top_trader_extreme_positioning_contrarian

not live
0
closed trades
0%
win rate
+0.00
total pnl ($)
0.000
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-17 03:27:53 (42.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: xj
n: 149  ·  wr: 63.1%  ·  total_bps: -621.7  ·  mean_bps: -4.17  ·  sharpe: -0.07  ·  max_dd_bps: -1899.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 0 closed)

no closed trades to chart

Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
none

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
0
closed
0%
win rate
+0.00
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
no paper trades

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-08 06:18BTCSell-1.21The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without a favorable entry or exit, resulting in a small loss from fees or slippage.
05-08 05:46BTCSell-0.35BTC was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader bearish week, showing low volatility and neutral funding. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the expected continuation lower materialized.
05-08 05:14BTCSell-0.11The market was in a mild intraday uptick (+0.39% 1h) within a broader weekly downtrend (-2.18% 7d). The thesis failed because the trade expired without entry execution, as the timeout close_reason indicates no position was taken.
05-08 04:44BTCSell+1.91BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the expected continuation lower materialized.
05-08 04:12BTCSell+2.10The market was in a mild intraday uptick (+0.39% 1h) within a broader weekly downtrend (-2.18% 7d), with low funding and stable OI. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching the target or stop, as the short-term bounce lacked …
05-08 02:17BTCSell+1.70BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight 1-hour gain but a bearish weekly trend. The short thesis failed because the market did not move enough within the timeout period, preventing the position from reaching a profitable exit.
05-08 01:45BTCSell-0.21The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, resulting in a small loss from funding costs.
05-08 01:14BTCSell-0.12The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period.
05-08 00:43BTCSell-0.55BTC was in a mild downtrend across timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the anticipated continuation materialized.
05-08 00:12BTCSell+0.20The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.58% over 24 hours and negative funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding decline did not trigger an exit within the…