Buy | 0.630158→0.614239 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:52 | ETH | Sell | 1591.14→1630.58 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | BNB | Sell | 573.317→548.357 | +20.79 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:16 | SOL | Sell | 69.1596→66.1299 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Sell | 1678.43→1604.46 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | AVAX | Sell | 6.44249→6.16154 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:47 | BTC | Sell | 62785.9→60029 | +21.24 | take_profit |
| 06-23 10:59 | SUI | Sell | 0.685848→0.703017 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:27 | LTC | Sell | 44.9628→42.9777 | +21.63 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.15848→0.154414 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.87017→7.67144 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | BNB | Buy | 595.189→580.295 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | BTC | Buy | 64692.2→63077.3 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:25 | BCH | Sell | 198.47→203.533 | -13.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.709757→0.740705 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:03 | SUI | Sell | 0.708803→0.698795 | +6.83 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1713.13→1755.75 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:37 | APT | Sell | 0.651937→0.668401 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:39 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19155→2.09582 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-21 10:16 | LTC | Sell | 44.069→45.1729 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.12718→1.14911 | +9.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | SOL | Sell | 68.7767→69.9935 | -9.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | BCH | Sell | 196.741→197.469 | -2.30 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:04 | LTC | Sell | 44.4449→44.02 | +4.25 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:31 | APT | Buy | 0.64076→0.624032 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36519→6.20504 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 17:28 | NEAR | Buy | 2.21245→2.15568 | -13.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | LINK | Buy | 7.9998→7.79825 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1773.12→1695.07 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:44 | SOL | Sell | 72.0832→68.9103 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.794499→0.774419 | -13.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:05 | APT | Buy | 0.687372→0.670097 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64840.8→66438.5 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0887142→0.0864951 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 09:26 | NEAR | Sell | 2.45339→2.51559 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:11 | SOL | Buy | 75.3183→73.4372 | -12.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.26192→1.23038 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:25 | ETH | Buy | 1840.48→1794.92 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:22 | LINK | Buy | 8.53833→8.32505 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 18:52 | APT | Buy | 0.712178→0.69358 | -13.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1728.67→1804.42 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1839→1.23539 | +21.27 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:30 | LTC | Sell | 44.4069→45.5201 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:25 | ADA | Sell | 0.167008→0.171208 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 18:22 | AVAX | Sell | 6.70302→6.4102 | +21.23 | take_profit |
| 06-14 16:09 | BNB | Sell | 599.95→607.992 | -7.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:08 | LTC | Buy | 43.2508→44.09 | +9.32 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:31 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12543→2.07234 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 12:56 | SUI | Sell | 0.756111→0.775461 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 06:33 | APT | Sell | 0.645639→0.661996 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 20:07 | BTC | Buy | 62759.1→63632.8 | +6.51 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:06 | BNB | Buy | 599.38→603.449 | +2.85 | timeout |
| 06-12 04:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.165521→0.172747 | +21.22 | take_profit |
| 06-12 00:06 | LTC | Buy | 42.1115→42.4344 | +3.61 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:15 | NEAR | Buy | 2.0168→1.96642 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | AVAX | Sell | 6.3962→6.55952 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | SOL | Sell | 63.2675→64.8391 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.164511→0.1604 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:46 | BTC | Sell | 61001.9→62504.4 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 16:09 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0854226→0.084048 | +7.44 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:28 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19925→2.10343 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-09 13:26 | BTC | Buy | 63789.2→62220.8 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:35 | APT | Sell | 0.644839→0.661096 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:02 | BNB | Sell | 594.601→609.547 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 15:10 | SUI | Sell | 0.752102→0.771038 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 14:57 | XRP | Sell | 1.14481→1.17348 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 08:21 | BCH | Sell | 220.765→210.973 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-08 06:19 | NEAR | Sell | 2.06848→2.12119 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:15 | LTC | Buy | 41.5164→43.3462 | +21.60 | take_profit |
| 06-07 22:14 | BNB | Sell | 588.223→603.122 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 20:09 | AVAX | Buy | 6.66637→6.55596 | -8.76 | timeout |
| 06-07 08:57 | ETH | Buy | 1571.06→1640.44 | +21.62 | take_profit |
| 06-05 14:06 | LTC | Buy | 43.992→42.8888 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:59 | SOL | Buy | 65.9299→64.2882 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:20 | NEAR | Buy | 2.14714→2.09343 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 04:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.15963→0.166748 | +21.84 | take_profit |
| 06-04 09:31 | BCH | Buy | 245.971→239.82 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 07:17 | AVAX | Buy | 8.04201→7.84082 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.092173→0.0898466 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 19:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.210313→0.205046 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:43 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0953292→0.0911128 | +21.64 | take_profit |
| 06-03 03:33 | ETH | Sell | 1921.01→1836.58 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-02 22:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.22791→1.1971 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 19:30 | BCH | Buy | 285.471→278.321 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | LINK | Sell | 8.99795→8.60595 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-02 09:02 | BTC | Sell | 72826.4→69626.5 | +21.68 | take_profit |
| 06-02 04:10 | ADA | Sell | 0.233652→0.226457 | +14.80 | timeout |
| 06-02 04:10 | SOL | Sell | 81.8777→80.5351 | +7.64 | timeout |
| 06-01 13:57 | LINK | Sell | 9.25629→8.85221 | +21.58 | take_profit |
| 06-01 12:28 | NEAR | Sell | 2.32092→2.37988 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 05-31 16:01 | LINK | Buy | 9.26272→9.09263 | -9.35 | timeout |
| 05-31 14:18 | SUI | Sell | 0.915291→0.875419 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 05-30 16:04 | SUI | Sell | 0.91944→0.909027 | +5.44 | timeout |
| 05-30 15:21 | BNB | Buy | 659.755→688.448 | +21.23 | take_profit |
| 05-30 04:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.30783→1.34876 | +14.98 | timeout |
| 05-28 17:45 | LTC | Sell | 50.7733→52.045 | -12.91 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
100
closed
39%
win rate
-83.96
total pnl ($)
-16.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTC | 9 | 56% | +18.3 | +8.37 |
| SUI | 9 | 56% | +52.3 | +23.97 |
| NEAR | 9 | 22% | -108.6 | -49.14 |
| BNB | 8 | 38% | -8.4 | -4.01 |
| ETH | 8 | 62% | +173.0 | +68.98 |
| APT | 8 | 0% | -264.0 | -105.43 |
| XRP | 7 | 43% | -17.5 | -6.36 |
| SOL | 7 | 43% | +7.9 | +2.81 |
| ADA | 7 | 43% | +17.0 | +5.75 |
| BTC | 7 | 43% | -4.8 | -1.75 |
| LINK | 6 | 33% | -19.9 | -5.58 |
| AVAX | 6 | 33% | -17.3 | -5.22 |
| BCH | 5 | 20% | -78.8 | -19.70 |
| DOGE | 4 | 50% | +16.2 | +3.35 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:11 | AVAX | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||