token_unlock_supply_shock_timing_contrarian

not live
19
closed trades
37%
win rate
-2.17
total pnl ($)
1.251
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 21:45:52 (40.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: agu__restored_fa69b743
n: 18  ·  wr: 33.3%  ·  total_bps: -246.4  ·  mean_bps: -13.69  ·  sharpe: -0.23  ·  max_dd_bps: -325.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 19 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-17 01:14BTCBuy65895.3→65739.7-0.11timeout
06-16 17:09BTCBuy66169.3→65737.7-0.25timeout
06-16 09:03BTCBuy65964.3→66807.7+0.40timeout
06-16 00:57BTCBuy66483.3→66212.7-0.17timeout
06-15 16:53BTCBuy66513.3→67080.6+0.26timeout
06-15 08:48BTCBuy65673.3→65759.7+0.01timeout
06-14 21:40BTCBuy64027.2→65429.7+0.71take_profit
06-10 17:30BTCBuy62648.1→61796-0.49stop_loss
06-10 09:21BTCBuy61665.1→60796.5-0.51stop_loss
06-09 14:19BTCBuy62573.1→61716-0.50stop_loss
06-09 08:51BTCBuy63283.2→62930.9-0.22timeout
06-09 00:31BTCBuy63375.2→62513.6-0.49stop_loss
06-03 15:57BTCBuy66992.3→66081.6-0.49stop_loss
05-23 20:00BTCBuy75561.8→75955.2+0.15timeout
05-23 12:00BTCBuy74587.7→74742.3+0.04timeout
05-23 04:00BTCBuy75536.8→75597.2-0.00timeout
05-22 19:30BTCBuy76772.8→75697.3-0.51stop_loss
05-22 12:00BTCBuy77371.9→77396.1-0.02timeout
05-22 03:59BTCBuy77614.9→77729.1+0.02timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
19
closed
37%
win rate
-2.17
total pnl ($)
-33.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC1937%-33.6-2.17

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems