stablecoin_supply_shock_regime_adaptive

not live
4
closed trades
50%
win rate
+1.76
total pnl ($)
1.129
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 12:28:04 (42.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: recovered_014__restored_19334424
n: 12  ·  wr: 33.3%  ·  total_bps: -278.1  ·  mean_bps: -23.17  ·  sharpe: -0.16  ·  max_dd_bps: -528.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-22 18:19ETHSell2118.59→2120.91-0.99timeout
05-22 18:19BTCSell76886.2→76867.8-0.31timeout
05-22 06:19ETHSell2138.59→2127.81+2.09timeout
05-22 06:18BTCSell77666.1→77444.9+0.98timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
50%
win rate
+1.76
total pnl ($)
+8.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC250%+6.4+0.66
ETH250%+10.7+1.10

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems