stablecoin_usdc_contraction_acceleration_short

not live
4
closed trades
50%
win rate
-0.17
total pnl ($)
1.090
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 00:32:39 (34.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS  ·  strict: STRICT-PASS  ·  batch: aay__restored_93113eec
n: 12  ·  wr: 66.7%  ·  total_bps: +342.8  ·  mean_bps: +28.56  ·  sharpe: +0.45  ·  max_dd_bps: -81.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-11 00:29BTCSell61887.9→61860.1-0.27timeout
06-10 20:24BTCSell62251.9→61846.1+3.38timeout
06-10 12:33BTCSell61101.9→61934-8.71stop_loss
06-10 11:51BTCSell61650.9→61037.1+5.43timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
50%
win rate
-0.17
total pnl ($)
-0.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC450%-0.7-0.17

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-04 13:01BTCSell+7.32The market was in a neutral consolidation phase with flat funding rates and stable volatility, offering no clear directional bias. The trade failed because the thesis lacked a defined exit strategy, resulting in a forced closure due to the timeout limit rat…