54
closed trades
41%
win rate
-56.65
total pnl ($)
1.205
weight
7d window — n=10 wr=60% pnl=-3.04
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 05:14:51 (23.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
ahn
n: 63
· wr: 36.5%
· total_bps: -1551.0
· mean_bps: -24.62
· sharpe: -0.31
· max_dd_bps: -1726.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 54 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 03:33 | BTC | Buy | 60147→60279 | +0.45 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:27 | BTC | Buy | 59371→59433 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:44 | BTC | Buy | 61634.1→60112.9 | -8.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 03:21 | BTC | Buy | 59424→60736 | +7.42 | timeout |
| 06-24 11:19 | BTC | Buy | 62790.1→62367.9 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:32 | BTC | Buy | 62194.1→62277.9 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-23 02:35 | BTC | Buy | 64609.2→64185.8 | -2.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:24 | BTC | Buy | 63561.2→64176.8 | +3.05 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:20 | BTC | Buy | 64047.2→63970.8 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:18 | BTC | Buy | 64001.2→64205.8 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:49 | BTC | Buy | 63294.2→63613.8 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:19 | BTC | Buy | 62723.1→63088.8 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 06-19 01:48 | BTC | Buy | 62706.1→62906.9 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 06-18 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 64290.2→63904.8 | -2.42 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:23 | BTC | Buy | 65641.3→64939.8 | -4.06 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:26 | BTC | Buy | 66534.3→66228.7 | -1.91 | timeout |
| 06-15 14:19 | BTC | Buy | 65729.3→66515.7 | +3.88 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:22 | BTC | Buy | 64599.2→63876.8 | -4.24 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:48 | BTC | Buy | 63881.2→64474.8 | +2.93 | timeout |
| 06-13 05:17 | BTC | Buy | 63668.2→63529.8 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:01 | BTC | Buy | 63600.2→63408.8 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-11 20:49 | BTC | Buy | 62930.1→63241.8 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:47 | BTC | Buy | 61726.1→62731.9 | +5.34 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:31 | BTC | Buy | 61500.1→62016.9 | +2.65 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:34 | BTC | Buy | 63501.2→63139.8 | -2.31 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:32 | BTC | Buy | 62921.1→63603.8 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 06-07 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 62666.1→61451.9 | -7.08 | timeout |
| 06-07 00:30 | BTC | Buy | 60839→60815 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 06-05 00:02 | BTC | Buy | 64243.2→63786.8 | -2.80 | timeout |
| 06-04 00:29 | BTC | Buy | 65121.3→63520 | -8.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:17 | BTC | Buy | 67194.4→66133.7 | -5.86 | timeout |
| 06-02 14:10 | BTC | Buy | 69954.5→68225.5 | -8.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 05:17 | BTC | Buy | 71377.6→70702.5 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 05-31 13:23 | BTC | Buy | 74136.7→73962.3 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 05-30 19:40 | BTC | Buy | 73534.7→74000.3 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 05-30 00:56 | BTC | Buy | 72999.6→73493.3 | +2.04 | timeout |
| 05-29 07:09 | BTC | Buy | 73622.7→73747.3 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 05-28 15:07 | BTC | Buy | 73031.7→73118.3 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 05-27 23:08 | BTC | Buy | 75509.8→74411.3 | -5.42 | timeout |
| 05-25 15:06 | BTC | Buy | 77294.9→77670.1 | +1.35 | timeout |
| 05-24 23:06 | BTC | Buy | 77042.9→76851.2 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 05-24 07:05 | BTC | Buy | 76964.8→76911.2 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 05-23 15:06 | BTC | Buy | 75508.8→75503.2 | -0.34 | timeout |
| 05-22 22:44 | BTC | Buy | 77455.9→75551.4 | -8.94 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 06:05 | BTC | Buy | 77657.9→77470.1 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 05-20 20:04 | BTC | Buy | 77520.9→77615.1 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 05-20 03:34 | BTC | Buy | 76741.8→76737.2 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 05-19 11:06 | BTC | Buy | 77078.9→76992.2 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 05-18 18:06 | BTC | Buy | 77108.9→76533.2 | -2.95 | timeout |
| 05-16 10:17 | BTC | Buy | 79128→79124 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 05-15 18:17 | BTC | Buy | 80521→79325 | -5.51 | timeout |
| 05-12 08:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.34 | timeout |
| 05-11 01:35 | BTC | Buy | 80961→81474.9 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 05-10 07:31 | BTC | Buy | 80778→80733 | -0.51 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
54
closed
41%
win rate
-56.65
total pnl ($)
-29.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 54 | 41% | -29.6 | -56.65 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:31 | BTC | Buy | -0.51 | The market was in a neutral to slightly bearish regime with negative funding and moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allotted time. |