sustained_top_trader_looser_z20_fade · strategy

247

closed trades

37%

win rate

-496.91

total pnl ($)

0.250

weight

7d window — n=51 wr=37% pnl=-176.24 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 20:04:52 (23.6d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: awu

n: 336 · wr: 38.4% · total_bps: -1688.6 · mean_bps: -5.03 · sharpe: -0.03 · max_dd_bps: -3555.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 22:04	SOL	Buy	73.275→71.4565	-12.87	stop_loss
06-26 16:04	TRX	Buy	0.322851→0.31966	-5.39	timeout
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.1645→63.7248	-13.00	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	BNB	Buy	568.232→553.764	-13.21	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	NEAR	Buy	1.82025→1.77407	-13.16	stop_loss
06-26 10:40	ATOM	Buy	1.63791→1.5967	-13.07	stop_loss
06-26 10:39	SOL	Buy	70.4726→68.7253	-12.86	stop_loss
06-26 07:07	UNI	Sell	2.85529→2.92799	-13.18	stop_loss
06-26 03:02	HBAR	Buy	0.0731073→0.0711996	-13.50	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	INJ	Buy	4.33208→4.22103	-13.24	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.596549→0.581364	-13.09	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.3011→67.9952	-13.22	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.7586→63.3045	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 13:59	KAS	Sell	0.0277861→0.0265556	+21.69	take_profit
06-25 13:48	ICP	Sell	2.23624→2.13873	+21.35	take_profit
06-25 13:42	XRP	Buy	1.08567→1.05831	-13.04	stop_loss
06-25 13:42	APT	Buy	0.629757→0.613839	-13.13	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60268→61753.9	-12.79	stop_loss
06-25 05:07	BTC	Sell	60249→61733.9	-12.78	stop_loss
06-25 05:02	SOL	Sell	66.903→68.5635	-12.91	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1594.94→1634.38	-12.80	stop_loss
06-24 22:01	SUI	Sell	0.673822→0.690758	-13.07	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	INJ	Sell	4.31542→4.12713	+21.35	take_profit
06-24 16:51	AVAX	Sell	6.4078→6.12593	+21.62	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BCH	Sell	193.872→185.176	+21.98	take_profit
06-24 13:42	AAVE	Buy	76.161→74.2443	-13.03	stop_loss
06-24 12:05	BTC	Sell	62439.9→62897.1	-4.10	timeout
06-24 08:04	ETH	Sell	1678.23→1673.07	+1.05	timeout
06-24 08:04	DOGE	Sell	0.07978→0.0789347	+4.70	timeout
06-24 08:04	BTC	Sell	62800.9→62661.1	+0.69	timeout
06-24 04:02	BNB	Sell	591.212→577.774	+11.05	timeout
06-23 08:24	DOGE	Sell	0.0820785→0.0784726	+21.50	take_profit
06-23 06:21	LINK	Buy	7.85596→7.65975	-13.02	stop_loss
06-23 06:08	ETH	Buy	1746.77→1703.28	-12.84	stop_loss
06-23 06:08	BTC	Buy	64695.2→63080.3	-12.95	stop_loss
06-23 04:08	ADA	Buy	0.15844→0.15972	+3.74	timeout
06-23 04:01	OP	Buy	0.100415→0.100995	+2.39	timeout
06-22 16:10	SOL	Buy	73.9781→72.7081	-8.86	timeout
06-22 08:06	UNI	Buy	3.00775→3.01115	+0.11	timeout
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1710.03→1752.35	-12.82	stop_loss
06-22 00:37	APT	Sell	0.651437→0.668001	-13.08	stop_loss
06-22 00:06	HBAR	Sell	0.0805369→0.0781855	+14.15	timeout
06-21 20:48	NEAR	Sell	2.23474→2.13723	+21.34	take_profit
06-21 16:07	BTC	Buy	64006.2→64147.8	+0.68	timeout
06-21 11:59	XLM	Buy	0.216084→0.210682	-12.95	stop_loss
06-21 10:17	LTC	Sell	44.113→45.2409	-13.38	stop_loss
06-21 08:04	ADA	Sell	0.162699→0.16137	+3.38	timeout
06-21 00:04	ETC	Sell	7.62009→7.44556	+11.00	timeout
06-21 00:04	HBAR	Sell	0.0804229→0.0805811	-1.43	timeout
06-20 12:32	ACE	Buy	0.0847212→0.0819385	-16.87	stop_loss
06-20 12:05	XRP	Buy	1.12718→1.14751	+8.63	timeout
06-20 04:05	XRP	Buy	1.13498→1.13882	+1.30	timeout
06-20 04:05	SAGA	Sell	0.0132867→0.0130233	+9.46	timeout
06-19 20:07	SOL	Sell	69.7075→69.0033	+4.54	timeout
06-19 20:06	BNB	Sell	579.365→579.645	-0.91	timeout
06-19 08:04	LTC	Sell	44.4449→43.4549	+10.31	timeout
06-19 03:15	AVAX	Buy	6.29767→6.1362	-13.25	stop_loss
06-19 03:15	AVAX	Buy	6.36059→6.20105	-12.93	stop_loss
06-18 20:05	BTC	Sell	64356.8→63154.2	+8.72	timeout
06-18 15:53	SOL	Sell	71.8432→68.6993	+21.55	take_profit
06-18 15:46	LINK	Buy	8.017→7.81673	-12.87	stop_loss
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1773.62→1695.87	+21.30	take_profit
06-18 04:11	BNB	Buy	605.571→590.357	-13.00	stop_loss
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02624→0.981345	+21.42	take_profit
06-17 19:38	SUI	Buy	0.794499→0.774529	-13.16	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64841.8→66438.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-17 12:11	UNI	Sell	3.22669→3.30758	-12.98	stop_loss
06-17 09:57	XMR	Buy	352.568→343.762	-12.94	stop_loss
06-17 08:02	LINK	Sell	8.28933→8.29427	-0.60	timeout
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	1.00115→1.02637	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.706→223.227	-13.13	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129932→0.0135666	+21.61	take_profit
06-16 17:08	HYPE	Buy	74.6277→72.7634	-12.94	stop_loss
06-16 14:31	OP	Buy	0.108247→0.105511	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	INJ	Sell	5.97571→5.71423	+21.44	take_profit
06-16 09:28	NEAR	Sell	2.45769→2.51929	-13.00	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82509→6.99684	-13.03	stop_loss
06-16 08:24	XLM	Sell	0.214156→0.219525	-12.98	stop_loss
06-16 02:18	SOL	Buy	75.1203→73.2524	-12.87	stop_loss
06-16 01:55	XRP	Buy	1.25961→1.22808	-12.99	stop_loss
06-16 00:42	XLM	Sell	0.215806→0.221246	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 00:02	LTC	Sell	45.3956→45.7384	-4.11	timeout
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1841.38→1795.52	-12.92	stop_loss
06-15 22:22	LINK	Buy	8.53913→8.32505	-13.02	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1728.17→1804.52	+21.60	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28342→7.605	+21.63	take_profit
06-15 12:43	UNI	Buy	2.59085→2.70402	+21.39	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1851→1.23679	+21.34	take_profit
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.516	-13.16	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	ADA	Sell	0.169648→0.1739	-12.93	stop_loss
06-14 21:36	ONDO	Buy	0.345826→0.36098	+21.46	take_profit
06-14 20:10	DOT	Sell	0.978425→0.950838	+13.65	timeout
06-14 20:10	AAVE	Sell	66.3964→65.4394	+6.76	timeout
06-14 16:07	SOL	Buy	68.2212→67.4819	-5.71	timeout
06-14 12:06	ADA	Buy	0.173443→0.169648	-11.14	timeout
06-14 08:10	ADA	Buy	0.173443→0.171087	-6.97	timeout
06-13 20:03	TRX	Buy	0.312488→0.317901	+8.21	timeout
06-13 18:12	XLM	Buy	0.190458→0.185631	-13.12	stop_loss
06-13 14:18	XRP	Sell	1.12942→1.15777	-12.86	stop_loss
06-13 08:08	HBAR	Sell	0.0787583→0.0780595	+3.99	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

247

closed

37%

win rate

-496.91

total pnl ($)

-40.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	15	33%	-95.3	-70.73
XRP	14	43%	-37.0	-25.12
LINK	13	31%	-80.7	-52.21
BTC	13	38%	-90.0	-58.48
ETH	12	58%	+49.7	+29.87
BNB	11	36%	-14.5	-7.98
ADA	11	45%	+0.6	+0.49
INJ	9	44%	+45.6	+20.24
APT	8	25%	-89.2	-35.66
TRX	8	38%	-50.1	-20.02
LTC	8	38%	-101.1	-40.96
NEAR	7	57%	+105.6	+37.11
XLM	7	0%	-261.9	-91.67
BCH	7	29%	-63.6	-22.27
HBAR	7	57%	+35.8	+12.52
SUI	7	29%	-104.5	-36.61
UNI	7	57%	+78.0	+27.29
SAGA	7	43%	-10.5	-3.69
AVAX	7	14%	-162.8	-56.83
OP	6	33%	-96.1	-29.04
HYPE	6	17%	-145.4	-43.61
ACE	5	0%	-310.7	-77.69
RENDER	5	40%	+15.0	+3.76
DOGE	5	60%	+36.5	+9.11
DOT	5	40%	-15.8	-3.95
ONDO	4	50%	+83.4	+16.68
FIL	4	25%	-180.9	-36.18
KAS	4	75%	+260.6	+52.11
ICP	4	50%	+80.1	+16.02
ATOM	3	0%	-260.4	-39.06
ARB	3	33%	+23.5	+3.70
AAVE	3	33%	-129.3	-19.39
XMR	3	33%	-30.7	-4.60
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ETC	2	100%	+326.3	+32.63
BLUR	1	100%	+429.9	+21.49

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…