token_unlock_supply_shock_selling

not live
7
closed trades
57%
win rate
+18.79
total pnl ($)
1.146
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=100% pnl=+6.66  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 14:15:32 (34.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS  ·  strict: STRICT-PASS  ·  batch: adx
n: 6  ·  wr: 66.7%  ·  total_bps: +558.4  ·  mean_bps: +93.07  ·  sharpe: +0.41  ·  max_dd_bps: -205.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-17 20:57BTCSell65829.7→64282.2+6.66timeout
06-12 21:09BTCSell63450.8→63552.2-0.72timeout
06-06 20:42BTCSell61204.9→60644+2.40timeout
06-04 00:24BTCSell66993.7→64052.2+12.68take_profit
05-19 23:59BTCSell76979.2→76795.8+0.53timeout
05-12 22:43BTCSell81715.9→81724.1-0.30timeout
05-09 13:23BTCSell79712→80306-2.46timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
57%
win rate
+18.79
total pnl ($)
+90.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC757%+90.7+18.79

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-09 13:23BTCSell-2.46The market was in a persistent downtrend with BTC declining over multiple timeframes, showing weak momentum and negative sentiment. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, not reaching the target or stop before the allotted ti…