191
closed trades
35%
win rate
-314.14
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=43 wr=26% pnl=-206.35
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-23 03:07:10 (35.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
avo
n: 71
· wr: 40.8%
· total_bps: -46.5
· mean_bps: -0.66
· sharpe: -0.00
· max_dd_bps: -3511.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 11:28 | DOT | Buy | 0.859305→0.837791 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 01:03 | XLM | Buy | 0.179585→0.175089 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1495→63.7078 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | BNB | Buy | 568.002→553.764 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82126→1.77577 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63901→1.5967 | -13.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | SOL | Buy | 70.4676→68.7153 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:07 | UNI | Sell | 2.85529→2.92799 | -13.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:02 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731073→0.0711996 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.30648→4.19205 | -13.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596649→0.581663 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.2951→67.9952 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7626→63.3085 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277851→0.0265566 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:51 | ICP | Sell | 2.22954→2.13203 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:42 | APT | Buy | 0.630158→0.614239 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:47 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0753858→0.0734978 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60281→61765 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:09 | SOL | Sell | 67.3109→68.9838 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1595.24→1634.68 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.673822→0.690758 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:16 | SOL | Sell | 69.1596→66.1299 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | LINK | Sell | 7.63999→7.30293 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:47 | BTC | Sell | 62800.9→60041 | +21.26 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0797381→0.0762661 | +21.19 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:22 | ARB | Buy | 0.0789697→0.0769722 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 10:59 | SUI | Sell | 0.685559→0.702887 | -13.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:15 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0828943→0.0792628 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ETC | Buy | 7.15819→6.97297 | -13.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | OP | Buy | 0.100415→0.0978965 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.86537→7.66815 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | BTC | Buy | 64701.2→63079.3 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:51 | XMR | Sell | 319.55→327.736 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | ETH | Buy | 1765.18→1721.27 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:07 | BTC | Buy | 64005.2→64653.8 | +4.70 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Sell | 0.708403→0.726144 | -12.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 08:03 | ADA | Sell | 0.162249→0.16138 | +2.53 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.6878→74.8288 | +21.40 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1710.03→1752.35 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23414→2.13503 | +21.71 | take_profit |
| 06-21 10:17 | LTC | Sell | 44.085→45.1889 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 16:06 | XRP | Sell | 1.14421→1.14859 | -2.06 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:18 | BTC | Sell | 62626.9→64169.3 | -12.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:11 | ARB | Buy | 0.083961→0.0818486 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:04 | LTC | Sell | 44.4449→44.107 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:10 | ETH | Sell | 1687.53→1729.44 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:26 | SOL | Sell | 68.6967→70.4017 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | SOL | Sell | 71.8092→68.6643 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:53 | LINK | Buy | 8.0042→7.80214 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:36 | ADA | Buy | 0.165851→0.161679 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.73971→6.44561 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-18 05:03 | LINK | Sell | 8.28023→7.91868 | +21.27 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:11 | BNB | Buy | 605.761→590.557 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02624→0.981485 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.794499→0.774529 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64841.8→66438.5 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:56 | XMR | Buy | 353.038→344.152 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:46 | DOT | Sell | 1.00115→1.02637 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 00:02 | LTC | Sell | 45.3956→45.7684 | -4.57 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0135666 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108147→0.105431 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82509→6.99684 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:24 | XLM | Sell | 0.214046→0.219465 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:18 | SOL | Buy | 75.1213→73.2524 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.25891→1.22728 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1840.78→1795.12 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:22 | LINK | Buy | 8.53923→8.32505 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1728.27→1804.42 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:08 | ETC | Buy | 7.28342→7.605 | +21.63 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:43 | UNI | Buy | 2.59085→2.70402 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.1825→1.23399 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-15 03:44 | DOT | Sell | 0.978425→1.00305 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 00:07 | AAVE | Sell | 66.7793→68.4583 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 68.2222→71.2053 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-14 23:04 | LTC | Buy | 43.2788→45.1637 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:36 | ONDO | Buy | 0.345826→0.36087 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-14 12:36 | ADA | Buy | 0.173063→0.168703 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 20:01 | TRX | Buy | 0.312288→0.317911 | +8.55 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:37 | XRP | Sell | 1.13012→1.15847 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 08:04 | BNB | Buy | 598.81→602.349 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:10 | OP | Sell | 0.100275→0.102977 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 04:04 | BTC | Buy | 62621.1→63505.8 | +6.62 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.166362→0.173657 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-12 12:04 | LTC | Buy | 42.0455→43.0012 | +10.88 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0802→0.0837291 | +21.47 | take_profit |
| 06-11 04:06 | ETC | Sell | 6.95906→7.10348 | -10.83 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:55 | SUI | Sell | 0.734216→0.752804 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | LINK | Sell | 7.57221→7.77543 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:42 | SOL | Sell | 63.4755→65.0623 | -12.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:50 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0790198→0.0770192 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.164581→0.16046 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | ARB | Buy | 0.0807802→0.0787109 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:46 | BTC | Sell | 61003.9→62511.4 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:30 | APT | Sell | 0.636641→0.65309 | -13.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 11:54 | KAS | Buy | 0.031838→0.0309718 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 18:18 | DOT | Sell | 0.938005→0.962371 | -13.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 16:39 | XRP | Sell | 1.17051→1.11918 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-09 15:36 | FIL | Buy | 0.768192→0.748798 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:04 | KAS | Sell | 0.0325899→0.0310888 | +22.58 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
191
closed
35%
win rate
-314.14
total pnl ($)
-33.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 16 | 44% | +33.4 | +27.23 |
| BTC | 11 | 36% | -64.3 | -35.15 |
| XRP | 10 | 30% | -32.4 | -15.41 |
| ETH | 10 | 50% | +51.0 | +25.61 |
| LINK | 10 | 20% | -123.8 | -62.12 |
| SUI | 9 | 22% | -107.6 | -48.32 |
| LTC | 8 | 50% | +32.4 | +12.85 |
| BNB | 8 | 38% | -49.3 | -19.44 |
| ADA | 8 | 50% | +36.3 | +14.87 |
| DOT | 7 | 14% | -163.3 | -57.16 |
| UNI | 6 | 67% | +88.1 | +26.42 |
| ARB | 6 | 33% | -31.7 | -9.41 |
| NEAR | 5 | 60% | +157.0 | +39.25 |
| APT | 5 | 20% | -124.3 | -30.85 |
| ACE | 5 | 40% | -5.9 | -1.49 |
| KAS | 5 | 60% | +155.6 | +38.90 |
| INJ | 4 | 25% | -90.4 | -18.38 |
| ONDO | 4 | 75% | +253.7 | +50.74 |
| XLM | 4 | 0% | -263.6 | -52.73 |
| HYPE | 4 | 0% | -259.5 | -51.89 |
| OP | 4 | 0% | -265.0 | -53.24 |
| DOGE | 4 | 50% | +84.1 | +17.02 |
| AVAX | 4 | 25% | -89.5 | -17.94 |
| TRX | 3 | 67% | +50.2 | +7.53 |
| ATOM | 3 | 33% | -36.9 | -5.51 |
| BCH | 3 | 0% | -264.7 | -39.71 |
| HBAR | 3 | 0% | -263.9 | -39.58 |
| ETC | 3 | 33% | -17.3 | -2.59 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| BLUR | 2 | 50% | +86.9 | +8.69 |
| RENDER | 2 | 50% | +85.6 | +8.56 |
| SAGA | 2 | 50% | +82.4 | +8.24 |
| FIL | 2 | 0% | -260.9 | -26.09 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ICP | 2 | 100% | +427.1 | +42.71 |
| AAVE | 2 | 0% | -259.9 | -25.99 |
| XMR | 2 | 0% | -262.9 | -26.29 |
| CHILLGUY | 1 | 0% | -14.0 | -0.70 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:10 | RENDER | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||