top_trader_expanded_assets_divergence · strategy

337

closed trades

42%

win rate

-175.76

total pnl ($)

1.189

weight

7d window — n=19 wr=63% pnl=+10.68 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 19:12:02 (32.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: apz

n: 742 · wr: 40.7% · total_bps: -4305.8 · mean_bps: -5.80 · sharpe: -0.12 · max_dd_bps: -5375.0

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-16 21:38	BTC	Sell	65774.7→65654.3	+0.47	timeout
06-16 21:04	BTC	Sell	65607.7→65839.3	-2.21	timeout
06-16 17:41	BTC	Sell	65798.7→65718.3	+0.16	timeout
06-16 17:11	BTC	Sell	65837.7→65835.3	-0.43	timeout
06-16 14:47	XRP	Sell	1.22729→1.2106	+6.35	timeout
06-16 14:09	XRP	Sell	1.23659→1.22631	+3.71	timeout
06-16 13:37	XRP	Sell	1.25109→1.22841	+8.61	timeout
06-16 12:34	XRP	Sell	1.23629→1.25614	-8.48	stop_loss
06-16 11:32	XRP	Sell	1.23899→1.23621	+0.67	timeout
06-16 10:54	XRP	Sell	1.23919→1.23921	-0.46	timeout
06-16 10:22	XRP	Sell	1.23989→1.24111	-0.95	timeout
06-16 09:45	XRP	Sell	1.24179→1.24041	+0.10	timeout
06-16 09:12	XRP	Sell	1.23639→1.24491	-3.90	timeout
06-16 05:40	ADA	Sell	0.175976→0.176904	-3.09	timeout
06-16 05:09	ADA	Sell	0.176916→0.176494	+0.74	timeout
06-16 02:56	ADA	Sell	0.177036→0.175894	+2.78	timeout
06-16 02:20	ADA	Sell	0.177676→0.176444	+3.02	timeout
06-16 01:44	ADA	Sell	0.178405→0.177754	+1.37	timeout
06-16 01:09	ADA	Sell	0.178855→0.177904	+2.21	timeout
06-14 23:26	ADA	Sell	0.175226→0.178134	-8.74	stop_loss
06-14 22:56	ADA	Sell	0.174906→0.175644	-2.55	timeout
06-14 21:35	ADA	Sell	0.169987→0.172719	-8.48	stop_loss
06-14 21:18	ADA	Sell	0.167198→0.169987	-8.79	stop_loss
06-14 21:16	ADA	Sell	0.166028→0.168706	-8.51	stop_loss
06-14 20:41	ADA	Sell	0.165939→0.167202	-4.25	timeout
06-14 20:06	ADA	Sell	0.165909→0.165871	-0.34	timeout
06-14 19:32	ADA	Sell	0.166028→0.166412	-1.60	timeout
06-14 18:57	ADA	Sell	0.166368→0.166001	+0.65	timeout
06-14 18:27	ADA	Sell	0.166888→0.166192	+1.64	timeout
06-14 17:51	ADA	Sell	0.166968→0.166282	+1.60	timeout
06-14 17:18	XRP	Sell	1.13572→1.13798	-1.46	timeout
06-14 16:50	ADA	Sell	0.166778→0.166982	-1.06	timeout
06-14 16:16	ADA	Sell	0.166998→0.167292	-1.32	timeout
06-14 15:43	ADA	Sell	0.165929→0.166852	-3.23	timeout
06-14 15:10	ADA	Sell	0.167498→0.167012	+1.00	timeout
06-14 14:06	ADA	Sell	0.168268→0.167542	+1.70	timeout
06-14 14:05	XRP	Sell	1.13722→1.13468	+0.65	timeout
06-14 13:02	XRP	Sell	1.14291→1.13818	+1.61	timeout
06-14 13:02	ETH	Sell	1673.63→1667.97	+1.24	timeout
06-14 10:06	XRP	Sell	1.14351→1.14699	-1.98	timeout
06-14 09:36	XRP	Sell	1.14571→1.14499	-0.14	timeout
06-14 09:05	XRP	Sell	1.14381→1.14509	-1.02	timeout
06-13 02:08	SOL	Sell	67.0969→67.3211	-2.13	timeout
06-13 01:08	SOL	Sell	66.811→67.0591	-2.31	timeout
06-13 01:07	ETH	Sell	1666.03→1667.67	-0.93	timeout
06-12 22:49	XRP	Sell	1.13162→1.12928	+0.58	timeout
06-12 22:16	XRP	Sell	1.13362→1.13018	+1.06	timeout
06-12 21:39	XRP	Sell	1.13252→1.13428	-1.24	timeout
06-12 21:02	XRP	Sell	1.12952→1.13218	-1.64	timeout
06-12 20:32	XRP	Sell	1.13302→1.13418	-0.97	timeout
06-12 19:57	XRP	Sell	1.13172→1.13128	-0.26	timeout
06-12 19:22	XRP	Sell	1.12842→1.13228	-2.17	timeout
06-12 18:44	XRP	Sell	1.12992→1.13328	-1.95	timeout
06-12 18:14	XRP	Sell	1.13152→1.13128	-0.35	timeout
06-12 17:34	XRP	Sell	1.13232→1.13218	-0.40	timeout
06-12 17:02	XRP	Sell	1.12672→1.13348	-3.46	timeout
06-11 04:37	SOL	Sell	64.8103→65.0438	-2.24	timeout
06-11 04:30	ETH	Sell	1639.04→1651.67	-4.30	timeout
06-11 03:34	SOL	Sell	64.3473→64.9097	-4.81	timeout
06-11 03:26	ETH	Sell	1634.44→1639.06	-1.86	timeout
06-11 02:30	SOL	Sell	64.2844→64.5827	-2.76	timeout
06-11 02:22	ETH	Sell	1638.04→1635.06	+0.46	timeout
06-11 01:20	SOL	Sell	63.6754→64.2126	-4.67	timeout
06-11 01:13	ETH	Sell	1624.54→1636.06	-3.99	timeout
06-11 00:16	SOL	Sell	62.5516→63.5413	-8.37	stop_loss
06-11 00:12	ETH	Sell	1612.34→1624.06	-4.09	timeout
06-10 23:14	SOL	Sell	62.4926→62.5324	-0.78	timeout
06-10 23:08	ETH	Sell	1609.64→1614.56	-1.98	timeout
06-10 22:13	SOL	Sell	62.7016→62.5284	+0.92	timeout
06-10 22:06	ETH	Sell	1623.84→1610.06	+3.79	timeout
06-10 21:08	ETH	Sell	1625.64→1622.26	+0.58	timeout
06-10 21:02	SOL	Sell	63.3325→63.2445	+0.24	timeout
06-10 10:56	ADA	Sell	0.16057→0.16056	-0.42	timeout
06-10 10:23	ADA	Sell	0.15878→0.15952	-2.78	timeout
06-10 09:52	ADA	Sell	0.15934→0.16004	-2.65	timeout
06-10 09:21	ADA	Sell	0.16104→0.15892	+6.13	timeout
06-10 08:50	BTC	Sell	61673.9→61214.1	+3.27	timeout
06-09 20:49	BTC	Sell	61786.9→62023.1	-2.36	timeout
06-09 20:16	BTC	Sell	61714.9→62023.1	-2.95	timeout
06-09 19:39	ETH	Sell	1650.73→1651.67	-0.73	timeout
06-09 19:11	BTC	Sell	61654.9→61783.1	-1.49	timeout
06-09 18:37	ETH	Sell	1645.24→1651.87	-2.46	timeout
06-09 18:07	BTC	Sell	61499.9→61754.1	-2.51	timeout
06-09 17:33	ETH	Sell	1632.44→1647.16	-4.96	timeout
06-09 17:05	BTC	Sell	61003.9→61572.1	-5.10	timeout
06-09 16:31	XRP	Sell	1.13422→1.12648	+2.96	timeout
06-09 16:00	XRP	Sell	1.13612→1.12958	+2.43	timeout
06-09 15:28	XRP	Sell	1.14361→1.13518	+3.23	timeout
06-09 14:47	XRP	Sell	1.15731→1.13218	+10.40	take_profit
06-09 14:17	XRP	Sell	1.16121→1.14559	+6.28	timeout
06-09 13:41	XRP	Sell	1.15891→1.15719	+0.29	timeout
06-09 13:06	XRP	Sell	1.15971→1.16549	-2.95	timeout
06-09 10:40	XRP	Sell	1.15961→1.15559	+1.28	timeout
06-09 10:08	XRP	Sell	1.16471→1.15909	+1.96	timeout
06-09 09:30	XRP	Sell	1.16581→1.16449	+0.11	timeout
06-09 08:58	ADA	Sell	0.170107→0.168932	+3.00	timeout
06-09 08:25	ADA	Sell	0.170007→0.169092	+2.24	timeout
06-09 07:51	ADA	Sell	0.169598→0.170233	-2.32	timeout
06-09 06:43	XRP	Sell	1.17191→1.17209	-0.53	timeout
06-09 06:43	ADA	Sell	0.169408→0.169982	-2.14	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

337

closed

42%

win rate

-175.76

total pnl ($)

-10.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
XRP	101	42%	-10.6	-53.75
ADA	77	44%	-11.8	-45.46
BTC	57	40%	-4.5	-12.78
ETH	56	39%	-14.1	-39.57
SOL	46	41%	-10.5	-24.19

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

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