3
closed trades
33%
win rate
-0.34
total pnl ($)
1.255
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 21:26:11 (40.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aga__restored_e1d3512d
n: 19
· wr: 36.8%
· total_bps: -129.0
· mean_bps: -6.79
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -347.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 3 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 06:19 | BTC | Sell | 75472.2→75452.8 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 05-22 06:18 | BTC | Buy | 77667.9→77437.1 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 05-09 15:02 | BTC | Buy | 80217→80292 | +0.00 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
3
closed
33%
win rate
-0.34
total pnl ($)
-14.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 3 | 33% | -14.9 | -0.34 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 15:02 | BTC | Buy | +0.00 | The market was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with neutral funding and stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allotted time. |