stablecoin_velocity_exhaustion

not live
17
closed trades
35%
win rate
-66.62
total pnl ($)
1.199
weight
7d window — n=3 wr=33% pnl=-8.99  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-04 03:56:55 (24.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: hc
n: 45  ·  wr: 42.2%  ·  total_bps: -1165.0  ·  mean_bps: -25.89  ·  sharpe: -0.16  ·  max_dd_bps: -1165.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 17 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-27 23:31BTCBuy59429→59943+3.95timeout
06-24 15:08BTCBuy62338.1→60790.5-12.76stop_loss
06-21 22:04BTCBuy63726.2→63756.8-0.18timeout
06-18 15:17BTCBuy64890.2→63294.2-12.72stop_loss
06-15 21:53BTCBuy64580.2→66381.7+13.41timeout
06-12 21:57BTCBuy62875.1→63458.8+4.12timeout
06-09 14:18BTCBuy63320.2→61761-12.76stop_loss
06-05 13:49BTCBuy62863.1→61316.3-12.76stop_loss
06-02 14:26BTCBuy69507.5→67796.7-12.76stop_loss
05-31 21:41BTCBuy73529.7→73669.3+0.50timeout
05-28 03:17BTCBuy75841.8→73975.3-12.76stop_loss
05-25 19:43BTCBuy76818.8→77346.1+2.76timeout
05-22 19:30BTCBuy77680.9→75764.3-12.87stop_loss
05-19 19:43BTCBuy76921.8→76838.2-1.22timeout
05-13 10:43BTCBuy81724.1→81715.9-0.58timeout
05-03 15:06BTCBuy78320.9→78753.1+2.15timeout
04-30 15:05BTCBuy76489→76213.2-2.14timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
17
closed
35%
win rate
-66.62
total pnl ($)
-77.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC1735%-77.7-66.62

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
04-30 15:05BTCBuy-2.14# Trade Analysis: STABLE-VELOCITY-LONG **Market Context at Close:** BTC was flat to slightly down across all timeframes (1h: -0.35%, 24h: -0.14%, 7d: -1.71%) with negative funding (-0.004971%), indicating neutral-to-bearish positioning despite stable price…