269
closed trades
41%
win rate
-92.72
total pnl ($)
1.211
weight
7d window — n=13 wr=46% pnl=-6.95
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 19:12:02 (38.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
apz
n: 731
· wr: 41.6%
· total_bps: -4160.1
· mean_bps: -5.69
· sharpe: -0.13
· max_dd_bps: -4801.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 00:38 | ETH | Sell | 1575.14→1567.76 | +1.89 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:28 | ETH | Sell | 1568.54→1577.66 | -3.35 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:22 | ETH | Sell | 1563.44→1566.36 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:17 | ETH | Sell | 1566.04→1563.06 | +0.50 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:14 | ETH | Sell | 1558.34→1565.96 | -2.89 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:12 | ETH | Sell | 1567.84→1559.86 | +2.10 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:09 | ETH | Sell | 1559.34→1571.56 | -4.37 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:05 | ETH | Sell | 1570.54→1557.46 | +3.72 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:19 | ETH | Sell | 1618.94→1616.96 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:09 | ETH | Sell | 1617.44→1620.66 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:08 | BTC | Sell | 60734→60846 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:03 | BTC | Sell | 61029.9→60764 | +1.73 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:03 | BTC | Sell | 60842→61060.1 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:53 | BTC | Sell | 65844.7→65753.3 | +0.25 | timeout |
| 06-16 19:26 | BTC | Sell | 65903.7→65670.3 | +1.32 | timeout |
| 06-16 17:06 | BTC | Sell | 65850.7→65738.3 | +0.41 | timeout |
| 06-16 08:53 | ETH | Sell | 1774.32→1802.28 | -8.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 16:16 | ETH | Sell | 1662.23→1664.67 | -1.18 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:38 | ETH | Sell | 1665.23→1655.97 | +2.33 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:05 | ETH | Sell | 1673.83→1666.97 | +1.60 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:41 | ETH | Sell | 1674.83→1676.27 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:12 | ETH | Sell | 1675.43→1674.77 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:54 | ETH | Sell | 1664.93→1665.97 | -0.76 | timeout |
| 06-13 03:35 | ETH | Sell | 1668.63→1664.57 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 06-13 02:20 | ETH | Sell | 1666.03→1671.57 | -2.11 | timeout |
| 06-13 01:05 | ETH | Sell | 1664.53→1667.27 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:06 | ETH | Sell | 1665.93→1664.27 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-12 11:13 | ETH | Sell | 1678.43→1676.17 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-12 10:12 | ETH | Sell | 1672.93→1678.57 | -2.13 | timeout |
| 06-12 09:08 | ETH | Sell | 1664.63→1674.07 | -3.28 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:35 | ETH | Sell | 1646.44→1649.56 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:30 | ETH | Sell | 1635.04→1639.56 | -1.83 | timeout |
| 06-11 02:28 | ETH | Sell | 1639.64→1634.46 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 06-11 01:19 | ETH | Sell | 1632.74→1639.36 | -2.47 | timeout |
| 06-11 00:18 | ETH | Sell | 1610.94→1630.46 | -6.51 | timeout |
| 06-10 23:13 | ETH | Sell | 1609.54→1611.66 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-10 22:13 | ETH | Sell | 1615.74→1610.16 | +1.27 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:08 | ETH | Sell | 1625.94→1622.36 | +0.64 | timeout |
| 06-10 08:50 | BTC | Sell | 61673.9→61214.1 | +3.27 | timeout |
| 06-09 20:10 | BTC | Sell | 61765.9→62023.1 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 06-09 19:07 | BTC | Sell | 61729.9→61844.1 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:06 | BTC | Sell | 61528.9→61726.1 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:05 | BTC | Sell | 60965→61548.1 | -5.23 | timeout |
| 06-08 12:28 | SOL | Sell | 66.777→66.3219 | +2.95 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:23 | SOL | Sell | 65.8711→66.9225 | -8.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 10:26 | SOL | Sell | 66.0201→65.8319 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 06-08 09:20 | SOL | Sell | 65.7911→66.0399 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 06-08 08:17 | BTC | Sell | 63105.8→63050.2 | -0.00 | timeout |
| 06-08 07:15 | BTC | Sell | 62909.9→63005.2 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 06-08 06:11 | BTC | Sell | 62614.9→62934.1 | -3.00 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:07 | BTC | Sell | 62870.9→62578.1 | +1.88 | timeout |
| 06-07 14:12 | SOL | Sell | 64.1334→64.3917 | -2.49 | timeout |
| 06-07 13:06 | SOL | Sell | 64.8153→64.0966 | +5.07 | timeout |
| 06-05 23:55 | BTC | Sell | 61746.9→60940 | +6.09 | timeout |
| 06-05 22:54 | BTC | Sell | 61716.9→61962.1 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-05 21:53 | BTC | Sell | 61511.9→61794.1 | -2.74 | timeout |
| 06-05 20:50 | BTC | Sell | 60765→61713.9 | -8.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:08 | BTC | Sell | 59563→60493.3 | -8.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:25 | BTC | Sell | 60285→59569 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-05 18:23 | BTC | Sell | 60871→60381 | +3.58 | timeout |
| 06-05 17:22 | ETH | Sell | 1604.54→1593.76 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 06-05 16:21 | BTC | Sell | 60395→61339.7 | -8.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:51 | BTC | Sell | 62155.9→61877.1 | +1.79 | timeout |
| 06-05 11:40 | BTC | Sell | 62386.9→62264.1 | +0.54 | timeout |
| 06-05 10:02 | BTC | Sell | 62610.9→62774.1 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 06-05 08:57 | BTC | Sell | 62906.9→62400.1 | +3.58 | timeout |
| 06-05 07:37 | BTC | Sell | 61801.9→62774.5 | -8.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 07:22 | BTC | Sell | 61370.9→61745.1 | -3.50 | timeout |
| 06-05 06:02 | BTC | Sell | 63465.8→62309.1 | +8.66 | timeout |
| 06-05 04:59 | BTC | Sell | 62609.9→63588 | -8.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 21:06 | BTC | Sell | 65314.7→65362.3 | -0.81 | timeout |
| 06-02 23:26 | BTC | Sell | 67348.6→66290.3 | +7.41 | timeout |
| 06-02 18:25 | ETH | Sell | 1929.31→1917.39 | +2.64 | timeout |
| 06-02 14:23 | ETH | Sell | 1977.9→1946.89 | +7.39 | timeout |
| 06-02 11:12 | BTC | Sell | 69717.5→69499.5 | +1.12 | timeout |
| 06-02 09:12 | BTC | Sell | 69932.5→69532.5 | +2.42 | timeout |
| 06-01 19:57 | SOL | Sell | 80.8659→81.2722 | -2.97 | timeout |
| 06-01 09:43 | ETH | Sell | 1976.9→1985.3 | -2.57 | timeout |
| 06-01 09:11 | SOL | Sell | 80.8249→81.1452 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-01 09:11 | ETH | Sell | 1978.2→1986.6 | -2.57 | timeout |
| 06-01 00:50 | ETH | Sell | 2005.9→2018 | -3.46 | timeout |
| 06-01 00:08 | SOL | Sell | 82.6286→82.6244 | -0.43 | timeout |
| 06-01 00:08 | ETH | Sell | 2017.8→2010.2 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 05-31 23:05 | SOL | Sell | 82.0707→82.7454 | -4.56 | timeout |
| 05-31 23:05 | ETH | Sell | 2006.6→2019.2 | -3.59 | timeout |
| 05-31 18:23 | ETH | Sell | 1999.8→2001.9 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 05-31 17:43 | ETH | Sell | 2000.3→2005.2 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 05-31 17:43 | SOL | Sell | 81.5478→81.8443 | -2.27 | timeout |
| 05-31 17:07 | SOL | Sell | 81.9537→81.5622 | +1.94 | timeout |
| 05-31 17:07 | ETH | Sell | 2009.8→2000.9 | +1.77 | timeout |
| 05-31 12:55 | SOL | Sell | 82.6906→82.7854 | -1.02 | timeout |
| 05-31 12:23 | SOL | Sell | 82.6576→82.7634 | -1.08 | timeout |
| 05-31 11:50 | SOL | Sell | 82.5576→82.7824 | -1.81 | timeout |
| 05-31 11:17 | SOL | Sell | 82.6866→82.7874 | -1.05 | timeout |
| 05-31 10:44 | SOL | Sell | 82.9736→82.5574 | +2.06 | timeout |
| 05-31 10:13 | SOL | Sell | 82.7046→82.7064 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 05-31 09:41 | SOL | Sell | 82.6716→83.0235 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 05-31 09:07 | SOL | Sell | 82.7186→82.6764 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 05-28 19:18 | BTC | Sell | 73645.3→73431.7 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 05-28 18:42 | BTC | Sell | 73463.3→73584.7 | -1.27 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
269
closed
41%
win rate
-92.72
total pnl ($)
-6.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 121 | 43% | -3.2 | -19.24 |
| ETH | 86 | 41% | -9.3 | -39.97 |
| SOL | 62 | 39% | -10.7 | -33.51 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||