top_trader_ls_contrarian_longer_horizon · strategy

163

closed trades

40%

win rate

+92.61

total pnl ($)

0.285

weight

7d window — n=33 wr=33% pnl=-108.68 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 20:02:27 (18.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: ajs

n: 231 · wr: 44.6% · total_bps: +3975.3 · mean_bps: +17.21 · sharpe: +0.09 · max_dd_bps: -2926.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 16:09	BTC	Buy	64020.2→64653.8	+4.52	timeout
06-22 08:06	ADA	Sell	0.162489→0.1611	+4.12	timeout
06-22 01:26	SOL	Buy	71.7408→74.8788	+21.39	take_profit
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1712.23→1754.85	-12.89	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	INJ	Buy	4.99925→4.87094	-13.25	stop_loss
06-21 20:06	HBAR	Sell	0.0802309→0.079928	+1.44	timeout
06-20 20:06	BNB	Sell	579.415→585.686	-5.56	timeout
06-20 15:18	BTC	Sell	62627.9→64170.3	-12.63	stop_loss
06-20 12:15	ACE	Buy	0.0852213→0.0829378	-13.85	stop_loss
06-20 08:04	LTC	Sell	44.4359→44.121	+3.04	timeout
06-20 05:10	ETH	Sell	1688.23→1730.24	-12.80	stop_loss
06-19 12:47	DOT	Buy	0.969222→0.944311	-13.30	stop_loss
06-18 15:53	LINK	Buy	7.9965→7.79475	-12.92	stop_loss
06-18 15:51	SOL	Sell	71.8882→68.7413	+21.56	take_profit
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1774.02→1696.17	+21.16	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.75201→6.45161	+21.73	take_profit
06-18 05:03	LINK	Sell	8.28513→7.92208	+21.34	take_profit
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02654→0.981345	+21.56	take_profit
06-17 19:38	SUI	Buy	0.794499→0.774529	-13.16	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64781.8→66407.5	-13.00	stop_loss
06-17 12:43	UNI	Sell	3.26418→3.34831	-13.34	stop_loss
06-17 10:03	XMR	Buy	351.778→342.883	-13.09	stop_loss
06-17 01:09	DOT	Sell	0.99883→1.02467	-13.38	stop_loss
06-17 00:09	LTC	Sell	45.3607→45.7934	-4.95	timeout
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	218.245→223.718	-12.99	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129932→0.0135666	+21.61	take_profit
06-16 14:31	OP	Buy	0.108497→0.105761	-13.02	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82129→6.99204	-12.96	stop_loss
06-16 08:16	XLM	Sell	0.213697→0.219124	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 02:27	SOL	Buy	75.0373→73.1754	-12.85	stop_loss
06-16 01:54	XRP	Buy	1.26011→1.22848	-13.02	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1841.48→1795.12	-13.06	stop_loss
06-15 21:31	LINK	Buy	8.54874→8.33505	-12.98	stop_loss
06-15 13:18	UNI	Buy	2.59825→2.71242	+21.52	take_profit
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1727.67→1803.52	+21.47	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28342→7.605	+21.63	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1849→1.23679	+21.42	take_profit
06-15 03:44	DOT	Sell	0.978425→1.00305	-13.03	stop_loss
06-15 00:07	AAVE	Sell	66.7793→68.4583	-13.02	stop_loss
06-14 23:52	SOL	Buy	68.2052→71.1893	+21.54	take_profit
06-14 21:36	ONDO	Buy	0.345826→0.36087	+21.30	take_profit
06-14 14:30	NEAR	Buy	2.12863→2.07534	-13.11	stop_loss
06-14 12:33	ADA	Buy	0.173193→0.168843	-12.77	stop_loss
06-13 18:12	XLM	Buy	0.190458→0.185631	-13.12	stop_loss
06-13 14:15	XRP	Sell	1.12862→1.15687	-12.83	stop_loss
06-13 09:33	FIL	Buy	0.749457→0.782084	+21.32	take_profit
06-13 07:18	RENDER	Sell	1.66178→1.70338	-12.96	stop_loss
06-13 06:10	OP	Sell	0.100285→0.102977	-14.00	stop_loss
06-13 04:09	BTC	Buy	62583.1→63461.8	+6.58	timeout
06-12 15:02	ADA	Buy	0.166302→0.173547	+21.24	take_profit
06-12 14:20	DOGE	Buy	0.0848222→0.0885219	+21.18	take_profit
06-12 12:05	LTC	Buy	42.0645→42.9583	+10.13	timeout
06-12 09:21	OP	Buy	0.0943936→0.0987353	+22.53	take_profit
06-11 11:30	ETH	Sell	1625.24→1665.5	-12.78	stop_loss
06-11 04:06	ETC	Sell	6.95906→7.10348	-10.83	timeout
06-11 03:55	LINK	Sell	7.57221→7.78684	-14.64	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.3125→64.8872	-12.87	stop_loss
06-10 21:50	HBAR	Buy	0.0790198→0.0770192	-13.11	stop_loss
06-10 16:47	ADA	Buy	0.164811→0.160609	-13.20	stop_loss
06-10 16:46	ARB	Buy	0.0810703→0.0789707	-13.40	stop_loss
06-10 13:49	BTC	Sell	60951→62451.3	-12.74	stop_loss
06-10 13:30	APT	Sell	0.636641→0.65309	-13.39	stop_loss
06-10 11:54	KAS	Buy	0.031838→0.0309718	-14.05	stop_loss
06-09 18:18	DOT	Sell	0.936846→0.961591	-13.66	stop_loss
06-09 16:38	XRP	Sell	1.17181→1.12048	+21.43	take_profit
06-09 15:36	FIL	Buy	0.768192→0.748798	-13.07	stop_loss
06-09 14:04	KAS	Sell	0.0325899→0.0310888	+22.58	take_profit
06-09 13:23	BTC	Buy	63819.2→62249.7	-12.72	stop_loss
06-09 04:35	APT	Sell	0.644239→0.660495	-13.07	stop_loss
06-09 00:36	ARB	Buy	0.0825506→0.0804696	-12.81	stop_loss
06-09 00:31	ONDO	Sell	0.373367→0.356899	+21.60	take_profit
06-08 15:19	DOGE	Sell	0.0852677→0.0874095	-12.95	stop_loss
06-08 14:55	XRP	Sell	1.14431→1.17338	-13.14	stop_loss
06-08 12:43	LINK	Sell	7.81385→8.01	-13.00	stop_loss
06-08 00:36	KAS	Sell	0.0305824→0.0313765	-13.43	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	LTC	Buy	41.5104→43.3172	+21.33	take_profit
06-07 22:14	SUI	Sell	0.751382→0.770247	-12.99	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	UNI	Sell	2.51777→2.58194	-13.19	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	AAVE	Buy	61.6584→64.3629	+21.48	take_profit
06-07 12:10	HYPE	Sell	58.8503→56.2711	+21.46	take_profit
06-07 08:57	ETH	Buy	1570.46→1639.24	+21.43	take_profit
06-07 08:47	BNB	Buy	571.043→595.881	+21.12	take_profit
06-07 08:46	SOL	Buy	62.6454→65.3842	+21.78	take_profit
06-07 08:44	BNB	Sell	580.085→594.696	-13.02	stop_loss
06-07 08:27	XRP	Buy	1.09067→1.13822	+21.75	take_profit
06-07 01:09	ACE	Sell	0.0864784→0.0890668	-15.42	stop_loss
06-06 16:11	TRX	Sell	0.330337→0.32157	+12.82	timeout
06-06 07:29	XLM	Sell	0.193072→0.198149	-13.60	stop_loss
06-06 04:31	LINK	Buy	7.1998→7.01913	-12.99	stop_loss
06-05 21:37	ONDO	Buy	0.329752→0.344104	+21.31	take_profit
06-05 19:16	XRP	Buy	1.09707→1.0696	-12.99	stop_loss
06-05 19:01	AVAX	Buy	6.87222→6.69907	-13.06	stop_loss
06-05 18:37	ATOM	Sell	1.70107→1.62691	+21.39	take_profit
06-05 16:12	ACE	Sell	0.0895776→0.0854214	+22.75	take_profit
06-05 14:06	LTC	Buy	43.997→42.8978	-12.93	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	SOL	Buy	66.0999→64.4611	-12.83	stop_loss
06-05 11:45	AAVE	Buy	68.028→66.3272	-12.95	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63510.2→61933.9	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	LINK	Buy	7.79185→7.5943	-13.12	stop_loss
06-05 04:25	ADA	Buy	0.15963→0.166628	+21.47	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

163

closed

40%

win rate

+92.61

total pnl ($)

+11.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ETH	11	64%	+147.4	+80.88
LINK	10	30%	-46.9	-23.57
XRP	9	44%	+27.0	+12.52
SOL	8	62%	+171.6	+69.14
BTC	8	38%	-78.8	-31.11
SUI	7	43%	+37.2	+12.90
ADA	7	57%	+82.4	+29.17
DOT	7	14%	-166.0	-58.09
LTC	6	50%	+10.7	+3.49
ACE	6	17%	-164.5	-49.34
BNB	5	40%	+42.8	+11.10
UNI	5	60%	+101.6	+25.41
ONDO	4	75%	+256.2	+51.24
BCH	4	25%	-86.8	-17.37
RENDER	4	50%	+84.3	+16.86
AAVE	4	25%	-87.4	-17.48
OP	4	50%	+84.8	+16.85
KAS	4	50%	+84.4	+16.88
NEAR	3	67%	+203.0	+30.29
INJ	3	0%	-266.3	-40.22
APT	3	33%	-33.0	-4.78
HBAR	3	33%	-179.3	-26.89
FIL	3	33%	-31.7	-4.76
DOGE	3	33%	-30.7	-4.45
ETC	3	33%	-17.1	-2.56
ARB	3	33%	-33.9	-4.86
AVAX	3	33%	-28.1	-4.29
XLM	3	0%	-265.8	-39.87
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
TRX	2	50%	-1.7	-0.17
BLUR	2	50%	+91.7	+9.17
ICP	2	50%	+82.8	+8.28
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ATOM	2	50%	+71.8	+7.25
SAGA	2	50%	+85.4	+8.54
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
XMR	2	0%	-261.3	-26.13
HYPE	2	100%	+427.8	+42.78

Recent bounces (last 20 of 7)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 12:35	ETH	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-22 12:32	ETH	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-22 04:18	OP	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:18	LINK	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:18	OP	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:18	LINK	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	ETH	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…