top_trader_ls_contrarian_high_z · strategy

150

closed trades

35%

win rate

-284.46

total pnl ($)

0.250

weight

7d window — n=36 wr=28% pnl=-200.25 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 17:20:39 (19.0d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_top_trader_72h_variations

n: 180 · wr: 37.8% · total_bps: -185.9 · mean_bps: -1.03 · sharpe: -0.01 · max_dd_bps: -3526.6

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 16:07	HBAR	Sell	0.0803779→0.0791218	+7.36	timeout
06-22 12:00	SUI	Buy	0.709237→0.740475	+21.55	take_profit
06-22 04:09	SUI	Sell	0.709173→0.702015	+4.82	timeout
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1712.03→1754.35	-12.80	stop_loss
06-22 00:37	APT	Sell	0.651937→0.668401	-13.07	stop_loss
06-21 20:03	RENDER	Sell	1.73837→1.68332	+15.38	timeout
06-21 10:17	LTC	Sell	44.113→45.2409	-13.41	stop_loss
06-21 07:10	SAGA	Sell	0.0136566→0.0140806	-15.97	stop_loss
06-21 00:08	XRP	Buy	1.12648→1.14941	+9.65	timeout
06-20 22:28	AAVE	Sell	74.1954→76.057	-12.99	stop_loss
06-20 12:16	ACE	Buy	0.0850213→0.0828378	-13.29	stop_loss
06-20 04:07	SOL	Sell	68.6927→70.0095	-9.91	timeout
06-20 04:06	BCH	Sell	196.941→197.519	-1.92	timeout
06-19 20:06	LTC	Sell	44.4759→43.965	+5.21	timeout
06-19 16:02	HYPE	Sell	67.942→69.6482	-13.01	stop_loss
06-19 04:08	TRX	Sell	0.32154→0.32109	+0.25	timeout
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1773.32→1695.57	+21.14	take_profit
06-18 15:44	SOL	Sell	72.0412→68.8893	+21.52	take_profit
06-18 15:44	LINK	Buy	8.02251→7.82203	-12.88	stop_loss
06-18 04:12	ACE	Buy	0.083821→0.0816387	-13.47	stop_loss
06-18 01:08	FIL	Sell	0.786583→0.806314	-12.99	stop_loss
06-17 19:29	SUI	Buy	0.796199→0.776227	-13.14	stop_loss
06-17 18:05	APT	Buy	0.687072→0.669498	-13.25	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64831.8→66431.5	-12.79	stop_loss
06-17 12:11	UNI	Sell	3.23029→3.31278	-13.22	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129832→0.0135666	+22.02	take_profit
06-16 14:33	HYPE	Buy	75.1648→73.2151	-13.42	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	DOGE	Buy	0.0887452→0.0865071	-13.03	stop_loss
06-16 09:27	NEAR	Sell	2.45609→2.51779	-13.03	stop_loss
06-16 08:25	INJ	Sell	5.76226→5.91123	-13.38	stop_loss
06-16 08:16	XLM	Sell	0.213697→0.219124	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 02:10	SOL	Buy	75.3383→73.4692	-12.85	stop_loss
06-16 01:54	XRP	Buy	1.26011→1.22848	-13.02	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1841.48→1795.22	-13.03	stop_loss
06-15 22:22	LINK	Buy	8.53993→8.32495	-13.08	stop_loss
06-15 17:33	APT	Buy	0.713678→0.695678	-13.07	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1728.57→1804.52	+21.48	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28082→7.5997	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 12:44	UNI	Buy	2.59185→2.70472	+21.33	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1837→1.23559	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 05:22	LTC	Sell	44.3999→45.5111	-13.02	stop_loss
06-14 23:31	AAVE	Sell	66.7173→68.3883	-12.97	stop_loss
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.259→208.516	-13.38	stop_loss
06-14 21:25	ADA	Sell	0.167098→0.171358	-13.18	stop_loss
06-14 16:07	LTC	Buy	43.2828→44.064	+8.64	timeout
06-14 14:30	NEAR	Buy	2.12763→2.07444	-13.09	stop_loss
06-14 04:30	BLUR	Buy	0.0185106→0.0180465	-12.99	stop_loss
06-14 03:43	XLM	Buy	0.190108→0.185341	-12.99	stop_loss
06-13 12:56	SUI	Sell	0.755551→0.774491	-12.78	stop_loss
06-13 08:01	TRX	Buy	0.312338→0.315211	+4.15	timeout
06-13 06:34	APT	Sell	0.646638→0.662897	-12.98	stop_loss
06-13 06:26	OP	Sell	0.100625→0.103207	-13.41	stop_loss
06-12 16:05	FIL	Buy	0.756559→0.746203	-7.29	timeout
06-12 16:04	DOT	Buy	0.943686→0.949772	+2.77	timeout
06-12 15:02	ADA	Buy	0.166262→0.173547	+21.24	take_profit
06-12 00:06	LTC	Buy	42.1115→42.4344	+3.49	timeout
06-11 17:15	NEAR	Buy	2.0203→1.96932	-13.10	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	AVAX	Sell	6.4051→6.57533	-13.73	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.2785→64.8521	-12.88	stop_loss
06-11 01:16	XMR	Buy	326.532→340.935	+21.60	take_profit
06-10 17:29	ADA	Buy	0.164561→0.16044	-12.98	stop_loss
06-10 16:46	ARB	Buy	0.0809102→0.0788109	-13.42	stop_loss
06-10 16:07	ETC	Sell	6.95516→7.03076	-5.88	timeout
06-10 15:46	BTC	Sell	61003.9→62507.4	-12.72	stop_loss
06-10 11:54	KAS	Buy	0.031838→0.0309718	-14.05	stop_loss
06-09 18:18	DOT	Sell	0.938005→0.962051	-13.27	stop_loss
06-09 15:20	ATOM	Sell	1.73857→1.78254	-13.09	stop_loss
06-09 14:29	NEAR	Sell	2.19695→2.10113	+21.40	take_profit
06-09 13:23	BTC	Buy	63816.2→62246.7	-12.73	stop_loss
06-09 08:35	ONDO	Sell	0.364459→0.37361	-13.00	stop_loss
06-09 04:35	APT	Sell	0.644839→0.661096	-13.06	stop_loss
06-09 02:27	SAGA	Sell	0.0131167→0.0125431	+21.41	take_profit
06-09 00:37	INJ	Sell	5.71287→5.46357	+21.40	take_profit
06-08 18:02	BNB	Sell	594.111→609.037	-12.95	stop_loss
06-08 15:19	DOGE	Sell	0.0853007→0.0874395	-12.94	stop_loss
06-08 15:10	SUI	Sell	0.752102→0.770958	-12.92	stop_loss
06-08 14:57	XRP	Sell	1.14511→1.17388	-13.00	stop_loss
06-08 12:01	TRX	Sell	0.323929→0.327552	-6.04	timeout
06-08 06:19	NEAR	Sell	2.06998→2.12199	-13.03	stop_loss
06-08 00:36	KAS	Sell	0.0305824→0.0313765	-13.43	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	LTC	Buy	41.5164→43.3462	+21.60	take_profit
06-07 22:14	AAVE	Buy	61.7094→64.3999	+21.35	take_profit
06-07 20:09	AVAX	Buy	6.66477→6.55596	-8.65	timeout
06-07 20:02	DOT	Buy	0.942316→0.942004	-0.62	timeout
06-07 16:12	XLM	Sell	0.210347→0.20105	+21.65	take_profit
06-07 08:57	ETH	Buy	1571.16→1640.44	+21.58	take_profit
06-07 01:09	ACE	Sell	0.0864784→0.0890668	-15.42	stop_loss
06-05 21:42	ONDO	Buy	0.330693→0.345074	+21.29	take_profit
06-05 16:02	BLUR	Sell	0.0172007→0.0164181	+22.30	take_profit
06-05 15:46	SAGA	Sell	0.0144864→0.0138435	+21.74	take_profit
06-05 15:37	LTC	Buy	43.987→42.8558	-13.32	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	SOL	Buy	66.0609→64.4191	-12.86	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	ICP	Buy	2.4102→2.34224	-14.55	stop_loss
06-05 11:45	AAVE	Buy	68.096→66.3912	-12.97	stop_loss
06-05 06:20	NEAR	Buy	2.15624→2.10072	-13.34	stop_loss
06-05 06:00	ETC	Sell	7.24959→6.93193	+21.46	take_profit
06-05 05:27	XMR	Sell	331.217→339.545	-13.02	stop_loss
06-05 04:25	ADA	Buy	0.15941→0.166408	+21.50	take_profit
06-05 02:58	INJ	Buy	5.39525→5.25915	-13.07	stop_loss
06-04 21:37	HYPE	Sell	67.4371→64.4911	+21.39	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

150

closed

35%

win rate

-284.46

total pnl ($)

-37.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
LTC	8	50%	-34.1	-13.73
SAGA	7	71%	+125.6	+43.97
SUI	7	57%	+29.8	+11.05
NEAR	7	14%	-162.8	-57.17
SOL	6	17%	-133.7	-39.87
ETH	6	67%	+200.8	+59.84
ACE	5	0%	-290.8	-72.71
XRP	5	60%	+82.7	+20.34
DOT	5	20%	-148.1	-37.03
ADA	5	40%	+15.3	+3.54
APT	5	0%	-261.8	-65.43
XMR	4	75%	+257.3	+51.46
BLUR	4	50%	+91.5	+18.31
RENDER	4	75%	+227.0	+45.39
UNI	4	75%	+166.8	+33.35
LINK	4	50%	+86.0	+17.26
BTC	4	25%	-84.0	-16.57
HYPE	4	25%	-90.1	-18.03
ONDO	4	50%	+83.5	+16.69
ETC	4	50%	+117.0	+23.40
XLM	4	25%	-87.7	-17.54
AAVE	4	25%	-87.9	-17.59
HBAR	3	33%	-144.3	-21.64
BNB	3	33%	-31.2	-4.67
FIL	3	0%	-221.9	-33.29
DOGE	3	0%	-260.9	-38.80
AVAX	3	0%	-235.3	-35.33
KAS	3	33%	-40.4	-6.06
BCH	3	0%	-188.4	-28.26
INJ	3	33%	-33.8	-5.05
TRX	3	67%	-11.0	-1.64
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ATOM	2	0%	-268.5	-26.87
OP	2	0%	-262.8	-26.41
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ICP	2	0%	-277.5	-27.75
ARB	1	0%	-268.5	-13.42

Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 04:21	LINK	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:21	ADA	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	ETH	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…