top_trader_ls_contrarian_btc_only_v3 · strategy

106

closed trades

50%

win rate

-216.09

total pnl ($)

0.787

weight

7d window — n=27 wr=52% pnl=-73.63 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-31 08:59:03 (27.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485392_99530

n: 22 · wr: 45.5% · total_bps: -584.0 · mean_bps: -26.55 · sharpe: -0.33 · max_dd_bps: -774.2

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 06:08	BTC	Buy	60059→60156	+0.36	timeout
06-27 00:14	BTC	Buy	59459→60092	+4.86	timeout
06-26 18:04	BTC	Buy	59755→60094	+2.33	timeout
06-26 11:40	BTC	Buy	60027→59424	-5.50	timeout
06-26 05:31	BTC	Buy	59544→59947	+2.94	timeout
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	61187.1→59009.5	-18.24	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	61586.1→59394.3	-18.21	stop_loss
06-25 11:27	BTC	Buy	60956→61256.9	+2.01	timeout
06-25 05:02	BTC	Buy	59949→61446.9	+12.06	timeout
06-24 16:06	BTC	Buy	62381.1→60149.9	-18.29	stop_loss
06-24 15:33	BTC	Buy	62897.1→60657.6	-18.22	stop_loss
06-24 11:17	BTC	Buy	62525.1→62332.9	-2.00	timeout
06-24 05:14	BTC	Buy	62407.1→62756.9	+2.32	timeout
06-23 22:52	BTC	Buy	62228.1→62524.9	+1.95	timeout
06-23 17:16	BTC	Buy	63654.2→62486.9	-9.62	timeout
06-23 11:20	BTC	Buy	63892.2→62400.9	-12.02	timeout
06-23 05:17	BTC	Buy	64655.2→63627.8	-8.41	timeout
06-22 23:01	BTC	Buy	64087.2→63928.8	-1.69	timeout
06-22 16:52	BTC	Buy	64034.2→64623.8	+4.15	timeout
06-22 10:46	BTC	Buy	63667.2→64084.8	+2.78	timeout
06-22 04:50	BTC	Buy	64120.2→64030.8	-1.16	timeout
06-21 22:36	BTC	Buy	64298.2→63598.8	-5.88	timeout
06-21 16:30	BTC	Buy	64510.2→64152.8	-3.20	timeout
06-21 10:23	BTC	Buy	64085.2→64317.8	+1.33	timeout
06-21 04:35	BTC	Buy	63913.2→64526.8	+4.36	timeout
06-20 22:22	BTC	Buy	63616.2→64089.8	+3.27	timeout
06-20 16:16	BTC	Buy	63396.2→63976.8	+4.09	timeout
06-20 10:12	BTC	Buy	63053.2→63657.8	+4.31	timeout
06-20 04:10	BTC	Buy	63092.2→63375.8	+1.81	timeout
06-19 22:07	BTC	Buy	62411.1→63026.8	+4.46	timeout
06-19 16:52	BTC	Buy	62531.1→63076.8	+3.93	timeout
06-19 10:35	BTC	Buy	62751.1→62444.9	-2.85	timeout
06-19 04:36	BTC	Buy	62564.1→62560.9	-0.45	timeout
06-18 22:43	BTC	Buy	63996.2→62769.9	-9.99	timeout
06-18 16:27	BTC	Buy	63922.2→62627.9	-10.42	timeout
06-18 10:22	BTC	Buy	64168.2→63920.8	-2.42	timeout
06-18 04:46	BTC	Buy	65920.3→63789.8	-16.62	timeout
06-17 22:31	BTC	Buy	64939.2→64337.8	-5.08	timeout
06-17 16:42	BTC	Buy	65897.3→65963.7	+0.01	timeout
06-17 10:44	BTC	Buy	65693.3→64896.8	-6.56	timeout
06-17 04:37	BTC	Buy	65729.3→65855.7	+0.49	timeout
06-16 22:32	BTC	Buy	66615.3→65686.7	-7.46	timeout
06-16 16:15	BTC	Buy	66114.3→65752.7	-3.23	timeout
06-16 10:00	BTC	Buy	66340.3→66499.7	+0.72	timeout
06-16 03:55	BTC	Buy	67175.4→66064.7	-8.69	timeout
06-15 21:52	BTC	Buy	65543.3→66388.7	+5.98	timeout
06-15 15:40	BTC	Buy	65765.3→66776.7	+7.24	timeout
06-15 09:28	BTC	Buy	64695.2→65644.7	+6.89	timeout
06-15 03:22	BTC	Buy	64079.2→65664.7	+11.90	timeout
06-14 21:14	BTC	Buy	64408.2→64067.8	-3.11	timeout
06-14 15:10	BTC	Buy	64482.2→64092.8	-3.48	timeout
06-14 09:03	BTC	Buy	64293.2→64414.8	+0.47	timeout
06-14 02:58	BTC	Buy	64204.2→64467.8	+1.62	timeout
06-13 20:52	BTC	Buy	63789.2→64237.8	+3.05	timeout
06-13 15:30	BTC	Buy	63501.2→64284.8	+5.71	timeout
06-13 09:21	BTC	Buy	63564.2→63824.8	+1.55	timeout
06-13 03:14	BTC	Buy	64369.2→63655.8	-5.99	timeout
06-12 20:45	BTC	Buy	63352.2→63484.8	+0.58	timeout
06-12 15:03	BTC	Buy	63583.2→63899.8	+2.00	timeout
06-12 09:02	BTC	Buy	63404.2→63451.8	-0.11	timeout
06-12 02:52	BTC	Buy	62922.1→63568.8	+4.64	timeout
06-11 20:42	BTC	Buy	62885.1→63268.8	+2.53	timeout
06-11 14:35	BTC	Buy	61964.1→62895.9	+7.02	timeout
06-11 08:30	BTC	Buy	61875.1→62914.9	+7.88	timeout
06-11 02:26	BTC	Buy	62045.1→62058.9	-0.37	timeout
06-10 20:18	BTC	Buy	61596.1→61810.9	+1.26	timeout
06-10 04:00	BTC	Buy	61137.1→62016.9	+6.80	timeout
06-09 22:09	BTC	Buy	62610.1→62016.9	-5.13	timeout
06-09 15:59	BTC	Buy	62844.1→61115.9	-14.27	timeout
06-09 10:03	BTC	Buy	63535.2→62736.9	-6.72	timeout
06-09 04:05	BTC	Buy	63853.2→62735.9	-9.20	timeout
06-08 21:53	BTC	Buy	63415.2→63716.8	+1.91	timeout
06-08 15:47	BTC	Buy	63114.2→63813.8	+5.02	timeout
06-08 09:43	BTC	Buy	61683.1→63275.8	+12.46	timeout
06-08 03:41	BTC	Buy	62086.1→63136.8	+8.00	timeout
06-07 21:40	BTC	Buy	62582.1→61778.9	-6.86	timeout
06-07 15:34	BTC	Buy	61603.1→62019.9	+2.93	timeout
06-07 09:29	BTC	Buy	60866→62652.9	+14.24	timeout
06-07 03:23	BTC	Buy	60489→61555.9	+8.35	timeout
06-06 21:17	BTC	Buy	61231.1→60835	-3.65	timeout
06-06 15:14	BTC	Buy	60862→60577	-2.79	timeout
06-06 04:33	BTC	Buy	61783.1→59584.2	-18.25	stop_loss
06-06 03:22	BTC	Buy	60679→60820	+0.71	timeout
06-05 14:26	BTC	Buy	62622.1→60387.8	-18.29	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	63136.2→60889.5	-18.24	stop_loss
06-05 06:22	BTC	Buy	63614.2→61346.2	-18.25	stop_loss
06-05 03:49	BTC	Buy	63750.2→62764.9	-8.15	timeout
06-04 21:43	BTC	Buy	62870.1→63362.8	+3.48	timeout
06-04 16:56	BTC	Buy	64351.2→63528.8	-6.88	timeout
06-04 01:16	BTC	Buy	65253.3→62931.4	-18.24	stop_loss
06-03 23:03	BTC	Buy	66912.3→64529.5	-18.25	stop_loss
06-03 16:41	BTC	Buy	66370.3→65920.7	-3.87	timeout
06-03 11:29	BTC	Buy	66396.3→67305.6	+6.33	timeout
06-03 04:02	BTC	Buy	67231.4→66107.7	-8.81	timeout
06-02 14:27	BTC	Buy	70120.5→67624.8	-18.26	stop_loss
06-02 13:47	BTC	Buy	70790.5→68876.6	-13.99	timeout
05-31 11:53	BTC	Buy	73812.7→73882.3	-0.05	timeout
05-31 09:10	BTC	Buy	73953.7→73865.3	-1.12	timeout
05-30 21:51	BTC	Buy	73566.7→73902.3	+1.77	timeout
05-30 11:50	BTC	Buy	73403.7→73559.3	+0.58	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

106

closed

50%

win rate

-216.09

total pnl ($)

-40.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	106	50%	-40.5	-216.09

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 12:22	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…