top_trader_ls_contrarian_looser_z · strategy

206

closed trades

35%

win rate

-235.58

total pnl ($)

0.671

weight

7d window — n=44 wr=32% pnl=-91.46 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 20:02:27 (23.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: ajs

n: 325 · wr: 42.5% · total_bps: -2641.3 · mean_bps: -8.13 · sharpe: -0.04 · max_dd_bps: -4595.2

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 16:06	BNB	Buy	562.601→564.829	+1.43	timeout
06-27 15:34	UNI	Sell	2.94046→3.01476	-13.08	stop_loss
06-27 04:04	TRX	Buy	0.322851→0.32039	-4.26	timeout
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.1495→63.7078	-12.99	stop_loss
06-26 12:40	NEAR	Buy	1.82126→1.77577	-12.97	stop_loss
06-26 10:51	APT	Buy	0.60045→0.585261	-13.10	stop_loss
06-26 10:40	ATOM	Buy	1.63901→1.5967	-13.40	stop_loss
06-26 08:02	TRX	Buy	0.325801→0.322309	-5.81	timeout
06-26 02:12	XRP	Buy	1.04506→1.01864	-13.09	stop_loss
06-26 02:08	DOT	Buy	0.844241→0.823022	-13.02	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.596649→0.581663	-12.92	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.3071→67.9952	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 22:02	OP	Sell	0.103224→0.105889	-13.32	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.7626→63.3085	-12.96	stop_loss
06-25 13:58	NEAR	Sell	1.90612→1.82266	+21.44	take_profit
06-25 13:53	UNI	Sell	2.92757→2.7974	+21.78	take_profit
06-25 13:46	DOGE	Buy	0.076173→0.0742543	-12.99	stop_loss
06-25 13:43	SUI	Buy	0.699775→0.682228	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 11:10	INJ	Buy	4.28017→4.16937	-13.39	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60281→61765	-12.77	stop_loss
06-25 05:09	SOL	Sell	67.3109→68.9848	-12.93	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1595.24→1634.68	-12.80	stop_loss
06-24 22:01	SUI	Sell	0.673822→0.690758	-13.07	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	INJ	Sell	4.30872→4.12103	+21.32	take_profit
06-24 16:51	LINK	Sell	7.63999→7.30293	+21.61	take_profit
06-24 16:51	SOL	Sell	69.8205→66.68	+22.07	take_profit
06-24 15:31	DOGE	Sell	0.0797381→0.0762661	+21.19	take_profit
06-24 13:57	BTC	Sell	64041.8→61230.1	+21.49	take_profit
06-24 10:15	ADA	Sell	0.152882→0.146207	+21.17	take_profit
06-23 08:17	ETH	Sell	1723.83→1646.86	+21.80	take_profit
06-23 06:21	ADA	Buy	0.15849→0.154444	-13.07	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	LINK	Buy	7.86537→7.66815	-13.06	stop_loss
06-23 06:18	AAVE	Buy	74.3686→72.5106	-12.94	stop_loss
06-23 00:51	XMR	Sell	319.55→327.736	-13.26	stop_loss
06-22 22:28	KAS	Buy	0.0300245→0.029272	-12.98	stop_loss
06-22 22:28	SOL	Buy	73.201→71.3736	-12.70	stop_loss
06-22 11:10	SUI	Buy	0.698084→0.728448	+21.25	take_profit
06-22 04:07	BTC	Buy	64005.2→63907.8	-1.29	timeout
06-22 01:26	SOL	Buy	71.6878→74.8288	+21.40	take_profit
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1710.03→1752.35	-12.82	stop_loss
06-22 00:06	BNB	Sell	586.353→585.026	+0.50	timeout
06-21 20:50	NEAR	Sell	2.23414→2.13503	+21.71	take_profit
06-21 10:17	LTC	Sell	44.085→45.1889	-13.11	stop_loss
06-21 08:09	ARB	Sell	0.0833592→0.0835509	-1.38	timeout
06-20 14:05	NEAR	Buy	2.16804→2.11182	-13.22	stop_loss
06-20 14:05	ARB	Buy	0.0843611→0.0822383	-13.03	stop_loss
06-20 08:06	BNB	Sell	579.365→586.767	-6.61	timeout
06-20 08:06	TRX	Sell	0.31996→0.322471	-4.37	timeout
06-20 04:22	ADA	Sell	0.16102→0.162521	-5.05	timeout
06-19 20:06	BNB	Sell	589.003→579.645	+7.16	timeout
06-19 12:47	DOT	Buy	0.968512→0.944311	-12.94	stop_loss
06-18 15:46	LINK	Buy	8.0198→7.81673	-13.00	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	FIL	Sell	0.79806→0.763071	+21.47	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.74201→6.44791	+21.00	take_profit
06-18 15:17	KAS	Buy	0.0311728→0.0303622	-13.45	stop_loss
06-18 05:01	SUI	Sell	0.776236→0.742426	+21.33	take_profit
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02654→0.981485	+21.50	take_profit
06-18 01:10	ARB	Sell	0.0849987→0.0871553	-13.10	stop_loss
06-17 19:39	ICP	Buy	2.4122→2.35024	-13.29	stop_loss
06-17 16:06	BNB	Sell	614.766→606.282	+6.68	timeout
06-17 15:50	NEAR	Buy	2.28197→2.3814	+21.32	take_profit
06-17 15:38	FIL	Sell	0.80118→0.821696	-13.25	stop_loss
06-17 08:38	DOGE	Buy	0.088166→0.0859595	-13.01	stop_loss
06-17 08:07	BTC	Buy	66541.3→65447.7	-8.68	timeout
06-17 01:49	SUI	Sell	0.793722→0.81361	-12.82	stop_loss
06-17 01:09	DOT	Sell	0.99883→1.02467	-13.38	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	DOGE	Buy	0.0887222→0.0864951	-12.98	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82129→6.99204	-12.96	stop_loss
06-16 02:27	SOL	Buy	75.0423→73.1784	-12.86	stop_loss
06-16 01:53	ETC	Buy	7.53468→7.34319	-13.16	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1840.78→1795.22	-12.84	stop_loss
06-15 18:31	APT	Buy	0.712678→0.694579	-13.16	stop_loss
06-15 15:41	SOL	Buy	71.4467→74.5778	+21.43	take_profit
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1727.17→1802.82	+21.41	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28342→7.605	+21.63	take_profit
06-15 12:42	DOGE	Buy	0.0863216→0.0900765	+21.17	take_profit
06-15 04:03	BTC	Buy	64097.2→65803.7	+12.81	timeout
06-15 00:09	ETH	Buy	1677.27→1727.13	+14.47	timeout
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.516	-13.16	stop_loss
06-14 21:41	ONDO	Buy	0.348777→0.364139	+21.57	take_profit
06-14 14:35	ACE	Buy	0.0855214→0.0832375	-13.80	stop_loss
06-14 12:36	ADA	Buy	0.173113→0.168773	-12.75	stop_loss
06-14 08:03	LTC	Buy	42.9907→43.997	+11.52	timeout
06-13 12:57	XRP	Sell	1.12732→1.15557	-12.85	stop_loss
06-13 08:28	OP	Sell	0.105694→0.108481	-13.63	stop_loss
06-13 08:05	XRP	Buy	1.14129→1.14041	-1.06	timeout
06-13 06:47	AAVE	Sell	64.17→65.8063	-13.20	stop_loss
06-13 05:59	BLUR	Sell	0.0181025→0.0185569	-13.00	stop_loss
06-12 22:25	SAGA	Sell	0.0126168→0.0129397	-13.24	stop_loss
06-12 20:10	BNB	Buy	600.08→602.979	+1.85	timeout
06-12 16:09	BTC	Buy	62573.1→63731.8	+8.68	timeout
06-12 15:02	ADA	Buy	0.166272→0.173527	+21.27	take_profit
06-12 11:12	BLUR	Buy	0.0177214→0.0184954	+21.39	take_profit
06-11 18:00	SAGA	Sell	0.0122569→0.0125994	-14.42	stop_loss
06-11 11:30	ETH	Sell	1625.54→1665.8	-12.78	stop_loss
06-11 10:55	BTC	Sell	61674.9→63197.7	-12.64	stop_loss
06-11 04:04	ETH	Sell	1633.44→1653.07	-6.24	timeout
06-11 03:55	LINK	Sell	7.56651→7.77793	-14.43	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.2425→64.8151	-12.85	stop_loss
06-10 21:50	HBAR	Buy	0.0790208→0.0770192	-13.11	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

206

closed

35%

win rate

-235.58

total pnl ($)

-23.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	14	43%	-2.0	-0.96
BTC	14	43%	+18.3	+13.11
LINK	12	33%	-25.0	-15.04
ADA	11	45%	+41.7	+22.81
ETH	11	45%	+24.9	+14.12
XRP	10	20%	-98.3	-48.77
SUI	10	40%	+14.5	+7.30
DOGE	9	44%	+55.6	+25.41
NEAR	7	71%	+232.1	+81.33
AVAX	7	43%	-1.0	-0.91
LTC	7	14%	-170.1	-59.35
BNB	7	71%	-4.8	-1.94
ARB	6	0%	-223.1	-66.43
TRX	6	33%	-40.1	-12.03
DOT	6	17%	-104.8	-31.45
UNI	5	20%	-91.3	-22.81
FIL	5	40%	-59.8	-14.94
APT	4	25%	-88.7	-17.74
ETC	4	25%	-97.5	-19.50
OP	4	0%	-266.4	-53.22
INJ	4	50%	+81.6	+16.33
ONDO	4	75%	+256.3	+51.27
BLUR	4	50%	+53.1	+10.62
HYPE	4	25%	-88.0	-17.61
ACE	3	0%	-287.0	-43.05
ATOM	3	33%	-39.5	-5.97
ICP	3	67%	+195.8	+29.38
KAS	3	33%	-33.0	-4.95
AAVE	3	0%	-261.0	-39.15
SAGA	3	33%	-31.3	-4.70
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
RENDER	2	50%	+85.6	+8.56
BCH	2	50%	+82.8	+8.28
XMR	2	0%	-262.3	-26.23
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
HBAR	1	0%	-262.3	-13.11

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 16:06	LTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…