supply_shock_token_unlock_distribution_fade

not live
15
closed trades
60%
win rate
+24.71
total pnl ($)
1.108
weight
7d window — n=6 wr=50% pnl=+1.58  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-04 05:10:56 (18.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: ahi
n: 39  ·  wr: 59.0%  ·  total_bps: -123.9  ·  mean_bps: -3.18  ·  sharpe: -0.03  ·  max_dd_bps: -1302.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 15 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-19 17:54BTCSell62699.9→63163.2-3.11timeout
06-19 09:38BTCSell62897.9→62417.1+2.47timeout
06-19 01:56BTCSell63968.8→62990.1+5.36timeout
06-16 04:07BTCSell67115.6→66150.3+5.04timeout
06-15 20:03BTCSell65724.7→66582.3-5.21timeout
06-15 12:01BTCSell65719.7→66181.3-2.97timeout
06-10 00:51BTCSell62557.9→62023.1+2.84timeout
06-09 16:48BTCSell63305.8→61342.1+11.33timeout
06-09 08:44BTCSell63361.8→62963.1+2.02timeout
05-23 04:00BTCSell76767.2→75604.8+5.34timeout
05-22 19:59BTCSell77349.1→75821.8+7.09timeout
05-22 12:00BTCSell77600.1→77409.9+0.62timeout
05-12 10:43BTCSell81715.9→81724.1-0.38timeout
05-12 04:16BTCSell81705.9→81724.1-0.43timeout
05-11 20:16BTCSell80766→81837.1-5.30timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
15
closed
60%
win rate
+24.71
total pnl ($)
+44.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC1560%+44.0+24.71

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems