27
closed trades
48%
win rate
-17.97
total pnl ($)
1.217
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=50% pnl=-1.19
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 04:01:39 (38.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
nk
n: 6
· wr: 33.3%
· total_bps: -48.4
· mean_bps: -8.07
· sharpe: -0.13
· max_dd_bps: -149.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 27 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 07:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.07107→1.08533 | +6.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:23 | ETH | Sell | 1719.43→1743.05 | -8.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 19:07 | SOL | Sell | 68.6927→68.6833 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:13 | BTC | Sell | 64624.8→64489.2 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-17 23:05 | SOL | Sell | 71.9372→71.8158 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:02 | ETH | Sell | 1773.22→1773.78 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:07 | BTC | Sell | 64841.8→65146.3 | -3.08 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:07 | SOL | Buy | 75.1263→75.6107 | +3.05 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.25961→1.28678 | +11.37 | take_profit |
| 06-15 03:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.1825→1.1815 | -0.96 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:58 | SOL | Sell | 64.8633→65.2438 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:27 | ETH | Sell | 1628.94→1638.96 | -3.86 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:17 | BTC | Sell | 60967→61798 | -7.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:13 | XRP | Sell | 1.14261→1.15149 | -4.77 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:19 | SOL | Buy | 62.6484→61.7678 | -8.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:36 | SOL | Buy | 66.0909→65.1666 | -8.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:02 | ETH | Sell | 1862.61→1855.19 | +1.70 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.22961→1.22209 | -3.82 | timeout |
| 06-01 17:30 | SOL | Sell | 79.82→80.9366 | -8.18 | stop_loss |
| 05-30 11:09 | XRP | Sell | 1.34056→1.33833 | +0.44 | timeout |
| 05-28 18:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.30793→1.33607 | +11.35 | take_profit |
| 05-26 10:27 | SOL | Sell | 84.3194→85.4715 | -8.01 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 15:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.32393→1.33837 | +5.51 | timeout |
| 05-23 00:41 | SOL | Sell | 85.1682→84.1476 | +6.11 | timeout |
| 05-23 00:16 | ETH | Sell | 2071.39→2065.41 | +1.12 | timeout |
| 05-22 19:04 | BTC | Sell | 76861.2→76387.8 | +2.90 | timeout |
| 05-01 19:15 | BTC | Buy | 78304.9→78430.1 | +0.39 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
27
closed
48%
win rate
-17.97
total pnl ($)
-12.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 9 | 33% | -54.9 | -27.07 |
| XRP | 8 | 62% | +58.8 | +25.97 |
| BTC | 5 | 60% | -25.9 | -7.11 |
| ETH | 5 | 40% | -35.7 | -9.75 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 19:15 | BTC | Buy | +0.39 | At close, BTC had stalled near $78,367 after a 2.55% rally over 24h, with funding rates deeply negative at -0.31% and OI at $4.2B, indicating weakening bullish conviction and potential liquidation cascades. The trade's contrarian thesis failed because the n… |