supply_contraction_short

66

closed trades

45%

win rate

-69.68

total pnl ($)

1.223

weight

7d window — n=4 wr=50% pnl=+1.38 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 07:59 (33.8d ago) · src: backtest-gate-results.jsonl

verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_aok

n: 0 · wr: 0.0% · total_bps: +0.0 · mean_bps: +0.00 · sharpe: +0.00 · max_dd_bps: +0.0

gate: min_trades=5 min_wr=0.45 min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=228.332

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-17 04:12	BTC	Sell	65831.7→65868.3	-0.72	timeout
06-16 20:01	BTC	Sell	66114.7→65630.3	+3.24	timeout
06-16 11:53	BTC	Sell	66089.7→66386.3	-2.67	timeout
06-16 03:50	BTC	Sell	66385.7→66121.3	+1.53	timeout
06-15 19:42	BTC	Sell	66501.7→66648.3	-1.53	timeout
06-15 13:16	BTC	Sell	65537.7→66769.7	-9.85	stop_loss
06-15 07:30	BTC	Sell	65377.7→65945.3	-4.79	timeout
06-14 21:40	BTC	Sell	63895.8→65090.8	-9.79	stop_loss
06-14 14:54	BTC	Sell	64432.8→63919.2	+3.54	timeout
06-14 06:46	BTC	Sell	64563.8→64231.2	+2.12	timeout
06-13 22:40	BTC	Sell	63998.8→64495.2	-4.32	timeout
06-13 14:35	BTC	Sell	63883.8→64170.2	-2.68	timeout
06-13 06:27	BTC	Sell	63535.8→63629.2	-1.18	timeout
06-12 21:22	BTC	Sell	64178.8→63563.2	+4.35	timeout
06-12 11:27	BTC	Sell	63456.8→63812.2	-3.23	timeout
06-12 03:19	BTC	Sell	63492.8→63470.2	-0.25	timeout
06-11 17:48	BTC	Sell	62376.9→63537.9	-9.76	stop_loss
06-11 14:40	BTC	Sell	62928.9→62857.1	+0.14	timeout
06-11 06:21	BTC	Sell	61831.9→62986.6	-9.75	stop_loss
06-10 22:23	BTC	Sell	62271.9→61200.1	+8.16	timeout
06-10 13:50	BTC	Sell	61673.9→62365.1	-6.05	timeout
06-09 21:41	BTC	Sell	61291.9→62023.1	-6.43	timeout
06-09 13:37	BTC	Sell	63056.8→62156.1	+6.69	timeout
06-09 05:26	BTC	Sell	63085.8→63310.2	-2.22	timeout
06-08 21:22	BTC	Sell	64031.8→63657.2	+2.49	timeout
06-08 13:04	BTC	Sell	62850.9→63694.2	-7.15	timeout
06-08 05:03	BTC	Sell	62932.9→62755.1	+0.96	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61669.9→62818.5	-9.76	stop_loss
06-07 17:03	BTC	Sell	62358.9→62098.1	+1.65	timeout
06-07 07:56	BTC	Sell	61221.9→62369.3	-9.83	stop_loss
06-07 01:18	BTC	Sell	60488→61633.9	-9.92	stop_loss
06-06 20:25	BTC	Sell	60840→60578	+1.68	timeout
06-06 12:21	BTC	Sell	61119.9→60911	+1.24	timeout
06-06 04:20	BTC	Sell	61578.9→60050	+11.97	timeout
06-05 20:50	BTC	Sell	60454→61580.9	-9.77	stop_loss
06-05 16:21	BTC	Sell	60363→61490.8	-9.79	stop_loss
06-05 14:04	BTC	Sell	62549.9→60549	+15.54	take_profit
06-05 07:33	BTC	Sell	61370.9→62513.4	-9.76	stop_loss
06-05 04:21	BTC	Sell	63301.8→62704.1	+4.26	timeout
06-04 19:53	BTC	Sell	63762.8→63653.2	+0.41	timeout
06-04 13:21	BTC	Sell	63508.8→63106.2	+2.70	timeout
06-04 02:48	BTC	Sell	62400.9→63568.9	-9.81	stop_loss
06-03 22:36	BTC	Sell	65709.7→65197.3	+3.45	timeout
06-03 10:31	BTC	Sell	66332.7→67318.4	-7.85	timeout
06-03 00:24	BTC	Sell	67379.6→66849.3	+3.49	timeout
06-02 13:08	BTC	Sell	69947.5→68999.4	+6.33	timeout
06-02 02:06	BTC	Sell	71614.4→70357.7	+0.00	stop_loss
06-01 00:38	BTC	Sell	73634.3→73875.7	-2.09	timeout
05-31 18:20	BTC	Sell	73920.3→73623.7	+1.56	timeout
05-31 11:33	BTC	Sell	74116.3→73892.7	+1.09	timeout
05-31 05:43	BTC	Sell	73771.3→74070.7	-2.46	timeout
05-30 23:20	BTC	Sell	73878.3→73842.7	-0.18	timeout
05-30 15:40	BTC	Sell	73527.3→73845.7	-2.58	timeout
05-30 13:15	BTC	Sell	73502.3→73723.7	-1.95	timeout
05-30 05:44	BTC	Sell	73379.3→73543.7	-1.56	timeout
05-29 22:34	BTC	Sell	74019.3→73501.7	+3.06	timeout
05-29 17:02	BTC	Sell	73574.3→74027.7	-3.51	timeout
05-29 12:34	BTC	Sell	73678.3→73248.7	+2.47	timeout
05-29 08:23	BTC	Sell	73475.3→73789.7	-2.59	timeout
05-28 02:51	BTC	Sell	75239.2→74282.7	+5.91	timeout
05-27 06:21	BTC	Sell	75847.2→75697.8	+0.51	timeout
05-27 02:21	BTC	Sell	76001.2→75704.8	+1.48	timeout
05-26 22:21	BTC	Sell	76391.2→75758.8	+3.70	timeout
05-26 16:21	BTC	Sell	76911.2→76387.8	+2.92	timeout
05-26 12:21	BTC	Sell	76816.2→77009.9	-1.71	timeout
05-26 08:21	BTC	Sell	76689.2→76747.8	-0.84	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

66

closed

45%

win rate

-69.68

total pnl ($)

-21.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	66	45%	-21.5	-69.68

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 66 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)